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Determining a Population size How many fish can live in a pond? How many deer can live in a forest? What factors can you think of might change this number? ??????? What is a population? Population vs. Community? What is Exponential Growth? Fig. 1: Number of Bacteria Cells Present Over Time on an Agar Plate. Factors affecting Population Size 1. Births number of surviving offspring (natality) 2. Deaths number dying from all causes (mortality) 3. Immigration Number entering an area 4. Emigration Number leaving an area What is Exponential Growth? Fig. 1: Number of Bacteria Cells Present Over Time on an Agar Plate. Exponential Growth Population growth = (births+ immigration) – (deaths + emigration) Exponential Growth: accelerated growth that produces a J-shaped curve when population is graphed over time happens when populations reproduce faster and have immigration of individuals greater than the rate at which individuals emigrate from the area or die off Can exponential growth be sustained? NO! Usually happens when an organism comes into a new habitat that has a lot of resources and little competition or when other pressures on a population are removed ex. A predator is removed/eliminated from a food chain Example- pg. 49 textbook protected elephants in Kruger National Park Example The turkey population in Durham Ontario has seen a massive spike in the number of wild turkey populating the area. Question: The number of new births is estimated at 200 young making the total population close to 2000 birds. If only 50 have been hunted and 50 die from natural causes how many birds can we expect in the next year if no immigration or emigration occurs? Answer: Births= 200; deaths= 100; no immigration or emigration Population growth = 200 – 100 = 100 individual Next year approximately 2100 birds Human Population change over timeexponential growth Limiting Factors- prevent exponential growth Abiotic Limiting Factors Limiting factors (also known as a "constraining" factors) limits the growth or development of an organism, population, or process. Population growth has a limit that is determined by; Abiotic factors –water/precipitation, space (habitat), temperature, acidity, salinity (salt concentration), oxygen (in aquatic ecosystems only), nutrients (e.g. nitrogen), sunlight Humans are often a limiting factor in ecosystems Key Limiting Biotic Factors Can be between individuals of the same species or between species Competition within or between species Predator-Prey relationships – one feeds off another Symbiotic relationships (parasitic, mutualistic, commensalism) Disease Biotic Potential No ecosystem has an unlimited supply of resources Limits on the population of species are imposed by the species itself, called biotic potential Biotic potential is defined as the maximum number of offspring that a species could produce if resources were unlimited Tolerance Range The abiotic conditions within which a species can survive Some have a wide range others have a narrow range Optimal range is where the organism grows best. Carrying capacity The maximum number of individuals (the largest population of a species) that the environment can support in a given area and this is determined by specific limiting factors http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8FPMP41LYJ8 Carrying Capacity Depends on the sustainability of an ecosystem Can be altered through natural or human activity Equilibrium and Carrying Capacity Fig. 2: Changes in the size of a fish population over time. CARRYING CAPACTITY B A • In this graph, the fish population has achieved equilibrium, and the population remains constantly below the ecosystem’s carrying capacity • However, populations in ecosystems often goes in cycles. Carrying Capacity Look at the lynx population Which number seems to be the most common peak? About 4000 Therefore, 4000 is their carrying capacity. If they go over 4000, there is too much competition and they run out of food. Their population consequently dips below the carrying capacity Factors affecting carrying capacity Materials: the amount of food, nutrients, water, shelter. If a population continues to grow it will soon out grow its food supply Death or starvation may occur ********* Urban Sprawl!!!! Food Chains: Populations are limited by predator and prey sustainability, competition Hunting, Disease, Parasites, Habitat loss, Pollution Population Density The number of organisms living in a given space Think about the population density of wolves in Ontario compared to the population density of Canadian geese. What differences exist between these two animals that account for different densities? Different Animals need different amounts of space to roam, forage, hunt and find mates and both require different amounts of food to live Limiting Factors that Affect Carrying Capacity Disease Pollution Density Starvation Habitat/space Food/ water Competition Hunting Climate