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Elephants Club Presentation Results of March 4-7, 2013 Survey of Anne Arundel County Residents By Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College www2.aacc.edu/csli [email protected] April 25, 2013 Center for the Study of Local Issues: Semi-annual survey CSLI – Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public and Community Service Surveys Conducted each March and October Student volunteers participate to learn social science research methods (engaged learning) and community service Involves 70+/- students as telephone interviewers Survey contents: Benchmark questions on right/wrong direction, most important problem, the economy Variable questions on current policy choices and major events 420 Anne Arundel County residents in March, 18 or over County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring ‘99 to Spring ‘13 70 66 62 60 57 58 54 62 60 61 58 58 55 53 51 50 57 55 51 52 51 50 52 52 52 47 49 50 50 49 47 43 41 40 34 30 31 29 36 33 32 31 29 32 33 28 27 28 28 28 27 26 25 24 25 25 24 23 23 23 22 22 21 21 21 20 19 20 20 20 19 19 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 15 14 15 14 13 12 27 20 10 27 26 0 Sp '99 Fa '99 Sp '00 Fa '00 Sp '01 Fa '01 Sp '02 Fa '02 Sp '03 Fa '03 Sp '04 Fa '04 Sp '05 Right Fa '05 Sp '06 Wrong Fa '06 Sp '07 Fa '07 Unsure Sp '08 Fa '08 Sp '09 Fa '09 Sp '10 Fa '10 Sp '11 Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Right/Wrong Direction –County, State, Nation, Respondent Right Wrong County 49 33 Unsure/ Don’t know 18 State 35 55 10 Nation 24 64 13 Respondent 74 14 12 Levels County State Nation Respondent Dem.% “right” Rep. 58 54 38 74 38 12 8 72 DemRep. 20 32 30 2 Unaffiliated 50 37 27 72 Most Important Problem: Fall 2006 to Spring 2013 Economy continues drop as problem in March 2013 50 48 48 45 40 38 36 33Economy 35 36 35 30 30 27 25 20 16 15 10 5 23 21 11 9 7 15 12 9 17 16 Taxes 17 16 12 10 8 23 12 9 6 4 12 10 13 11 11 8 6 5 5 6 5 6 6 4 17 89 4 7 19 8 5 4 3 2 2 0 Fall '06 Spring '07 Fall '07 Economy Spring '08 Fall '08 High taxes Spring '09 Fall '09 Growth Spring '10 Fall '10 Education Spring '11 Fall '11 Transportation Spring '12 Fall '12 Crime Spring '13 Economic Conditions: County, Maryland, USA 80 70 71 71 69 County 60 55 50 49 46 49 48 44 45 48 40 30 27 31 30 32 Maryland 35 51 48 49 38 33 33 30 20 11 10 11 11 11 13 16 12 9 USA 5 0 F '06 S '97 F '07 S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '13 Cost of living indicators 70 Taxes too high 60 61 56 59 55 53 59 55 42 40 60 56 56 44 43 63 Cost of living 46 41 59 58 39 39 36 35 Transportation Cost 21 21 11 10 17 13 12 15 14 10 62 59 32 30 34 31 27 26 Income rise 24 21 63 59 Utilities cost 30 32 30 20 59 58 50 50 40 63 66 63 15 11 9 Housing affordability 12 0 S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 Unable to find affordable housing Received an income increase Hard to afford the cost of transportation Hard to afford the cost of utilities such as electricity or gas Taxes are too high in relation to government services provided Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living S '13 Other economic indicators 80 71 70 75 70 Losses in stocks 60 60 56 51 50 47 46 35 30 30 29 24 33 11 6 Unemployment 15 4 51 45 44 38 Health insurance 32 32 42 32 27 24 21 19 6 35 34 32 20 10 52 47 44 Delay purchases 40 60 Foreclosure 8 7 7 20 9 21 14 17 16 8 8 14 Found 11 job 4 19 14 7 0 S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '13 Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or loss Found a new or better job recently Facing the possibility of unemployment Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate Significant losses in your stock or retirement accounts Delay in making a major purchase such as a home or car Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months Spring 2013 Better Same Worse 31 24 9 23 39 32 32 58 24 37 52 16 Economic growth Unemployment Inflation Your personal financial situation 30 22 26 Unsure/N A 6 7 8 4 Total 100 100 101 101 22 20 14 9 7 10 6 7 0 -10 -3 Growth Unemployment -9 -20 -2 Personal Sit. Inflation -13 -30 -40 -38 -43 -50 Fall '11 Spring '12 -46 Fall '12 -43 Spring '13 Retirement Planning/Age Age Group 18-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-65 66 and over Overall % Very important 46 41 75 71 67 50 62 Age 59 41 Method of Emergency Communications: %Favor, Works Best 45 40 County Web site, 52 Twitter, 14 39 35 Landline call, 82 30 Facebook, 19 Email, 61 Cell phone call, 49 25 21 20 16 Text message, 51 15 15 10 5 5 1 0 1 4 County Executive: Top Priority Percent Citing Non-policy Institutional improvements Personal improvements Efficiency Improvements Policy 24 20 2 Examples “Change the way the county has been run,” “Clean house,” “Build citizen confidence in government,” “Pay more attention to details,” “Avoid scandal troubles,” “Deal with corruption,” “Ethics/ethical governance,” “Honesty and awareness of what is going on” “Improving her experience,” “Get more familiar with the county,” “Increase visibility to the public” “Streamline government,” “Analyze the efficiency of county government” Economy 2 69 15 Education Budget 12 10 Taxes 10 Transportation Environment Service improvements 5 3 3 Growth Crime Other policy improvements 2 2 7 “Gun control,” “Healthcare,” “Gas prices,” “More frequent trash pickup,” “Improve housing” General comments 2 “Think of the general welfare of the county,” “Move the county in a positive direction” Unsure Total 4 99 “Jobs,” “Help small businesses,” “Jobs for young people and college students,” “Promoting businesses” “Maintain school funding,” “Build more/better schools,” “Make schools secure,” “Help education” “Fiscal management,” “Get rid of excess spending,” “Control government expenditures,” “Stop inefficient spending” “Get a handle on taxes,” “Lower taxes,” “Change the tax cap to raise taxes,” “Lower property taxes” “Fix county roads,” “Deal with traffic congestion” “Clean up the Bay,” “Take care of natural resources,” “Deal with run-off ” “Improve police and emergency services staffing,” “Increase teacher pay,” “Upgrade county technology,” “Improve services for the disabled” “Stop excess development,” “Overpopulation” “Lower crime,” “Better police protection,” “Improve public safety” State and Local Issues Support Oppose Having handgun purchasers be required to complete a safety course prior to purchase Having handgun purchasers be fingerprinted at the time of purchase Having those seeking to purchase a handgun pay a $100 fee at the time of purchase Repealing the death penalty and replacing it with life without the possibility of parole Providing curbside composting pickup Expanding wind energy financed by a monthly $1.50 fee on residential BGE customers Paying an annual fee of $85 to help pay for storm water management and Bay clean-up Allowing county charter schools to tap into the same construction funding for building facilities currently used by regular public schools Allowing counties to increase the sales tax on gasoline sales to improve roads. Unsure No answer 82 78 45 16 19 49 2 0 3 0 4 2 39 66 43 52 27 53 7 2 5 2 4 0 36 39 61 51 2 1 9 1 21 77 3 0 State and Local Issues: By Party Overall Dems Having handgun purchasers be required to complete a safety course prior to purchase Having handgun purchasers be fingerprinted at the time of purchase Having those seeking to purchase a handgun pay a $100 fee at the time of purchase Repealing the death penalty and replacing it with life without the possibility of parole Providing curbside composting pickup Expanding wind energy financed by a monthly $1.50 fee on residential BGE customers Paying an annual fee of $85 to help pay for storm water management and Bay clean-up Allowing county charter schools tap into the same construction funding for building facilities currently used by regular public schools Allowing counties to increase the sales tax on gasoline sales to improve roads. Reps Unaffiliated 82 91 71 85 78 88 63 85 45 57 33 44 39 50 28 36 66 43 71 54 61 31 64 39 36 44 26 40 39 33 46 35 21 27 13 24 Presidential job approval Fall 2007 to Spring 2013 70 61 60 53 50 54 47 47 30 47 43 42 40 35 32 30 28 50 40 37 45 42 44 49 44 25 24 20 10 0 Fall '07 Spring '08 Fall '08 Spring '09 Fall '09 Spring '10 CSLI Fall '10 Spring '11 Gallup Fall '11 Spring '12 Fall '12 Spring '13 Presidential Job Approval by Party Registration Fall 2009 to Spring 2013 80 70 72 70 61 60 50 54 53 47 47 24 44 46 44 57 47 47 42 37 33 30 75 67 42 40 20 70 73 76 34 34 12 11 24 18 17 10 7 9 0 F '09 S '10 F '10 Overall S '11 Democrats F '11 Republicans S '12 Unaffiliated F '12 S '13 Obama’s Top Priority Priority Spending Budget Taxes Debt/deficit Percentage 6 16 4 6 Total Economy Jobs 32 24 15 Total Bipartisanship/work with Congress End foreign wars Domestic policies – other Foreign policies - other Misc. Total 39 7 4 7 3 8 Total overall 29 100 Trust in Political Parties Democrats Republicans Neither No opinion/other 45 42 40 37 35 30 33 31 30 37 37 34 34 38 37 34 32 32 31 30 32 26 25 20 37 34 29 28 27 38 37 37 21 20 21 21 17 17 9 9 15 10 8 7 5 8 6 7 7 7 4 4 0 Spring Fall 2009 Spring Fall 2010 Spring Fall 2011 Spring Fall 2012 Spring Fall 2012 Spring 2013