Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Chapter 2: The Foreign Exchange Market Power Points created by: Joseph F. Greco Ph. D., California State University, Fullerton Mihaylo College of Business and Economics Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 1 Chapter 2: The Foreign Exchange Market 2.1 The Organization of the Foreign Exchange Market 2.2 Currency Quotes and Prices 2.3 Inside the Interbank Market I: Bid-Ask Spreads and Bank Profits 2.4 Inside the Interbank Market II: Communications and Fund Transfers 2.5 Describing Changes in Exchange Rates Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 2 2.1 The Organization of the Foreign Exchange Market • The Organization: Overview • Size of the Market • Types of Contracts Traded • Foreign Exchange Brokers • Computerized Trading Systems • The Competitive Marketplace Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3 Exhibit 2.1 The Structure of the Foreign Exchange Market Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4 2.1 The Organization of the Foreign Exchange Market • Size of the Market • Largest financial market in the world,measured by dollar volume of trade • Types of Contracts Traded • Focus in this chapter is on a spot market contract that is settled in 48 hours Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 5 London、NewYork、Paris等市场 at the third day;香港市场,HongKong dollars exchange for dollars at the trading day for delivery;HongKong dollars exchange for JPY at the next day. Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6 Exhibit 2.2 Foreign Exchange Trading Activity Around the World Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 7 2.1 The Organization of the Foreign Exchange Market • Foreign Exchange Dealers – Foreign exchange dealers – Market makers – Liquidity • Easy to match buyers and sellers • Low transaction costs Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 8 • Foreign Exchange brokers – market matching – financial intermediary • Easy to match buyers and sellers • Low transaction costs Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 9 2.1 The Organization of the Foreign Exchange Market • Computerized Trading Systems • Dealing 3000 • EBS The Competitive Marketplace • low cost • no abnormal profits • no single dealer dorminates market Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 10 Exhibit 2.3 The Top 20 Dealers in the Foreign Exchange Market Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 11 2.2 Currency Quotes and Prices Currency Quotes and Prices: Overview • Exchange Rates • Exchange Rate Quotes • Vehicle Currencies and Currency Cross-Rates • Example: Trading currency in the New York market where both currencies are not expressed in U.S. dollars • Triangular Arbitrage Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 12 Example of cross rate • • • • • • 1.USD/DEM=1.8421/28,USD/HKD=7.8085/95 so,DEM/HKD Answer: bid price of DEM=7.8085/1.8428=4.2373 ask price of DEM=7.8095/1.8421=4.2395 DEM/HKD=4.2373/95 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 13 • • • • • • 2.GBP/USD=1.6125/35,AUD/USD=0.7120/30 so,GBP/AUD Answer bid price of GBP=1.6125/0.7130=2.2616 ask price of GBP=1.6135/0.7120=2.2662 GBP/AUD=2.2616/62 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 14 • 3.GBP/USD=1.6125/35,USD/JPY=150.80/ 90 • so,GBP/JPY • Answer • bid price of GBP=1.6125*150.80=243.17 • ask price of GBP=1.6135*150.90=243.48 • GBP/JPY=243.17/48 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 15 2.2 Currency Quotes and Prices • Exchange Rates • Exchange Rate Quotes • Direct quotes • Indirect Quotes • European Quote • American Quote • Dollar price of a foreign currency Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 16 Exhibit 2.4 Currencies and Currency Symbols Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 17 Exhibit 2.5 Currency Quotes in the Wall Street Journal Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 18 2.2 Currency Quotes and Prices • Vehicle Currencies and Currency Cross-Rates • Vehicle currency • Cross-rates • Example: Trading currency in the New York market where both currencies are not expressed in U.S. dollars Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 19 Exhibit 2.6 Cross-rates Quotes in the Wall Street Journal Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 20 2.2 Currency Quotes and Prices • Triangular Arbitrage • An arbitrage process involving three currencies Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 21 Exhibit 2.7 Triangular Arbitrage Diagram Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 22 Exhibit 2.8 Good and Bad Triangular Arbitrages Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 23 • • • • NewYork:USD/DEM,1.5020/30 NewYork:USD/GBP,0.5875/0.5885 London:GBP/DEM,2.5610/2.5620 if customer holding 1000,000,first NewYork1000000*0.5875=£587500 • London587500*2.5610=DM1504587.5 • NewYork1504587.5/1.503=1001056 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 24 • customer hold 1000,000 Pound, London1000000*2.5610=DM2561000 • NewyorkDM2561000/1.503=$1703925.5 • Newyork$1703925.5*0.5875=£1001056 • customer hold 1000000DM, • NewYork1000000/1.503=$665336 • NewYork$665336*0.5875=£390885 • London£390885*2.5610=DM1001056 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 25 2.3 Inside the Interbank Market I: Bid-Ask Spreads and Bank Profits The Interbank Market: Overview • Introduction • Bid-Ask Spreads • The difference between the ask rate and the bid rate • The Magnitude of Bid-Ask Spreads • Bid-Ask Spreads All Day Around the Work Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 26 2.3 Inside the Interbank Market I: Bid-Ask Spreads and Bank Profits • Introduction • Bid rate • Ask Rate • Bid-Ask Spread • Bid-Ask Spreads • Offer Price Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 27 2.3 Inside the Interbank Market I: Bid-Ask Spreads and Bank Profits • The Magnitude of Bid-Ask Spreads • Pip • Fourth decimal place in a dealer’s quote • percentage spread=100*(ask-bid)/ask • ask rate is $1.1895/*,bid rate is $1.1891/* • the spread is 100*1.18951.1891/1.1895=0.03% • Bid-Ask Spreads • The difference between the bid and the ask rates Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 28 2.4 Inside the Interbank Market II: Communications and Fund Transfers • Communication Systems • Society of Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications (SWIFT) • Clearing House Interbank Payments System (CHIPS) • Trans-European Automated Real-time Gross Settlement Express Transfer (TARGET) • Fedwire • Cross-Currency Settlement (Herstatt Risk) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 29 Exhibit 2.9 The Reciprocal Nature of Bid and Ask Exchange Rates Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 30 the reciprocal nature of bid ask spread • from the picture, we can see in selling yen for dollars , the seller will receive the bid price of $/¥ which is the reciprocal of the bank's ask yen price per dollar 1/(¥/$), in selling dollar for yen, receive bank' s bid price of yen to dollar is the reciprocal of bank's ask price of dollars for yen. Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 31 Exhibit 2.10 Communication Systems in the Forex Market Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 32 2.4 Inside the Interbank Market II: Communications and Fund Transfers • Cross-Currency Settlement (or Herstatt) Risk • The risk that a financial institution may not deliver the currency on one side of a completed transaction Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 33 2.5 Describing Changes in Exchange Rates • Introduction • Appreciation • Depreciation • Devaluations • Revaluations • Rates of Appreciation and Depreciation are used to describe changes in exchange rates when exchange rates are allowed to be flexible Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 34 • devalution and revaluation means some country use fixed or peg exchange rate system if the monetary authorities increase the demestic currency price of foreign exchange , they are devaluating their money , or is revaluating • P61 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 35 Exhibit 2.11 Netting Arrangements Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 36 Exhibit 2.11 Netting Arrangements Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 37