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CONFIDENTIAL FOR INTERNAL USE WITHIN CLIENT COMPANY ONLY INDONESIA - AN OVERVIEW BUSINESS SWEDEN October 2016 INTRODUCTION INDONESIA – THE LARGEST ECONOMY IN SOUTHEAST ASIA Business Sweden in Indonesia Business Sweden supports with several services on the Indonesian market such as market analyses, partner selection, and counselling and strategy development for entering the market. In order to facilitate establishment we also offer turn-key solutions such as office space, assistance with recruiting, accounting and administration. Indonesian business culture is relationship oriented and the contact network is crucial to build trust and do business here. Business Sweden staff has far-reaching connections both within the public and private sector. In parallel, the Team Sweden brand and Swedish Embassy connections play an important role and open many doors in our daily work. The bureaucracy is one of the main challenges that Swedish companies face in Indonesia and many of the administrative processes are more time consumer than in other countries. With our experience on the market, we’re able to facilitate many of these thresholds. Do not hesitate to contact us to talk about Indonesia as a potential market for your company and how Business Sweden can assist you to further investigate the market potential, entry strategies and/or how to develop existing business. Welcome to Indonesia! Anders Wickberg Trade Commissioner to Indonesia BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 2 INTRODUCTION TO ASEAN THE ASEAN ECONOMIC TRADING BLOC WAS FORMED 1967 TO PROMOTE GROWTH, STABILITY AND PEACE ASEAN - THE ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHEAST ASIAN NATIONS MYANMAR VIETNAM LAOS THAILAND PHILIPPINES Cambodia CAMBODJA MALAYSIA BRUNEI INDONESIA SINGAPORE ASEAN HAS OVER TIME DEVELOPED TO BECOME A REGIONAL FORCE IN ASIA BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 3 INTRODUCTION TO ASEAN THE OVERALL INTRA-ASEAN TRADE HAS SURGED BY SEVEN-FOLD OVER THE PAST DECADE EXTERNAL-ASEAN TRADE USD BILLION SHARE OF MAJOR TRADE PARTNER WITH ASEAN, 2014 INTRA-ASEAN TRADE USD BILLION x5 x7 DURING THE SAME PERIOD EXTERNAL-ASEAN TRADE INCREASED FIVE-FOLD SOURCE: ASEAN STATISTICAL DATABASE BUSINESS SWEDEN 11 NOVEMBER, 2016 4 INTRODUCTION TO INDONESIA INDONESIA IS PREDICTED TO BE THE WORLD TOP 10 LARGEST ECONOMY IN THE NEXT 20 YEARS FACTS ABOUT INDONESIA Indonesia is the 4th largest country in the world, with a population of around 250 million In 2015, Indonesia made a total of $2.84 trillion of PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) GDP. This makes it the world’s 8th best in terms of GDP (PPP). Indonesia will be the world's seventh largest economy In 2030. Indonesia is the largest archipelago in the world with more than 18,000 islands. Jakarta is the 13th largest city in the world with a population of around 11.3 million people. DESKTOP RESEARCH BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 5 INTRODUCTION TO INDONESIA INDONESIA IS PROJECTED TO HAVE A SIGNIFICANT GROWTH FOR THE NEXT 25 YEARS Indonesia Now 16th Largest Economy in The World 45 Million consumer Class 54% Indonesia 2030 7th Largest Economy in The World 135 Million consumer Class 71% populations in the city populations in the city producing 74% of the GDP 55 Million skilled workers in producing 86% of the GDP 113 Million skilled workers in the Indonesian economy the Indonesian economy MCKINSEY (MCKINSEY.COM) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 6 INTRODUCTION TO INDONESIA UNCTAD SURVEY SHOWN THAT INDONESIA IS IN THE WORLD TOP 3 FOR INVESTMENT DESTINATION TNCs’ top prospective host economies, 2014–2016 (Percentage of respondents selecting economy as a top destination) Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Malaysia Singapore 27 TOP 5 ASEAN COUNTRIES 14 12 8 7 China United States India Brazil Germany United Kingdom Russian Federation Australia France Poland Mexico Japan 44 41 26 23 20 14 10 10 Developed Economies Developing and Transition Economies 9 8 8 8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 UNCTAD (UNCTAD.ORG) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 7 INTRODUCTION TO INDONESIA INDONESIA SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED BUSINESS CLIMATE COMPARED OTHER TO ASEAN COUNTRIES EASE OF DOING BUSINESS INDEX RANKING 2010 VS. 2016 ASEAN6 Rank 2016 -50 -100 100 50 0 1 Singapore Rank 2 (-1) Rank 23 (+0) Malaysia 50 Thailand Rank 46 (-30) Vietnam Rank 82 (+8) 100 Can’t keep pace Indonesia Rank 91 (+35) Philippines Rank 99 (+35) Improving Rank change 2010 - 2016 SOURCE: WORLD BANK – EASE OF DOING BUSINESS BUSINESS SWEDEN 11 FEBRUARY, 2016 8 INTRODUCTION TO INDONESIA INDONESIA FDI HAS BEEN INCREASE FOR MORE THAN 20% FROM YEAR 2014 - 2015 160 140 Rp. (In Trillion) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 DDI FDI Total Q1 27 65 93 Q2 33 66 99 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2014 Q3 33 67 100 Q4 34 71 105 Q1 34 76 106 Q2 38 78 116 Q4 2015 Q3 41 78 119 Q4 41 78 120 Q1 42 82 124 Q2 42 92 135 Q3 47 92 140 Q4 46,2 99,2 145 BKPM (BKPM.GO.ID) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 9 KEY INDICATORS IN INDONESIA SWEDISH COMPANIES HAVE A BIG OPPORTUNITIES TO HELP INDONESIA IN MAXIMIZING THEIR POTENTIAL Infrastructure Growing Consumer Class Shift to Manufacturing Infrastructure is the main indicator for economic growth in Indonesia Growing consumer class give a positive impact for Indonesia economy. Indonesia is currently focus in increasing the growth of manufacture in Indonesia Indonesia is the country with the highest population growth in the consumer class segment. After the 1998 crisis, Indonesia unable to reach the potential like it was shown before the crisis. 2010: 45 million of Indonesia population can be categorize in consumer class category with (>$3,600 annual income). 2014: Manufacturing products only counted 35% from total Indonesia export. Indonesia infrastructure development is still experiencing issues in finance and legal aspect. 2016: Rp.213 trillion is the budget allocated by Indonesia government for infrastructure development. INDONESIA INVESTMENTS (INDONESIA-INVESTMENTS.COM) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 10 KEY INDICATORS IN INDONESIA [INFRASTRUCTURE] GOVERNMENT ARE SHIFTING BUDGET FROM VARIOUS SECTORS TO INCREASE THE INFRASTRUCTURE BUDGET GOVERNMENT SUBSIDY 2012 – 2016, TRILLION RUPIAH KEY POINTS 450,0 400,0 350,0 Subsidy for Infrastructure will continue to increase Significant increase on government subsidy for infrastructure has become one of the evidences that the government is really serious in developing the infrastructure in Indonesia. Swedish knowledge and technologies Swedish companies can provide adequate resources and technologies to help Indonesia government in developing the infrastructure in Indonesia. Various and equitable infrastructure development Swedish companies can provide a support in many different sectors of infrastructure as the government are intended to have an equitable development in various sectors (agriculture, marine, etc). 300,0 250,0 200,0 150,0 100,0 50,0 0,0 2012 Energy 2013 Education 2014 2015 Infrastructure 2016 Health INDONESIA INVESTMENTS (INDONESIA-INVESTMENTS.COM) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 11 KEY INDICATORS IN INDONESIA [GROWING CONSUMER CLASS] INDONESIA IS THE 3RD LARGEST CONSUMER CLASS POPULATION IN INDONESIA CONSUMER CLASS POPULATION IN INDONESIA 2000 – 2015, MILLION PEOPLE 200 170 Million (61%) 135 Million (48%) 150 Positive impact for Indonesian economy 85 Million (32%) 100 50 KEY POINTS 45 Million (19% of Populations) High demand for product and services Providing products and services from various sectors with better quality can become the biggest opportunity as the demand will increase in line with the growing consumer class population. Biggest in ASEAN Total of consumer class population in Indonesia is more than the total population of Malaysia and Singapore combined. 2030 F (2) 2030 F (1) 2020 F 2010 0 2030 F (1) with 5-6% GDP Scenario 2030 F (2) with 7% GDP Scenario CAGR 2010 – 2030 F(1) CAGR 2010 – 2030 F (2) Development of most sectors (property, electronics, automotive, etc) in Indonesia are depending on the buying power of consumer income population. *The consumer class populations defined as individual with annual income above $3,600 MCKINSEY (MCKINSEY.COM) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 12 KEY INDICATORS INDONESIA [SHIFT TO MANUFACTURING] INDONESIA NEED A BIG INVESTMENT TO INCREASE THEIR COMPETITIVENESS INDEX GLOBAL MANUFACTURING COMPETITIVENESS INDEX 2016, INDEX SCORE (100=HIGH, 10=LOW) Singapore (*1) (10) 68,4 Thailand (*2) (14) 60,4 Malaysia (*3) (17) 59 Vietnam (*4) (18) 56,5 Indonesia (*5) (19) 55,8 TOP 5 ASEAN COUNTRIES China (1) 100 United States (2) 99,5 Germany (3) 80,4 South Korea (5) 76,7 United Kingdom (6) 75,8 Taiwan (7) Government aim to increase the index Large indirect cost because of poor logistics 93,9 Japan (4) KEY POINTS 72,9 Mexico (8) 69,5 Canada (9) 68,7 India (11) Low wages but poor unit labour cost 67,2 Switzerland (12) With the potential that Indonesia have, Swedish companies can support the manufacturing sector to increase their competitiveness index. Swedish support to develop a better logistics (transportation, container handling, etc) in Indonesia will help the companies to reduce their indirect costs. Indonesia currently need a technologies and knowledges that can help them to increase their unit labour cost. 63,6 Sweden (13) 62,1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 DELLOITE (DELLOITE.COM) BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 13 SWEDEN IN INDONESIA SWEDISH COMPANIES ALREADY PROVIDE A SUPPORT IN ALMOST ALL REGION ACROSS INDONESIA BALIKPAPAN MEDAN Volvo and Scania have the warehouse and aftersales service centre in here to serve the whole Kalimantan island H&M open it first store outside Jakarta in 2015 PALU Biogassystem has set up together with local municipality PAPUA In Pegunungan Bintang, ABB has contributed to several solar panel installations, providing electricity in remote area. EAST NUSA TENGGARA A pilot micro geothermal off grid energy project will be set up here by Swedish Company Energeotek with local partners. TANGGERANG BANDUNG The 1st IKEA Store open in 2014 SAAB and ITB are working together to build an innovation centre at the ITB Campus EAST LOMBOK Creation of sustainable and self-sufficient eco tourism hotel and leisure area JAKARTA CIBITUNG YOGYAKARTA Most of Swedish Companies have their offices in here such as Atlas Copco, Astra Zeneca, and Volvo Group. Furthermore it is also the home for Embassy of Sweden and Business Sweden Gunnebo has one of their factories here, employing nearly 300 people to produce safety solutions Based for INSISTS, the Indonesian Swedish initiative for sustainable energy solutions BANYUWANGI PT. Lundin a Swedish cutting edge ship wharf is based in here SOURCE: EMBASSY OF SWEDEN BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 14 SWEDEN IN INDONESIA TODAY, THERE ARE APPROXIMATELY 70 SWEDISH COMPANIES IN INDONESIA EXAMPLES OF SWEDISH COMPANIES DOING BUSINESS IN INDONESIA ABB Alfa Laval Atlas Copco AstraZeneca Autoliv Electrolux Volvo H&M Ericsson IKEA Saab Sandvik Scania SKF Tetra Park EF Akzo Nobel Coatings Flexlink IFS Oriflame Securitas Lundin Zalora Luxe Living Oddbit Mixon Eude Flexlink Emric Ecmant Eco Regions Axis Communications SOURCE: BUSINESS SWEDEN AND EMBASSY OF SWEDEN BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 15 FORMS OF ESTABLISHMENT THERE ARE VARIOUS ESTABLISHMENT FORMS, SUITABILITY DEPENDING ON ACTIVITY TYPE Allowed activities Type of activity Form of establishment Agent/Distributor Export to Indonesia Import from Indonesia Sales in Indonesia Manufacture in Indonesia Limited Liability Company (PMA) * Only supporting function Level of stake and control Representative Office BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 11/28/2016 16 BUSINESS SWEDEN IN ASEAN WITH 5 OFFICES IN SOUTH EAST ASIA WE ARE AT HOME ON YOUR FOREIGN MARKETS BUSINESS SWEDEN’S PRESENCE IN ASEAN VIETNAM BUSINESS SWEDEN’S SERVICE OFFERINGS Business Sweden makes it easier for Swedish companies to grow internationally EVALUATE OPPORTUNITIES THAILAND CHOOSE STRATEGY ESTABLISH PRESENCE MALAYSIA SINGAPORE GROW BUSINESS INDONESIA BUSINESS SWEDEN 28 NOVEMBER, 2016 17 CONTACT US BUSINESS SWEDEN IN INDONESIA WISMA METROPOLITAN I (WTC5), 9TH FLOOR JL. JEND. SUDIRMAN. KAV.29, 12920 JAKARTA , INDONESIA P +62 (0)21 570 6000 F +62 (0)21 570 5268 [email protected]