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Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 Objective: Identify Bernoulli trials and compute related statistics A Bernoulli trials is an experiment with two outcomes, success and failure. Examples: Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 If the probability of success of a Bernoulli trial is p, what is the probability of failure? Examples: Consider a Bernoulli trial with probability of success p=0.2. In three trials, what is the probability of exactly two successes? Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 When rolling a fair number cube, what is the probability of getting exactly 4 ones on 5 rolls? Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 Which is more likely, getting 4 ones on 5 rolls, or getting exactly 5 ones on 30 rolls? Consider another Bernoulli trial with probability of success p=0.2. Find the probability that there will be at least one success in three trials. Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 Calculate the mean and variance for a single trial of a Bernoulli trial with a probability of success of p. Calculate the mean and variance for n trials of a Bernoulli trial with a probability of success of p. Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 Math 3 A Block 1.12.15 January 12, 2015 Z-Score A z-score is the number of standard deviations away from the mean. Calculate the z-score for the last example. Homework: p.250-251 #1a, 2a, 3, 4abc, 6, 10-12, 15