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What Determines Growth? • Firms frequently make growth forecasts on explicit part of financial planning. • On the other hand, the focus of this course has been on shareholder wealth maximization, often expressed through the NPV criterion. • One way to reconcile the two is to think of growth as an intermediate goal that leads to higher value. • Alternatively, if the firm is willing to accept negative NPV projects just to grow in size, the shareholders (but not necessarily the mangers) will be worse off. What Determines Growth? • There is a linkage between the ability of a firm to grow and its financial policy when the firm does not issue equity. • The Sustainable Growth Rate in Sales is given by: D p (1 d ) (1 ) S E S 0 T ( p (1 d ) (1 D ) E The Sustainable Growth Rate in Sales D p (1 d ) (1 ) S E S 0 T ( p (1 d ) (1 D ) E T = ratio of total assets to sales p = net profit margin on sales d = dividend payout ratio • A good use of the sustainable growth rate is to compare a firm’s sustainable growth rate with their actual growth rate to determine if there is a balance between growth and profitability. Uses of the Sustainable Growth Rate • A commercial lender would want to compare a potential borrower’s actual growth rate with their sustainable growth rate. • If the actual growth rate is much higher than the sustainable growth rate, the borrower runs the risk of “growing broke” and any lending must be viewed as a down payment on a much more comprehensive lending arrangement than just one round of financing. Increasing the Sustainable Growth Rate • A firm can do several things to increase its sustainable growth rate: – Sell new shares of stock – Increase its reliance on debt – Reduce its dividend-payout ratio – Increase profit margins – Decrease its asset-requirement ratio Cash Receipts Budget All sales are on account. Basket’s collection pattern is: 70 percent collected in month of sale 25 percent collected in month after sale 5 percent will be uncollectible Accounts receivable on March 31 is $30,000, all of which is collectible. Cash Receipts Budget Budgeted unit sales Price per unit Budgeted sales revenue Receipts from March sales Receipts from April sales Receipts from May sales Receipts from June sales Total cash receipts April 20,000 $ 10 $ 200,000 $ 30,000 May 50,000 $ 10 $ 500,000 June 30,000 $ 10 $ 300,000 Cash Receipts Budget Budgeted unit sales Price per unit Budgeted sales revenue Receipts from March sales Receipts from April sales Receipts from May sales Receipts from June sales Total cash receipts April 20,000 $ 10 $ 200,000 May 50,000 $ 10 $ 500,000 $ 30,000 140,000 $ 50,000 June 30,000 $ 10 $ 300,000 $ 170,000 April: .70 × $200,000 = $140,000 and .25 × $200,000 = $50,000 Cash Receipts Budget Budgeted unit sales Price per unit Budgeted sales revenue Receipts from March sales Receipts from April sales Receipts from May sales Receipts from June sales Total cash receipts April 20,000 $ 10 $ 200,000 $ 30,000 140,000 $ 170,000 May 50,000 $ 10 $ 500,000 June 30,000 $ 10 $ 300,000 $ 50,000 350,000 $ 125,000 $ 400,000 April: .70 × $200,000 = $140,000 and .25 × $200,000 = $50,000 May: .70 × $500,000 = $350,000 and .25 × $500,000 = $125,000 Cash Receipts Budget Budgeted unit sales Price per unit Budgeted sales revenue Receipts from March sales Receipts from April sales Receipts from May sales Receipts from June sales Total cash receipts April 20,000 $ 10 $ 200,000 $ 30,000 140,000 $ 170,000 May 50,000 $ 10 $ 500,000 $ 50,000 350,000 $ 400,000 June 30,000 $ 10 $ 300,000 $ 125,000 210,000 $ 335,000 April: .70 × $200,000 = $140,000 and .25 × $200,000 = $50,000 May: .70 × $500,000 = $350,000 and .25 × $500,000 = $125,000 June: .70 × $300,000 = $210,000 Comprehensive Cash Budget Additional Information Basket Company: Has a $100,000 line of credit at its bank, with a zero balance on April 1. Maintains a $30,000 minimum cash balance. Borrows at the beginning of a month and repays at the end of a month. Pays interest at 16 percent when a principal payment is made. Pays a $51,000 cash dividend in April. Purchases equipment costing $143,700 in May and $48,800 in June. Has a $40,000 cash balance on April 1. Comprehensive Cash Budget Beginning cash balance Cash receipts Cash available Cash payments: Materials budget Labor budget Manufacturing OH budget S&A expense budget Equipment purchases Dividends Total cash payments Balance before financing Borrowing Principal repayment Interest Ending cash balance April $ 40,000 May June Comprehensive Cash Budget Beginning cash balance Cash receipts Cash available Cash payments: Materials budget Labor budget Manufacturing OH budget S&A expense budget Equipment purchases Dividends Total cash payments Balance before financing Borrowing Principal repayment Interest Ending cash balance April $ 40,000 170,000 $ 210,000 May 400,000 June 335,000 Comprehensive Cash Budget Beginning cash balance Cash receipts Cash available April $ 40,000 170,000 $ 210,000 Cash payments: Materials budget Labor budget Manufacturing OH budget S&A expense budget Equipment purchases Dividends Total cash payments $ 40,000 13,000 56,000 70,000 0 51,000 $ 230,000 Balance before financing $ (20,000) Borrowing Principal repayment Interest Ending cash balance May June 400,000 335,000 $ 72,300 23,000 76,000 85,000 143,700 0 $ 400,000 $ 72,700 14,500 59,000 75,000 48,800 0 $ 270,000 Comprehensive Cash Budget Beginning cash balance Cash receipts Cash available April $ 40,000 170,000 $ 210,000 May $ 30,000 400,000 $ 430,000 Cash payments: Materials budget Labor budget Manufacturing OH budget S&A expense budget Equipment purchases Dividends Total cash payments $ 40,000 13,000 56,000 70,000 0 51,000 $ 230,000 $ 72,300 23,000 76,000 85,000 143,700 0 $ 400,000 Balance before financing $ (20,000) $ 30,000 Borrowing Principal repayment Interest Ending cash balance 50,000 0 0 $ 30,000 June 335,000 $ 72,700 14,500 59,000 75,000 48,800 0 $ 270,000 Comprehensive Cash Budget Beginning cash balance Cash receipts Cash available April $ 40,000 170,000 $ 210,000 May $ 30,000 400,000 $ 430,000 June $ 30,000 335,000 $ 365,000 Cash payments: Materials budget Labor budget Manufacturing OH budget S&A expense budget Equipment purchases Dividends Total cash payments $ 40,000 13,000 56,000 70,000 0 51,000 $ 230,000 $ 72,300 23,000 76,000 85,000 143,700 0 $ 400,000 $ 72,700 14,500 59,000 75,000 48,800 0 $ 270,000 Balance before financing $ (20,000) $ 30,000 $ 95,000 Borrowing Principal repayment Interest Ending cash balance 50,000 0 0 $ 30,000 0 0 0 $ 30,000 Comprehensive Cash Budget Beginning cash balance Cash receipts Cash available April $ 40,000 170,000 $ 210,000 May $ 30,000 400,000 $ 430,000 June $ 30,000 335,000 $ 365,000 Cash payments: Materials budget Labor budget Manufacturing OH budget S&A expense budget Equipment purchases Dividends Total cash payments $ 40,000 13,000 56,000 70,000 0 51,000 $ 230,000 $ 72,300 23,000 76,000 85,000 143,700 0 $ 400,000 $ 72,700 14,500 59,000 75,000 48,800 0 $ 270,000 Balance before financing $ (20,000) $ 30,000 $ 95,000 Borrowing Principal repayment Interest Ending cash balance 50,000 0 0 0 $50,000 × .16 × 3/12 0 = $2,000 0 $ 30,000 $ 30,000 0 (50,000) (2,000) $ 43,000