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1. A machine produces 3-inch nails. A sample of 12 nails was selected and their lengths determined. The results are as follows: 3.02 2.95 2.96 2.96 2.90 2.92 3.02 2.93 3.07 3.07 3.00 2.91 Assuming that a = 0.05, test the hypothesis that the population mean is equal to 3. •State the null and alternate hypotheses Here the null hypothesis is Ho: μ = 3 and the alternative hypothesis is Ha: μ ≠ 3. •Calculate the mean and standard deviation Sample mean, xbar = 2.9758 Sample standard deviation, s = 0.0593 •Determine which test statistic applies, and calculate it The test statistic for testing Ho is given by, t = (xbar - 3)/(s/√n), follows a Student’s t distribution with (n-1) d.f.. Thus the test statistic t = (2.9758 - 3)/(0.0593/√12) = -1.4115 •Determine the critical value(s). Since a = 0.05, from Student’s t distribution with (n-1) = 11 degrees of freedom the critical value is given by, Critical value = ±2.201 •State your decision: Should the null hypothesis be rejected? The decision rule is Reject Ho if |t| > 2.201 Or Reject Ho if t < -2.201 or t > 2.201. Here, |t| = 1.4115 < 2.201 So we fail to reject the null hypothesis Ho. 2. A sample of size n = 20 is selected from a normal population to construct a 90% confidence interval estimate for a population mean. The interval was computed to be (8.70 to 9.00). Determine the sample standard deviation. The 90% confidence interval estimate for a population mean is given by ( x t / 2 s / n , x t / 2 s / n ), where t / 2 = 1.729 (From Student’s t distribution with 19 df). Here it is given that, x t / 2 s / n = 8.70 and x t / 2 s / n = 9.00 Subtracting the first equation from the second we get, ( x t / 2 s / n ) – ( x t / 2 s / n ) = 9.00 – 8.70 That is, 2 t / 2 s / n = 0.30 That is, s = 0.30* n /(2 t / 2 ) = 0.30*√20/(2*1.729) = 0.3880 Thus the sample standard deviation is 0.3880 3. A random sample of 41 observations was selected from a normally distributed population. The sample mean was x bar = 60, and the sample variance was s2 = 21.0. Does the sample show sufficient reason to conclude that the population standard deviation is not equal to 6 at the 0.05 level of significance? Use the p-value method. •State the null and alternate hypotheses Here the null hypothesis is Ho: σ = 6 and the alternative hypothesis is Ho: σ ≠ 6 •Determine which test statistic applies, and calculate it The test statistic for testing Ho is given by, χ2 = (n-1)s2/62, follows a Chi-square distribution with (n-1)= 40 degrees of freedom. Thus the test statistic χ2 = (41 -1)(21.0)/62 = 40*21/36 = 23.3333 •Determine the corresponding probability, and compare to a The p-value of the test is given by p-value = P[χ2 > 23.3333] = 0.9836 Here it is given that, a = 0.05 Thus, p-value > a [The p-value is obtained using the Excel formula =CHIDIST(23.3333,40)] •State your decision: Should the null hypothesis be rejected? The decision rule is reject Ho if the p-value < 0.05 Here, p-value > 0.05 So we fail to reject the null hypothesis Ho. Thus the sample does not show sufficient reason to conclude that the population standard deviation is not equal to 6 at the 0.05 level of significance. 4. An insurance company states that 85% of its claims are settled within 5 weeks. A consumer group selected a random sample of 85 of the company’s claims and found 26 of the claims were settled within 5 weeks. Is there enough evidence to support the consumer group’s claim that fewer than 85% of the claims were settled within 5 weeks? Test using the traditional approach with a = 0.02. •State the null and alternate hypotheses Here the null hypothesis is Ho: p = 0.85 and the alternative hypothesis is Ha: p < 0.85. •Calculate the sample proportion The sample proportion, pbar = x/n = 26/85 = 0.3059 •Determine which test statistic applies, and calculate it The test statistic for testing Ho is given by, z = (pbar – 0.85)/Sqrt(0.85*0.15/n), follows Standard Normal distribution Thus the test statistic, z = (0.3059 – 0.85)/Sqrt(0.85*0.15/85) = -14.0491 •Determine the critical value(s). Since a = 0.02, the critical value is given by, Critical value = - 2.054. •State your decision: Should the null hypothesis be rejected? The decision rule is Reject Ho if z < -2.054 Here, z = -14.0491 < -2.054 So we reject the null hypothesis Ho. Thus there is enough evidence to support the consumer group’s claim that fewer than 85% of the claims were settled within 5 weeks 5. A teacher wishes to compare two different groups of students with respect to their mean time to complete a standardized test. The time required is determined for each group. The data summary is given below. Test the claim at a = 0.10, that there is no difference in variance. Give the critical region, test statistic value, and conclusion for the F test. n1 = 24 s1 = 21 n2 = 40 s2 = 39 a = 0.10 •State the null and alternate hypotheses Here the null hypothesis is Ho: 12 22 and the alternative hypothesis is Ha: 12 22 . •Determine which test statistic applies, and calculate it The test statistic for testing Ho is given by, s22 F 2 , follows F distribution with ( n2 1, n1 1) d.f. s1 Here it is given that, n1 = 24, s1 = 21, n2 = 40, s2 = 39. Thus the test statistic is given by, F = (392/212) = 3.449 •Determine the critical region Since a = 0.10, from F distribution with (39, 23) degrees of freedom the critical value is obtained as 1.658 Thus the critical region is F > 1.658 •State your decision: Should the null hypothesis be rejected? The decision rule is Reject Ho if F > 1.658 Here F = 3.449 > 1.658 So we reject the null hypothesis Ho. 6. A machine produces 9 inch latex gloves. A sample of 17 gloves is selected, and it is found that 5 are shorter than they should be. Find the 99% confidence interval on the proportion of all such gloves that are shorter than 9 inches. The 99% confidence interval for the proportion is given by, p z / 2 p(1 p) / n , p z / 2 p (1 p ) / n , where z / 2 = 2.576. Here it is given that, n = 17, x = 5 Therefore, the sample proportion, p = x/n = 5/17 = 0.2941 Thus, the 99% confidence interval on the proportion of all such gloves that are shorter than 9 inches is given by (0.2941 – 2.576*√(0.2941*0.7059/17), 0.2941 + 2.576*√(0.2941*0.7059/17)) = (0.2941 – 0.2847, 0.2941 + 0.2847) = (0.0095, 0.5788) 7. The pulse rates below were recorded over a 30-second time period, both before and after a physical fitness regimen. The data is shown below for 8 randomly selected participants. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that a significant amount of improvement took place? Assume pulse rates are normally distributed. Test using a = 0.05. •State the null and alternate hypotheses Let μ1 and μ2 denote the mean pulse rate before and after a physical fitness regimen respectively Here the null hypothesis is Ho: μ1 = μ2 and the alternative hypothesis is Ha: μ1 < μ2. •Calculate the mean and standard deviation The mean and standard deviation of the pulse rate before physical fitness regimen is Mean = 42.5 and standard deviation = 8.2635 The mean and standard deviation of the pulse rate after physical fitness regimen is Mean = 46.25 and standard deviation = 8.8277 The mean and standard deviation of the difference in pulse rate before and after physical fitness regimen is Mean = -3.75 and standard deviation = 9.6474 •Determine which test statistic applies, and calculate it For testing Ho, we use the paired t test. The test statistic for testing Ho is given by, t = dbar/(sd/√n), follows a student’s t distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedom. Here, dbar = -3.75, sd = 9.6474 and n = 8. Thus the test statistic is given by, t = -3.75/(9.6474 /√8) = -1.0994 •Determine the critical value(s). Since a = 0.05, from Student’s t distribution with (n-1) = 7 degrees of freedom the critical value is given by, Critical value = -1.895 •State your decision: Should the null hypothesis be rejected? The decision rule is Reject Ho if t < -1.895 Here, t = -1.0994 > - 1.895 So we fail to reject the null hypothesis Ho. Thus there is no sufficient evidence to conclude that a significant amount of improvement took place. 8. You are given the following data. Test the claim that there is a difference in the means of the two groups. Use a = 0.05. •State the null and alternate hypotheses Here the null hypothesis is Ho: μ1 = μ2 and the alternative hypothesis is Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2. •Determine which test statistic applies, and calculate it Since the sample sizes are large we can use the z test for testing Ho. The test statistic for testing Ho is given by, t = (xbar1 – xbar2)/Sqrt[(s1^2)/n1 + (s2^2)/n2] follows a Standard Normal distribution(approximately). Here it is given that, xbar1= 10, xbar2 = 2, n1 = 99 s1=1.0 , n2 =52, s2 = 0.1 Thus the test statistic is given by, t = (10 – 2)/Sqrt[(1.0^2)/99 + (0.1^2)/52] = 78.8519 •Determine the critical value(s). Since a = 0.05, from Standard Normal distribution the critical value is given by, Critical value = ±1.96 •State your decision: Should the null hypothesis be rejected? The decision rule is Reject Ho if |t| > 1.96 Or Reject Ho if t < -1.96 or t > 1.96. Here, |t| = 78.8519 > 1.96 So we reject the null hypothesis Ho.