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Chapter 13 The Trade Policy Debate: Export Promotion, Import Substitution, and Economic Integration Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution Export promotion: looking outward and seeing trade barriers – Primary-commodity export expansion Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-2 Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution Export promotion: looking outward and seeing trade barriers – Primary-commodity export expansion – Expanding manufactured good exports Import substitution: looking inward but still paying outward – Tariffs, infant industries, and protection Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-3 Figure 13.1 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-4 Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution The IS industrialization strategy and results Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-5 Tariff Structures and Effective Protection The nominal tariff rate, t, is p p t p (13.1) Where p′ is the tariff-inclusive price p is the free trade price Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-6 Tariff Structures and Effective Protection The effective tariff rate, g, is v v g v (13.2) Where v′ is the value added per unit of output, inclusive of the tariff v is the value added per unit of output under free trade Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-7 Table 13.1 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-8 Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution The IS industrialization strategy and results Foreign-exchange rates, exchange controls, and the devaluation decision Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-9 Figure 13.2 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-10 Summary and Conclusions: Trade Optimists and Trade Pessimists Trade pessimist arguments Trade optimist arguments The industrialization strategy approach to export policy Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-11 Reconciling the Arguments: The Data and Consensus Neither the trade optimists nor the trade pessimists are always right There are many factors that determine whether trade is good or bad for a country Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-12 South-South Trade and Economic Integration: Looking Outward and Inward The growth of trade among developing countries Economic integration: theory and practice Regional trading blocks and the globalization of trade Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-13 Table 13.2 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-14 Trade Policies of Developed Countries: the Need for Reform Rich-nation tariff and nontariff trade barriers and the 1995 Uruguay Round (see figure 13.3 for quantitative impact ) Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-15 Figure 13.3 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-16 Trade Policies of Developed Countries: the Need for Reform Rich-nation tariff and nontariff trade barriers and the 1995 Uruguay Round WTO—1995 Doha Round—2001 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-17 Concepts for Review Adjustment assistance Autarchy Common market Customs union Depreciation Devaluation Dual exchange rate Doha Development Agenda Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Economic integration Economic Union Effective rate of protection Exchange control Exchange rate Export promotion Flexible exchange rate 13-18 Concepts for Review (cont’d) Free-market exchange rate General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) Globalization Import substitution Infant industry International commodity agreements Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Inward-looking development policies Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) New protectionism Nominal rate of protection Nontariff trade barriers 13-19 Concepts for Review (cont’d) Official exchange rate Outward-looking development policies Overvalued exchange rate Parallel exchange rate Quotas Regional trading bloc Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Rent seeking Synthetic substitutes Tariffs Trade creation Trade diversion Trade liberalization Trade optimists Trade pessimists 13-20 Concepts for Review (cont’d) Uruguay Round Value added Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Wage-price spiral World Trade Organization (WTO) 13-21