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Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 RES-E Case Study Analyses and Synthesis of Results Dr.-Ing. Derk J. Swider Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy (IER) Universität Stuttgart, Germany Coordinator of WP2 and WP5 of the GreenNet-EU27 project, financially supported by the European Commission (Contract No. EIE/04/049/S07.38561). Legal Disclaimer: The sole responsibility for the content of this work lies with the authors. It does not represent the opinion of the European Communities. The European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein. 1 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Outline RES-E Case Study Analyses and Synthesis of Results 1. Introduction 2. Description of electricity systems 3. Conditions for RES-E grid integration 4. Costs for RES-E grid integration 5. Best-practice cases for RES-E grid integration 6. Conclusions 2 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Motivation Proposition: The costs of integrating RES-E in an existing grid can form a significant barrier for the deployment of RES-E. • Just starts to get into the focus of energy policy makers as it gains importance if wind offshore is considered. • The allocation of grid reinforcement and extension costs may lead to first-mover disadvantages. • This may reduce the willingness to invest and may thus hamper the deployment of RES-E. 3 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Country specific analysis For different European countries the questions What conditions apply for RES-E grid integration? Who has to pay for any additional costs? are answered based on literature reviews and stakeholder interviews. Country Germany Netherlands United Kingdom Sweden Austria Lithuania Slovenia Wind power Onshore Offshore Biomass Photovoltaic 4 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Electricity systems (I) • Considered electricity systems differ in terms of their respective size but are similar in consumption per capita. 5 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Electricity systems (II) 2010 targets (EU Directive 2001/77/EC) 6 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Supporting schemes (I) Feed-in tariff Are characterized by a defined price paid to the RES-E generators. Any arising additional costs are passed through to the consumers by way of a premium on the price. Has the advantage of investment security but also the disadvantage of a risk of over-funding. Quota Are characterized by selling RES-E at market prices. The financing of additional costs is remunerated by all consumers (in some countries producers) obliged to purchase a certain number of certificates from RES-E producers. Has the advantage of a market-based instrument but also the disadvantage of risks for investors. 7 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Supporting schemes (II) Country Germany Netherlands United Kingdom Sweden Austria* Lithuania Slovenia Supporting Scheme Feed-in tariff Quota Incentives * The supporting scheme is currently under revision. The most important change will be a cap on the financial support for the various RES-E generation technologies. • Most of the countries decided to use the feed-in tariff as a supporting scheme for the development of RES-E. • The implementation of these schemes is different from country to country which effects the RES-E development. 8 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Grid connection (I) • In general, national governments demand RES-E to be connected with priority compared to conventional generation. • They are usually connected to the next available connection point of the existing grid with the procedure defined in grid codes. • Normally, RES-E does not have the same requirements as conventional plants regarding the provision of system services. 9 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Grid connection (II) Distribution grid taken from WP6 presentation Transmission grid taken from WP6 presentation 10 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Grid related costs • In the case studies three cost categories are distinguished: 1) Shallow grid integration costs; 2) Deep grid integration costs; 3) Other fixed and variable costs. • Costs related to the central connection point of a RES-E site are considered as shallow grid integration costs • All expenses in the existing grid related to the connection of the new RES-E site are considered to be deep grid integration costs. 11 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Cost allocation (I) Super-shallow approach Advantage: high incentive to invest Shallow approach Advantage: reasonable incentive Deep approach taken from WP6 presentation Advantage: reflects real costs All these approaches may lead to an inefficient system as they do not sufficiently provide locational signals. 12 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Cost allocation (II) Country Germany Netherlands United Kingdom Sweden Austria Lithuania Slovenia Cost allocation philosophy Shallow Hybrid Deep • It can be seen that there is no consensus, due to the fact that there are many different stakeholders involved. • RES-E cost allocation is of major importance and can adversely affect the economic viability of RES-E. 13 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Grid integration costs (I) • Grid integration costs are often not specified separately or it is not always clear what they comprise. • Grid integration costs are always site specific; influencing factors are most importantly distance, trajectory, etc. Country Germany Netherlands United Kingdom Sweden Austria Lithuania Slovenia * One case study only. Wind power Onshore Offshore Min Max Min Max 45 40 95 170 150 130 85* 210* 35* - - 185 180 - 600 205 - Biomass Photovoltaic Min Max Min Max - - 0 50 125 100 600 985 100 - 30* - 15* (EUR/kW) 14 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Grid integration costs (II) 15 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Unit generation costs (I) • Cost estimation based on the average lifetime levelized electricity generation cost (EGC) approach as applied in the OECD study. • The OECD study focused on calculating busbar costs, at the station, and did not include transmission and distribution costs. With: It Mt Ft Et r Investment expenditures in the year t Operations and maintenance expenditures in the year t Fuel expenditures in the year t Electricity generation in the year t Discount rate 16 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Unit generation costs (II) • Feed-in tariffs for established RES-E technologies are usually well chosen and provide sufficient support to invest. Upper bound of normalized RES-E unit generation costs and respective feed-in tariff (in EUR/MWh for 2004; lifetime assumed 20 years; interest rate 10%; full-load hours: 2100 h/y for wind onshore, 3000 h/y for wind offshore, 6000 h/y for biomass and 800 h/y for photovoltaics). Country Wind power Onshore Offshore Costs Tariff Costs Tariff Germany Netherlands* Austria 85 90 95 87 65 78 120 130 - 91 97 - Biomass Photovoltaic Costs Tariff Costs Tariff 145 115 97 165 830 - 97 - * Premium on the market price • Feed-in tariffs for newer RES-E technologies, as for example for wind offshore, do often not provide sufficient support to invest. 17 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Best practice cases (I) • For RES-E the most important and influencing actors in the energy market are energy policy makers and associated regulators. • Often two partly opposite aims are followed: i. establishing an efficient and cost minimized market ii. introduction of a defined share of RES-E generation • Principally fixed RES-E investment incentives, like a feed-in tariff, reduce the developers’ exposure to risk. • Regarding the past development of RES-E the situation in Germany seems to be the most favorable of all considered countries. • However, for wind offshore the grid integration costs may constitute a significant barrier to invest (lead Germany to switch to a super-shallow approach). 18 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Best practice cases (II) 450.000 Reference scenario Wind generation of new plants (installed after 2004) [GWh/yr] 400.000 Super-shallow charging scenario Deep charging scenario 350.000 300.000 250.000 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 taken from WP6 presentation 2007 2006 2005 0 19 Results on WP5: Case studies on RES-E grid integration GreenNet-EU27 Recommendations Large-scale RES-E grid integration… …may be hampered by barriers due to the chosen supporting scheme and cost allocation approach (first-mover disadvantages). …requires clarification concerning the distribution of any additional expenses between the market actors (plant and grid operators). Therefore… …create mechanisms in grid regulation policies able to identify and remunerate investments caused by RES-E grid integration. …try to have the major part of the grid integration costs, especially deep costs, covered by the grid operator (remunerate to society). Then barriers for new RES-E deployment are reduced and ambitious goals can be met with minimal (extra) costs for society. 20