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QUEENSLAND TREASURY OFFICE OF ECONOMIC AND STATISTICAL RESEARCH QUEENSLAND STATE ACCOUNTS: SEPT QTR 2011 Main Features September quarter 2011 Gross State Product (CVM, trend): ↑ 0.8% (quarterly) ↑ 1.4% (annual) Queensland Rest of Australia ↑ 0.7% (quarterly) ↑ 2.3% (annual) Australia ↑ 0.8% (quarterly) ↑ 2.1% (annual) 2010-11 Gross State/Domestic Product (Revised): ↑ 0.2% Queensland ↑ 2.4% Rest of Australia Australia (GDP) ↑ 1.9% September quarter results Private investment rose 7.4% in 2010-11, a turnaround following a decline of 11.5% in the previous year. Business investment increased 22.3%, which more than offset a 14.4% decline in dwelling investment. Public final demand rose a marginal 0.1% in 2010-11, with growth in general government consumption offsetting lower public investment. The trade sector (net exports) detracted 3.5 percentage points from Queensland economic growth in 2010-11, after contributing 2.4% points to overall growth in the previous year. Both lower exports (down 7.9%) and higher imports (up 3.0%) detracted from Queensland’s growth in 2010-11. Table 1: Components of Quarterly Economic Growth September quarter 2011 The latest Queensland State Accounts show that, in real trend terms, Queensland Gross State Product (GSP) increased 0.8% in September quarter 2011, to be 1.4% higher over the year to September quarter 2011. Domestic economic activity for Queensland continued to grow, with Gross State Expenditure rising 2.4% in the September quarter to be 8.3% higher over the year. Household consumption increased 1.1% in the September quarter to be 3.7% higher over the year. Queensland dwelling investment has picked up, rising 3.0% in the September quarter. Over the year, however, dwelling investment was 8.7% lower. Queensland business investment (comprising non-dwelling construction and machinery and equipment investment) increased by a record 14.2% in the September quarter, to be 59.3% higher over the year. Public final demand (comprising general government consumption and investment, and public corporations investment) declined 1.7% in the September quarter to be 3.8% lower over the year to September quarter 2011. Household consumption 1.1 1.0 Private investment Dwelling investment Business investment 9.4 3.0 14.2 2.5 -0.8 3.2 Public final demand General government consumption Public corporations investment General government investment -1.7 -1.0 -8.2 -1.3 -0.5 0.2 -0.8 -3.6 Gross state expenditure 2.4 0.8 Exports of goods and services less Imports of goods and services 1.4 7.0 2.1 3.2 Gross state product (a) 0.8 0.7 -2.1 -0.3 1.4 3.1 -0.6 2.2 2.0 2.2 1.3 1.9 Net exports (% point contribution to GSP growth) Current Prices Compensation of employees Gross operating surplus and mixed income Taxes less subsidies Gross state product (a) (a) Includes statistical discrepancy. Table 2: Year-average Economic Growth, Queensland Chain Volume Measures Revised 2010-11 financial year results Private investment Dwelling investment Business Investment The growth of the Queensland economy in 2010-11 was driven by domestic demand, which more than offset a detraction from the trade sector. Household final consumption expenditure grew 2.4% in 2010-11, following growth of 1.9% in 2009-10. CONTACT: Sylvia Sivo (Ph: 3224 4201), OESR CC By Logo http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/au/ Rest of Australia quarterly % change, trend Chain Volume Measures Net exports detracted 2.1 percentage points from economic growth in the September quarter. A rise in imports (up 7.0%) more than offset higher exports (up 1.4%). While revised estimates have changed several components, Queensland’s overall growth estimate for 2010-11 is unchanged at 0.2%. Queensland 2009-10 (r) 2010-11 (r) year-avg % change, original Household consumption 1.9 2.4 -11.5 -4.9 -18.9 7.4 -14.4 22.3 4.2 0.1 Gross state expenditure -1.0 3.6 Exports of goods and services less Imports of goods and services 7.0 -0.9 -7.9 3.0 1.4 0.2 2.4 -3.5 Public final demand Gross state product (a) Net exports (% point contribution to GSP growth) (r) Revised (a) Includes statistical discrepancy. Full QSA details can be found at the OESR website. INTERNET: www.oesr.qld.gov.au The State of Queensland (Queensland Treasury) 2012