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Protecting the Poor Pakistan Development Forum Nov 14, 2010 Shahnaz Wazir Ali Special Assistant to the Prime Minister on Social Sectors Demographic Profile (2010) GB 0.3% KPK 14% AJK 2% 54.5% BALOCHISTAN 5.4 % SINDH 23% Population 174m Male 52% Female 48% Urban 33% Rural 67% 1 POPULATION PYRAMID TFR=3.6 Female 65+ Male 12% 0-14 Female Male 12% WRA 15-49 WRA 50-64 TFR=2.8 26% 26% 26% 27% 35 % 32% 2010 2020 174m 214m 2 Key Education Challenges Quality/ Access Equity (Primary NER %) 25.5M 68% 8.8M Private 26% Out of School 53% 3% 16.7M Enrolled Public 42% 50% 1.2M Primary Tertiary Urban Rural 3 Key Education Challenges 4.0% of GDP $ 6.7bn Funding Gap Rs.213bn ($2.4 bn) 4.7 Public/Private Investment Rs.372bn ($4.3 bn) (FY 9/10) 4 Government Policy Framework Service Provision: Focus in rural areas/urban slums and girls Targeted: Stipends, food incentives/vouchers (e.g. PEF, SEF) Basic facilities, free textbooks/materials and good teachers Standards/improved monitoring and accountability Donor collaboration at provincial level / maximize aid effectiveness Non-state/para-state initiatives (e.g. Citizen’s Foundation, NCHD) 5 26 180 24 160 22 140 120 20 100 18 80 16 60 14 12 Population Millions Wheat Production ‘000 tones Food Security and Nutrition 40 Wheat Population 10 Factors that impact household consumption 1. Production/ availability 2. Distribution/ access 3. Affordability/ inflation 20 0 6 Food Security and Nutrition Caloric intake: 1920 to 1650 cal/d Malnourishment in population: 24% Malnourishment among children: 38% FER 57% of HH income 7 Food Security and Nutrition Government Response BISP School Feeding (WFP) Disaster/ flood food support (WFP) Iodized salt, Vit A, E (ed oil) Iron in wheat fortification Utility Stores (subsidized) FSP (Punjab) 8 Health Sector Financing Public Sector $1 bn (0.6% GDP) Private spending $2 bn on health Preventive: 45% GoP allocation Curative: 55% public and all private funds Services Public Sector: Preventive >95%, Curative 20% Private sector: Preventive <5%, Curative 80% 9 Primary Role of State Maternal and Child Health Ensuring safe deliveries Family Planning Vaccination (polio eradication) Integrated Disease Surveillance Essential Health Services Package Quality, Standards and Regulation Human Resource for Health 10 HRH: Types of Healthcare Providers Rawalpindi (Urban) Other 13% Doctor 35% Dispensor 12% Homeopa th 24% Hakim 16% Tando Allah Yar (Remote Rural) Other 4% Rawalpindi (Close Rural) Other 19% Doctor 25% Doctor 32% Hakim 2% Dispensor 52% Homeopat h 17% Dispensor 19% Homeopath 16% Hakim 14% 11 Family Planning Services Private sector accounts for >50% of FP services Missing data 4.5m 13% MoH 0.6m 17% Out of Pocket 1.3m 39% 3.4 million (14%) of MWRA receive FP services any given year MoPW 0.67m 18% NGOs/Private Hospitals 0.4m 13% 12 Protecting the Poor and Vulnerable A. Programs of Social Assistance: BISP (Rs 22bn to 88bn) Baitul Mal – Health net, Child Labor, orphanages, disabilities Zakat (Rs 4.2bn) B. Programs of Social Insurance Social Health Insurance (BISP) EOBI, Workers Welfare Fund Employees Social Security Scheme Workers Profit Participation Fund Workers Children Education cess Provincial initiatives 13 Protecting the Poor and Vulnerable 1. Rural Support Programs: Govt funding: Rs 4.5bn Donors Rs 2.3bn Coverage 3.5m HH via community mobilization 2. Private Philanthropy: Est at Rs 150bn (39% health and 30% education) 3. PPAF (Rs 14.3bn) 4.1m beneficiaries 4. NCHD 14 Critical Trends Transfer from Federation to Provinces (18th Amendment and the NFC Award) Shrinking state services and increasing role of markets Mediation by State for Equity Quality Types of services Financing 15