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McLean County Unit District No. 5 CURRICULUM GUIDE (Sections 1-3) Section 1 – Course Description Book Information Course Title: Advanced Placement Statistics Course Description: ADVANCED PLACEMENT STATISTICS (Yearly 1 Credit) (11,12) (AP Level) Prerequisite: “B” or higher in Honors Algebra 2; or “A” in Algebra 2. Prior enrollment in MAT 842 (Probability & Statistics) is not required but may be beneficial. Advanced Placement Statistics is a course designed to cover the topics of a first year college statistics course. Topics that will be covered include examining distributions of data through the use of graphs, tables, and formulas, planning and conducting surveys and/or experiments, exploring probability concepts, studying sampling distributions, and exploring inferences, confidence intervals, and tests of significance. Students enrolled in this course are encouraged to take the Advanced Placement examination in Statistics in May at their own expense. On the basis of this examination, a student’s college will determine how much credit in college mathematics the student will receive. A graphing calculator is required. Course Goal / Rationale: This course provides another challenging course to those students who have begun taking Algebra or Geometry at the junior high level and would like to earn possible college credit while at the same time completing high school mathematics courses. Grade Level(s): 11,12 Prerequisite(s): Grade of A, B in Honors Algebra 2, A in Algebra 2 Course Weight (high school only): Honors Level Credit (high school only): Yearly 1 Credit Duration: 1 year Course Number: Section 2 – Curriculum Map/Pacing Guide for AP Statistics Grading Period Number of Days 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 4 3 4 2 CONTENT Knowledge / Skills / Concepts 1.1 Analyzing Categorical Data Identify variables and related vocabulary Common Core Standard(s) 7-SP.1 S-ID.5 S-CP.4 A-CED.1 A-SSE.1 A-REI.10 F-IF.6 F-IF.7 F-LE.1 F-LE.5 S-ID.7 S-ID.2 Possible Assignments Other Related Materials p. 22: 9 – 13, 19 – 24 p.42: 39 – 42, 48, 49 Use of Graphs on the TI-84 p. 70: 81 – 86, 91, 94 Use of Data on TI-84 p.105: 1-8, 12 - 19 TI- 84 Graphing Utilities A-REI.2 A-REI.3 F-IF.5 p.131: 44 – 50, 55-64 Normal Curve Applet 3.1Scatterplots and Correlation Explanatory and Response Variables Scatterplots on the calculator Association and Correlation S-ID.1 S-ID.6 S-ID.8 S-ID.9 p.158: 3, 4, 6, 10 – 16 TI-84 Graphing Utilities Online Correlation Applet 3.2 Least Squares Regression Interpreting a regression line Interpolation and Extrapolation Residuals and Standard deviation of the residuals Outliers F-BF.1 S-ID.3 S-ID.4 p. 191: 35 – 42, 47 – 54, 59 TI-84 Graphing Utilities 4.1 Sampling and Surveys Population and sample Sampling techniques Coverage and undercoverage Sampling errors and non-response S-IC.3 p.226: 1 – 12, 13 – 20, 24 - 28 4.2 Experiments Observational studies Experiments Experimental vocabulary Randomized Design A-CED.1 p. 253: 45 – 50, 55 – 61, 71- 73, 82 - 90 4.3 Using studies wisely Inference and causation Data Ethics Bias S-IC.6 1.2 Displaying Data with Graphs Describe distributions Basic Graphs and interpret data from observed patterns 1.3 Describing Quantitative Data with Numbers Four Measures of Center 5 number summary, IQR, Choosing appropriate measure of center 2.1 Describing location in a distribution Position: Percentiles, Deciles, Quartiles z-scores Density Curves 2.2 Normal Distributions Normal Curve Standard Normal Relationship between z-score and distribution Assessing Normality S-ID.3 p. 269: 102 - 111 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 1 3 2 3 2 5.1 Randomness, Probability, and Simulation Probability vocabulary Simulation exercises 5.2 Probability Rules Sample Space Probability vocabulary Use of Venn diagrams A-CED.2 S-CP.7 S-MD.5 S-MD.6 S-MD.7 A-CED.3 A.APR.5 S-MD.6 S-CP.7 p. 293: 1 – 6, 11 – 18, 21, 27, 28 Online Probability Applet p. 309: 39, 41 – 44, 51, 52, 55, 56 Manipulatives 5.3 Conditional Probability and Independence Conditional Independent Events Multiplication rule A-CED.2 S-CP.1 S-CP.3 S-CP.6 p. 329: 63 – 68, 73 – 82, 93 - 95 A-CED.4 S-CP.2 S-CP.5 G-CP.8 S-MD.1 S-MD.2 S-MD.4 S-MD.5 p. 353: 1, 4 – 7, 15 – 20, 29, 30 6.2 Transforming and combining random variables Linear Transformations Combining random variables Variance and mean of differences F-BF.3 p. 378: 37 – 40, 43 – 48, 52 - 57 6.3Binomial and Geometric random variables Binominal settings Binomial distributions and coefficients Mean and standard deviation of a binomial Geometric random variables S-IC.4 p. 403: 71 – 73, 80 – 85, 88, 89, 94, 95 7.1 What is a sampling distribution? Parameters and statistics Variability and estimators S-IC.4 p. 428: 1 – 8, 12, 13, 16 18 7.2 Sample Proportions Sample distributions of p hat and sample proportions Normal approximations S-IC.4 p. 439: 27 – 30, 32 – 38, 43 - 46 7.3 Sample Means Central Limit Theorem S-IC.4 p. 454: 49 – 54, 60 - 62 8.1 Confidence Intervals Point estimates Confidence intervals S-IC.4 p. 481: 1 -5, 7, 9, 10, 16 22 8.2 Estimating a population proportion Confidence intervals for p Standard error Sample size for desired margin of error S-IC.4 p. 496: 29 – 33, 44 - 47 TI-84 Utilities 8.3 Estimating a population mean One population z-interval Choosing sample size t-distributions Constructing a confidence interval for mu Robust procedures S-IC.4 p. 518: 55 – 59, 62, 65 69 TI-84 Utilities 9.1 Significance Tests: The Basics Null and alternate hypothesis p-values one and two-sided alternative hypothesis S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p. 546: 1 – 10, 14 – 18, 20 – 23, 27 TI-84 Utilities 6.1Discrete and Continuous Random Variables Random Variables and Variance Continuous Random Variables TI-84 Graphing Utilities TI-84 Graphing Utilities Online Central Limit Applet Statistical significance Type I and II errors 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 3 4 2 9.2 Tests about a Population Proportion Carrying out a significance test Test statistic One sample z-test Two sided test Relation to confidence intervals S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p.562: 33, 34, 41 – 46, 48 TI-84 Utilities 9.3 Tests about a Population Mean Carrying out a significance test on the mean One sample t-test Two sided tests and confidence intervals S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p. 587: 64 – 66, 68, 73 77 TI-84 Utilities 10.1 Comparing two proportions Sampling distributions of a difference between 2 proportions Two sample z interval for a difference between 2 proportions Significance tests for two samples Inference for experiments S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p. 621: 1 – 4, 7 -12, 14, 18, 19 TI-84 Utilities 10.2 Comparing Two Means Sampling distribution of a difference between 2 means Two sample t statistic Confidence intervals Two sample t-test Using Two-sample t procedures wisely S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p.652: 35, 36, 39, 41, 46 – 50 TI-84 Utilities 11.1 Chi-Square Goodness of Fit tests Chi-squared statistic p-values Carrying out a test S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p.692: 1, 2, 7 – 14, 17 TI-84 Utilities 11.2 Inference for Relationships Comparing Distributions of a categorical value Expected Counts Chi-squared test for homogeneity Relationships between two categorical values Chi-squared test for association/independence S-IC.1 S-IC.2 S-IC.5 p.724: 27, 28, 33, 34, 37 – 40 TI-84 Utilities 12.1 Inference for Linear Regression Sampling distribution for b Conditions for regression inference Constructing a confidence interval for the slope Performing significance test for the slope F-BF.4 F-BF.5 p.759: 2 – 4, 7, 10, 11, 12, 17 12.2 Transforming to Achieve Linearlity Transforming with powers and roots Transforming with logarithms F-IF.1 F-IF.7 F-CE.5 p.786: 31, 35, 36, 38, 40 Each unit has five flex days built in. These are to be used for a review day, quiz, review day, end of unit assessment, AP practice problem day. Section 3 – Materials Information Course Title: AP Statistics Instructional Materials Textbook: Title Edition Copyright Publisher ISBN The Practice of Statistics Fourth 2011 W. H. Freeman and Company 1-4292-4559-X The Fathom Guide for TPS 4e W. H. Freeman and Company 1-4292-6262-1 Prep for AP Exam Guide W. H. Freeman and Company 1-4292-6263-X The Fathom guide and Prep for AP Exam could be purchased as a classroom set for each building rather than for each student. Teacher Resources: Title The Practice of Statistics ATE (Teacher’s Edition) Teachers Solution Manual Printed Test Bank Titanium Resouce Binder Activities and Projects for Introductory Statistics Courses Consumable Student Resources: Title None Edition Copyright 2nd Edition Copyright Software: (All software must be pre-approved by the IT Department.) Title Edition Copyright Fathom Statistical Software Enhanced Teacher’s Resource CD Examview Assessment Suite Equipment: Name Graphing Calculators Model # TI-84 Plus ISBN Publisher Key Curriculum Press W. H. Freeman and Company W. H. Freeman and Company School Normal Community 1-4292-6254-0 1-4292-6256-7 Vendor D&H Distributing ISBN 1-4292-8768-3 Task Force Information Date Approved by the Board of Education: Starting Date of New Curriculum: ISBN 1-4292-6258-3 1-4292-6261-3 1-4292-6257-5 1-4292-6259-1 0-7167-6544-6 Publisher Manufacturer Texas Instruments Videos/DVD: Title Statistics Video Toolkit Member Scott Froelich Publisher W. H. Freeman and Company W. H. Freeman and Company W. H. Freeman and Company W. H. Freeman and Company W. H. Freeman and Company