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Nuffield Free-Standing Mathematics Activity Gender differences © Rudolf Stricker © Nuffield Foundation 2012 Manufacturers of children’s clothing need to consider the body measurements of boys and girls, and find answers to questions such as: What are the mean values? Are there significant differences between the body measurements of boys and girls? Do differences emerge at different ages? Carrying out significance tests on mean values can help to answer such questions. In this activity you will use anthropometric data to carry out significance tests of this type. © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Distribution of the sample mean When random variable X follows a normal distribution with mean μ and standard deviation σ the sample mean X follows a normal distribution with mean μ and standard deviation Think about Why is the standard deviation of the sample mean smaller? © Nuffield Foundation 2010 μ μ – 3σ μ + 3σ x n 3 n μ 3 n x Summary of method for testing a mean H0: mean, μ = value suggested and the alternative hypothesis: State the null hypothesis: H1: μ ≠ value suggested (2-tail test) or μ < value suggested or μ > value suggested (1-tail test) x Calculate the test statistic: z n where x is the mean of a sample of size n and σ is the standard deviation of the population © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Think about Can you explain this formula? What do you do if σ is not known? Summary of method for testing a mean Compare the test statistic with the critical value of z: 95% For a 1-tail test 5% level, critical value = 1.65 or –1.65 5% 1% level, critical value = 2.33 or –2.33 –1.65 0 For a 2-tail test 95% 5% level, critical values = 1.96 1% level, critical values = 2.58 z 2.5% 2.5% –1.96 0 1.96 z If the test statistic is in the critical region (tail of the distribution) reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative. © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Testing a mean: T-shirt example A clothing manufacturer designs t-shirts for a chest circumference of 540 mm. Is the mean for 4-year-old boys larger than this? Null hypothesis H0: μ = 540 mm Alternative hypothesis H1: μ > 540 mm 1-tail test Test statistic z x n 1 n μ = 540 Think about Why is a 1-tail test used? Using the data for 4-year-old males: x = 546.94355 z 546.94355 540 = 2.75 28.07432 124 © Nuffield Foundation 2010 σn – 1 = 28.07432 n = 124 Test statistic z = 2.75 For a 1-tail 1% significance test: 99% 1% z 0 2.33 2.75 The test statistic, z, is in the critical region. The result is significant at the 1% level, so reject the null hypothesis. Think about Explain the reasoning behind this conclusion. Conclusion There is strong evidence that the mean is more than 540 mm. © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Summary of method for testing the difference between means State the null hypothesis: H0: μA = μ B (μ A – μB = 0) and alternative hypothesis: H1: μ A ≠ μ B 2-tail test or μ A < μ B or μ A > μ B Calculate the test statistic: Think about Why are the variances added? 1-tail test x x A B z 2 2 A B n n A B Compare with the critical value of z. If the test statistic is in the critical region © Nuffield Foundation 2010 reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative. Testing the difference between means: Hand length example Using the data to test whether the hand lengths of 2-year-old boys are significantly different from those of 2-year-old girls. H0: μM = μ F (μ M – μF = 0) H1: μM ≠ μ F 2-tail test x x M F Test statistic: z 2 2 (n - 1)M (n - 1)F n n M F © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Testing the difference between proportions: Example Using the hand length data for 2-year-olds on the spreadsheet gives: x = 103.25 mm M x = 101 mm F = 7.9332 mm nM = 52 (n 1)F = 5.1478 mm nF = 49 (n 1)M x x M F Test statistic: z 2 2 (n - 1)M (n - 1)F n n M F z 103.25101 = 1.70 2 2 7.9332 5.1478 52 49 © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Testing the difference between means: Hand length example Test statistic: z = 1.70 For a 2-tail 5% test 95% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7 – 1.96 0 1.96 z The test statistic is not in the critical region. Conclusion There is no significant difference between the hand lengths of 2-year-old boys and girls. © Nuffield Foundation 2010 Think about Explain the reasoning behind this conclusion. At the end of the activity • What are the mean and standard deviation of the distribution of a sample mean? • Describe the steps in a significance test for a mean value. • Describe the steps in a significance test for the difference between means. • When should you use a one-tail test and when a two-tail test? • Would you be more confident in a significant result from a 5% significance test or a 1% significance test? Explain why. © Nuffield Foundation 2012