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1.3 billion 1.5 billion 1.1 billion 1.4 billion China India 300 million 349 million USA Indonesia Brazil Pakistan Bangladesh Russia Nigeria Japan 225 million 264 million 187 million 229 million 166 million 229 million 147 million 190 million 142 million 130 million 135 million 199 million 128 million 121 million 2006 2025 The world’s 10 most populous countries in 2006 with projections into 2025. Fig. 9-4, p. 174 Average crude birth rate Average crude death rate 21 World 9 All developed countries All developing countries Developing countries (w/o China) 11 10 23 8 27 9 Fig. 9-3, p. 174 Percentage of world population 20% 1.1 billion 1.3 billion 1.4 billion 1.6 billion Population Population (2050 estimate) Illiteracy (% of adults) Total fertility rate Infant mortality rate 47% 17% 36% Population under age 15 (%) Population growth rate (%) 20% 1.6% 0.6% 2.9 children per women (down from 5.3 in 1970) 1.6 children per women (down from 5.7 in 1972) 58 27 62 years 70 years Life expectancy Percent living below $2/day GDP PPP per capita India China 17% 80 47 $3,120 $5,890 Fig. 9-15, p. 186 Age Structure of a Population o o The number and proportion of people at each age in a population Broken down by age groups Age Structure of Specific Countries AGE STRUCTURE Populations with a large proportion of its people in the preproductive ages 1-14 have a large potential for rapid population growth. Figure 9-9 Age Structure of US Baby Boomers Today, baby boomers make up nearly half of all adult Americans. Figure 9-11 Uses of Age Structure diagrams • • • Can see distribution of people by age of the present population* Can predict future growth of the same population* population growth momentum explains how the present age distribution affects the future growth of a population • Positive population growth momentum • Negative population growth momentum *Why is this important to know? Expansive/rapid growth • • • Histogram shaped like a pyramid. Birth rate exceeds the death rate. Population is getting larger. Kenya, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. Stable or Slow Growth • • • Histogram shape is straighter and more box-like, until higher ages Birth rate almost equals death rate Population not getting any larger or growing very slowly US, Australia, Canada have slow Denmark, Austria, France, Italy have stable Declining or Negative growth • • Histogram narrows toward the bottom Death rate exceeds birth rate Germany, Bulgaria, Hungary, Greece, Sweeden World-wide o o 29% of human population is under age 15 Could cause large increase in birth rates