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4 The Market Forces of Supply and Demand In this chapter, look for the answers to these questions: What factors affect buyers’ demand for goods? PRINCIPLES OF What factors affect sellers’ supply of goods? How do supply and demand determine the price of ECONOMICS a good and the quantity sold? FOURTH EDITION How do changes in the factors that affect demand N. G R E G O R Y M A N K I W or supply affect the market price and quantity of a good? Premium PowerPoint® Slides by Ron Cronovich 2008 update Modified by Joseph Tao-yi Wang How do markets allocate resources? CHAPTER 4 © 2008 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning, all rights reserved Markets and Competition Markets and Competition A perfectly competitive market: A market is a group of buyers and sellers of a • all goods exactly the same • buyers & sellers so numerous that no one can particular product. A competitive market is one with many buyers and sellers, each has a negligible effect on price. In modern economics, A market is a group of buyers and sellers of a In modern economics, and sellers so you can always “switch” • No one can affect market price – each is a “price taker” (since others can always “switch”) A competitive market is one where buyers and In this chapter, we assume markets are perfectly sellers have a negligible effect on price because there are substitutes on either side. THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND affect market price – each is a “price taker” • There are perfect substitutes for both buyers particular product trading under certain “rules”. CHAPTER 4 competitive. 2 3 The Demand Schedule Demand The quantity demanded of any good is the Demand schedule: amount of the good that buyers are willing and able to purchase. A table that shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded. Law of demand: the claim that the quantity demanded of a good falls when the price of the good rises, other things equal Example: Helen’s demand for lattes. Notice that Helen’s preferences obey the Law of Demand. CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 1 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 4 CHAPTER 4 Price Quantity of of lattes lattes demanded $0.00 16 1.00 14 2.00 12 3.00 10 4.00 8 5.00 6 6.00 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 5 Helen’s Demand Schedule & Curve Market Demand versus Individual Demand Price Quantity of of lattes lattes demanded Price of Lattes $6.00 $0.00 16 1.00 14 $4.00 2.00 12 $3.00 3.00 10 $5.00 4.00 $2.00 0 CHAPTER 4 5 Suppose Helen and Ken are the only two buyers in 4 Quantity 15 of Lattes 10 6 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Price Helen’s Qd $0.00 16 + 8 = 24 1.00 14 + 7 = 21 2.00 12 + 6 = 18 3.00 10 + 5 = 15 4.00 8 + 4 = 12 5.00 6 + 3 = 9 6.00 4 + 2 = 6 The Market Demand Curve for Lattes P Qd (Market) $0.00 24 $5.00 1.00 21 $4.00 2.00 18 $3.00 3.00 15 4.00 12 5.00 9 6.00 6 P $6.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 (Qd = quantity demanded) the Latte market. 6 6.00 $0.00 the quantities demanded by all buyers at each price. 8 5.00 $1.00 The quantity demanded in the market is the sum of Ken’s Qd Market Qd Demand Curve Shifters The demand curve shows how price affects quantity demanded, other things being equal. These “other things” are non-price determinants of demand (i.e., things that determine buyers’ demand for a good, other than the good’s price). Changes in them shift the D curve… Q 0 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 8 Demand Curve Shifters: # of buyers CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 9 Demand Curve Shifters: # of buyers Increase in # of buyers Suppose the number of buyers increases. Then, at each P, Qd will increase (by 5 in this example). P increases quantity demanded at each price, shifts D curve to the right. $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 Q $0.00 0 CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 10 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 11 Demand Curve Shifters: income Demand Curve Shifters: Demand for a normal good is positively related prices of related goods Two goods are substitutes if to income. an increase in the price of one causes an increase in demand for the other. • Increase in income causes increase in quantity demanded at each price, shifts D curve to the right. Example: pizza and hamburgers. An increase in the price of pizza increases demand for hamburgers, shifting hamburger demand curve to the right. (Demand for an inferior good is negatively related to income. An increase in income shifts D curves for inferior goods to the left.) Other examples: laptops and desktop computers, compact discs and music downloads, • In the news: Fresh and Frozen Vegetables after a typhoon CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Demand Curve Shifters: 12 CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 13 Demand Curve Shifters: tastes prices of related goods Anything that causes a shift in tastes toward a Two goods are complements if good will increase demand for that good and shift its D curve to the right. an increase in the price of one causes a fall in demand for the other. Example: Example: computers and software. The organic diet became popular recently, caused an increase in demand for organic food, shifted the organic demand curve to the right. If price of computers rises, people buy fewer computers, and therefore less software. Software demand curve shifts left. Other examples: college tuition and textbooks, bagels and cream cheese, eggs and bacon • In the news: gasoline and cars CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 14 Demand Curve Shifters: expectations CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Summary: Variables That Affect Demand Expectations affect consumers’ buying Variable decisions. • If people expect their incomes to rise, their demand for meals at expensive restaurants may increase now. • If the economy turns bad and people worry about their future job security, demand for new autos may fall now. THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 16 A change in this variable… Price …causes a movement along the D curve No. of buyers …shifts the D curve Income …shifts the D curve Price of related goods …shifts the D curve Tastes …shifts the D curve Expectations …shifts the D curve Examples: CHAPTER 4 15 CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 17 ACTIVE LEARNING 1: ACTIVE LEARNING Demand curve 1: A. price of iPods falls Draw a demand curve for music downloads. What happens to it in each of the following scenarios? Why? Music Music downloads downloads and and iPods iPods are are complements. complements. A A fall fall in in price price of of iPods iPods shifts shifts the the demand demand curve curve for for music music downloads downloads to to the the right. right. Price of music downloads A. The price of iPods falls P1 B. The price of music downloads falls D2 D1 C. The price of compact discs falls Q2 Q1 Quantity of music downloads 18 19 1: B. price of music downloads falls ACTIVE LEARNING Price of music downloads Price of music downloads ACTIVE LEARNING The The D D curve curve does does not not shift. shift. Move Move down down along along curve curve to to aa point point with with lower lower P, P, higher higher Q. Q. P1 P2 CDs CDs and and music music downloads downloads are are substitutes. substitutes. A A fall fall in in price price of of CDs CDs shifts shifts demand demand for for music music downloads downloads to to the the left. left. P1 D1 Q1 Q2 1: C. price of CDs falls D1 D2 Q2 Quantity of music downloads Q1 Quantity of music downloads 20 21 The Supply Schedule Supply Supply schedule: The quantity supplied of any good is the A table that shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity supplied. amount that sellers are willing and able to sell. Law of supply: the claim that the quantity supplied of a good rises when the price of the good rises, other things equal Example: Starbucks’ supply of lattes. Notice that Starbucks’ supply schedule obeys the Law of Supply. CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 22 CHAPTER 4 Price of lattes Quantity of lattes supplied $0.00 0 1.00 3 2.00 6 3.00 9 4.00 12 5.00 15 6.00 18 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 23 Starbucks’ Supply Schedule & Curve P $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Market Supply versus Individual Supply Price of lattes Quantity of lattes supplied $0.00 0 1.00 3 2.00 6 3.00 9 4.00 12 5.00 15 6.00 18 The quantity supplied in the market is the sum of the quantities supplied by all sellers at each price. Suppose Starbucks and Jitters are the only two sellers in this market. Q 0 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 24 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND (Qs = quantity supplied) Market Qs Price Starbucks Jitters $0.00 0 + 0 = 1.00 3 + 2 = 5 2.00 6 + 4 = 10 3.00 9 + 6 = 15 4.00 12 + 8 = 20 5.00 15 + 10 = 25 6.00 18 + 12 = 30 0 Supply Curve Shifters The Market Supply Curve P $6.00 P QS (Market) $0.00 0 1.00 5 2.00 10 $4.00 3.00 15 $3.00 4.00 20 $2.00 5.00 25 6.00 30 $5.00 $1.00 The supply curve shows how price affects quantity supplied, other things being equal. These “other things” are non-price determinants of supply. Changes in them shift the S curve… Q $0.00 0 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 26 Supply Curve Shifters: input prices CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 27 Supply Curve Shifters: input prices Examples of input prices: Suppose the price of milk falls. At each price, the quantity of Lattes supplied will increase (by 5 in this example). P wages, prices of raw materials. $6.00 A fall in input prices makes production $5.00 more profitable at each output price, so firms supply a larger quantity at each price, and the S curve shifts to the right. $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 Q $0.00 0 CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 28 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 29 Supply Curve Shifters: technology Supply Curve Shifters: # of sellers Technology determines how much inputs are An increase in the number of sellers increases required to produce a unit of output. the quantity supplied at each price, A cost-saving technological improvement has shifts S curve to the right. the same effect as a fall in input prices, shifts S curve to the right. CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 30 Variable Example: • Events in the Middle East lead to expectations of higher oil prices. • In response, owners of Texas oilfields reduce supply now, save some inventory to sell later at the higher price. • S curve shifts left. supply* In general, sellers may adjust when their expectations of future prices change. (*If good not perishable.) THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND ACTIVE LEARNING 32 2: 31 A change in this variable… Price …causes a movement along the S curve Input prices …shifts the S curve Technology …shifts the S curve No. of sellers …shifts the S curve Expectations …shifts the S curve CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 33 A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2: A. fall in price of photo imaging software Supply curve Draw a supply curve for photo imaging software. What happens to it in each of the following scenarios? A. Retailers cut the price of the software. B. A technological advance allows the software to be produced at lower cost. THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Summary: Variables That Affect Supply Supply Curve Shifters: expectations CHAPTER 4 CHAPTER 4 Price of photo imaging software S1 P1 P2 S S curve curve does does not not shift. shift. Move Move down down along along the the curve curve to to aa lower lower P P and and lower lower Q. Q. Picture source: Wikipedia Q2 Q1 C. Professional photoshops raise the price of the services they provide. 34 Quantity of photo imaging software 35 2: B. fall in cost of producing the software 2: C. professional photoshops raise their price ACTIVE LEARNING Price of photo imaging software S1 Q2 Price of photo imaging software S S curve curve shifts shifts to to the the right: right: at at each each price, price, Q Q increases. increases. S2 P1 Q1 ACTIVE LEARNING Quantity of photo imaging software P D S $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 Equilibrium: P has reached the level where quantity supplied equals quantity demanded P Q QS $5.00 $0 24 0 $4.00 1 21 5 $3.00 2 18 10 3 15 15 4 12 20 5 9 25 6 6 30 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 $0.00 Q 5 CHAPTER 4 10 15 20 25 30 35 38 Equilibrium quantity: The quantity supplied and quantity demanded at the equilibrium price P D S $6.00 D S P Q Q 24 0 $5.00 $4.00 1 21 5 $4.00 $3.00 2 18 10 $3.00 3 15 15 4 12 20 5 9 25 $1.00 6 6 30 $0.00 $1.00 Q 0 CHAPTER 4 5 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND and QS = 25 lattes resulting in a surplus of 16 lattes Q 0 40 39 then QD = 9 lattes $2.00 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 10 15 20 25 30 35 Surplus: when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded P Example: D Surplus S $6.00 If P = $5, $0 $2.00 5 CHAPTER 4 $5.00 $0.00 Q 0 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 37 Equilibrium price: The price that equates quantity supplied with quantity demanded P D S $6.00 D $1.00 0 This This shifts shifts the the demand demand curve curve for for photo photo imaging imaging software, software, not not the the supply supply curve. curve. Quantity of photo imaging software 36 Supply and Demand Together $6.00 S1 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 41 Surplus: when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded P D Surplus S Facing a surplus, $6.00 sellers try to increase $5.00 sales by cutting price. Surplus: when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded P D Surplus S Facing a surplus, $6.00 sellers try to increase $5.00 sales by cutting price. $4.00 This causes QD to rise and QS to fall… $4.00 …which reduces the surplus. $2.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 5 CHAPTER 4 Prices continue to fall until market reaches equilibrium. $1.00 $0.00 Q 0 This causes QD to rise and QS to fall. $3.00 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q 0 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 42 5 CHAPTER 4 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Shortage: when quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied P Example: D S $6.00 If P = $1, $5.00 then $4.00 QD = 21 lattes and $3.00 QS = 5 lattes $2.00 resulting in a $1.00 shortage of 16 lattes Shortage: when quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied P Facing a shortage, D S $6.00 sellers raise the price, $0.00 $0.00 Shortage 0 5 CHAPTER 4 Q 10 15 20 25 30 35 44 Shortage: when quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied P Facing a shortage, D S $6.00 sellers raise the price, $2.00 $1.00 $2.00 $1.00 Shortage Q CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 45 To To determine determine the the effects effects of ofany anyevent, event, 1. 1. Decide Decide whether whetherevent eventshifts shifts SScurve, curve, DDcurve, curve,or orboth. both. 2. 2. Decide Decide in in which which direction direction curve curve shifts. shifts. Prices continue to rise until market reaches equilibrium. $3.00 $3.00 Three Steps to Analyzing Changes in Eq’m causing QD to fall and QS to rise. $4.00 causing QD to fall and QS to rise, …which reduces the shortage. $4.00 0 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND $5.00 $5.00 43 3. 3. Use Use supply-demand supply-demand diagram diagram to to see see how the shift changes eq’m P how the shift changes eq’m Pand and Q. Q. Shortage $0.00 Q 0 CHAPTER 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 46 CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 47 EXAMPLE: The Market for Hybrid Cars EXAMPLE 1: A Change in Demand EVENT TO BE ANALYZED: P price of hybrid cars P Increase in price of gas. S1 STEP 1: D curve shifts because STEP 2: price of gas affects demand for D shifts right hybrids. because high gas STEP 3: does S curve not price makes hybrids The shift causes an shift, more because attractiveprice increase in price of gas does not relative to other cars. and quantity affect cost of of hybrid cars. producing hybrids. P1 D1 Q Q1 quantity of hybrid cars CHAPTER 4 48 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND CHAPTER 4 D2 D1 Q Q1 Q2 • occurs when a non-price determinant of supply S1 changes (like technology or costs) Change in the quantity supplied: P2 a movement along a fixed S curve • occurs when P changes P1 Change in demand: a shift in the D curve • occurs when a non-price determinant of D2 D1 demand changes (like income or # of buyers) Q Q1 Q2 Change in the quantity demanded: a movement along a fixed D curve • occurs when P changes 50 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND EXAMPLE 2: A Change in Supply EXAMPLE 3: A Change in Both Supply EVENT: New technology P reduces cost of producing hybrid cars. EVENTS: price of gas rises AND new technology reduces production costs and Demand S1 S2 STEP 1: S curve shifts because STEP 2: event affects P1 cost of production. P2 S shifts right D curve does not because event STEPbecause 3: shift, reduces cost, The shift causes production technology makes production price to fallof the is not one more profitable at and quantity to rise. factors thatprice. affect any given demand. CHAPTER 4 49 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Change in supply: a shift in the S curve P Always be careful to distinguish b/w a shift in a curve and a movement along the curve. P1 Terms for Shift vs. Movement Along Curve EXAMPLE 1: A Change in Demand Notice: When P rises, producers supply a larger quantity of hybrids, even though the S curve has not shifted. CHAPTER 4 S1 P2 STEP 1: Both curves shift. P S1 S2 P2 P1 STEP 2: Both shift to the right. STEP 3: D1 Q1 Q2 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Q rises, but effect on P is ambiguous: If demand increases more than supply, P rises. Q 52 CHAPTER 4 D1 Q1 Q2 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND D2 Q 53 3: Changes in supply and demand EXAMPLE 3: A Change in Both Supply ACTIVE LEARNING and Demand EVENTS: price of gas rises AND new technology reduces production costs STEP 3, cont. But if supply increases more than demand, P falls. P S1 Event A: A fall in the price of compact discs P1 Event B: Sellers of music downloads negotiate a reduction in the royalties they must pay for each song they sell. P2 D2 D1 Q1 CHAPTER 4 Use the three-step method to analyze the effects of each event on the equilibrium price and quantity of music downloads. S2 Q Q2 Event C: Events A and B both occur. 54 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 3: ACTIVE LEARNING A. fall in price of CDs P ACTIVE LEARNING B. fall in cost of royalties The market for music downloads S1 STEPS 1. D curve shifts P1 2. D shifts left P2 55 P The market for music downloads S1 STEPS 3. P and Q both fall. D2 Q2 Q1 3: 1. S curve shifts (royalties are part 2. S shifts right of sellers’ costs) 3. P falls, Q rises. D1 S2 P1 P2 Q D1 Q1 Q2 56 Q 57 CONCLUSION: 3: C. fall in price of CDs AND fall in cost of royalties ACTIVE LEARNING How Prices Allocate Resources One of the Ten Principles from Chapter 1: Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity. STEPS STEPS 1. 1. Both Both curves curves shift shift (see (see parts parts AA && B). B). In market economies, prices adjust to balance 2. 2. D D shifts shifts left, left, SS shifts shifts right. right. supply and demand. These equilibrium prices are the signals that guide economic decisions and thereby allocate scarce resources. 3. 3. PP unambiguously unambiguously falls. falls. Effect Effect on on Q Q is is ambiguous: ambiguous: The The fall fall in in demand demand reduces reduces Q, Q, the increase in supply the increase in supply increases increases Q. Q. 58 CHAPTER 4 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 59 CHAPTER SUMMARY A competitive market has many buyers and CHAPTER SUMMARY Besides price, demand depends on buyers’ sellers, each of whom has little or no influence on the market price. incomes, tastes, expectations, the prices of substitutes and complements, and # of buyers. If one of these factors changes, the D curve shifts. Economists use the supply and demand model to The upward-sloping supply curve reflects the Law analyze competitive markets. of Supply, which states that the quantity sellers supply depends positively on the good’s price. The downward-sloping demand curve reflects the Law of Demand, which states that the quantity buyers demand of a good depends negatively on the good’s price. CHAPTER 4 Other determinants of supply include input prices, technology, expectations, and the # of sellers. Changes in these factors shift the S curve. 60 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND CHAPTER SUMMARY The intersection of S and D curves determine CHAPTER 4 61 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND CHAPTER SUMMARY We can use the supply-demand diagram to analyze the effects of any event on a market: First, determine whether the event shifts one or both curves. Second, determine the direction of the shifts. Third, compare the new equilibrium to the initial one. the market equilibrium. At the equilibrium price, quantity supplied equals quantity demanded. If the market price is above equilibrium, a surplus results, which causes the price to fall. If the market price is below equilibrium, a shortage results, causing the price to rise. In market economies, prices are the signals that guide economic decisions and allocate scarce resources. CHAPTER 4 62 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Seeing the Invisible Hand CHAPTER 4 63 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand 12 10 9 10 8 7 8 Demand Price Price 6 6 5 Supply 4 4 3 2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Quantity 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Quantity Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand 12 12 10 10 8 Demand Supply 6 Price Price 8 6 Demand 4 4 2 2 0 1 2 3 4 0 5 6 7 8 9 10 Quantity 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Quantity Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand Seeing the Invisible Hand 12 10 10 8 8 6 Supply Price Price Seeing the Invisible Hand 12 4 4 2 2 0 Demand 6 Supply 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Quantity Summary • Supply, Demand, and Equilibrium • Step 1: Identify which curve shifts (or both) • Step 2: Identify what direction did it shift • Step 3: Use the S/D graph to find how equilibrium price and quantity change • Homework: Mankiw, p. 85-87, Problem 4, 7, 8, 12, 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity 7 8 9 10