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Unit 1 - Outcomes and Likelihoods - 8th Grade - B Multiple Choice Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question. ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ 1. Akira reviewed the recent records for dog license applications. He counted the number of applications for different types of dogs. The table shows the information that Akira collected. Estimate the probability that the next dog license application will be for a husky. Express your answer as a percent. If necessary, round your answer to the nearest tenth. Husky Dalmatian Collie Bulldog Other Dog Number of 25 12 10 22 27 Licenses a. 26% c. 384% b. 35.2% d. 74% 2. Mitsugu took a survey of high school students to see how many had part-time jobs last summer. The results of the survey are shown in the table. Compare the probability that a student in the sophmore class had a part-time job to the probability that a student in the freshman class had a part-time job. Students Who Had a Grade Level Students Summer Job Freshman 25 37 Sophomore 18 58 Junior 21 39 Senior 13 44 a. A sophmore is just as likely as a freshman to have a job. b. A sophmore is less likely than a freshman to have a job. c. A sophmore is more likely than a freshman to have a job. 3. While waiting for the school bus, Paula records the colors of all cars passing through an intersection. The table shows the results. Estimate the probability that the next car through the intersection will be red. Express your answer as a percent. If necessary, round your answer to the nearest tenth. Red Gray Green Yellow Car Color 8 20 14 5 Number of Cars a. 83% c. 8% b. 17% d. 20.5% 4. You are playing a game that uses two fair number cubes. If the total on the number cubes is either 11 or 3 on your next turn, you win the game. What is the probability of winning on your next turn? Express your answer as a percent. If necessary, round your answer to the nearest tenth. a. 88.9% c. 0.3% b. 11.1% d. 5.6% 5. An experiment consists of rolling two fair number cubes. The diagram shows the sample space of all equally likely outcomes. What is the probability of rolling exactly one 3? Express your answer as a fraction in simplest form. a. 2 9 c. 5 18 b. 18 5 d. 13 18 During lunch at Urbana Middle School today, several students have brought their lunch from home and several students are ordering a school lunch as shown in the table. Suppose one student is randomly selected during lunch time. Find the probability of each event. Write as a fraction in simplest form. Brought lunch from home Order school lunch 6th Graders 7th Graders 8th Graders ____ 6. P(brought lunch from home or ordered school lunch) a. c. b. ____ d. 1 7. P(not 7th grader) a. c. b. ____ 55 45 32 35 33 d. 8. Leon is on the school archery team. The target has a center bull’s-eye and two rings around the bull’s-eye. The table gives the probabilities of each outcome. What is the probability that Leon will get the next arrow in the inner or outer ring? Express your answer as a decimal. Outcome Bull’s-eye Inner ring Outer ring Miss Probability 0.042 0.167 0.292 0.499 a. 0.209 c. 0.334 b. 0.459 d. 0.042 ____ 9. Josh works at the local deli making sandwiches. Each sandwich has 1 type of cheese and 1 type of meat on bread. The deli has white, wheat, and rye bread available. The meat choices are turkey and ham, and the cheese choices are American and Swiss. Describe all possible sandwiches that Josh can make at the deli. a. The possible sandwich combinations are (wheat, American, turkey), (wheat, American, ham), (wheat, Swiss, turkey), (wheat, Swiss, ham), (rye, American, turkey), (rye, American, ham), (rye, Swiss, turkey), and (rye, Swiss, ham). b. The possible sandwich combinations are (wheat, American, turkey), (wheat, American, ham), (wheat, Swiss, turkey), (wheat, Swiss, ham), (white, American, turkey), (white, American, ham), (white, Swiss, turkey), and (white, Swiss, ham). c. The possible sandwich combinations are (wheat, American, turkey), (wheat, American, ham), (wheat, Swiss, turkey), (wheat, Swiss, ham), (white, American, turkey), (white, American, ham), (white, Swiss, turkey), (white, Swiss, ham), (rye, American, turkey), (rye, American, ham), (rye, Swiss, turkey), (rye, Swiss, ham), (wheat, Swiss, American), (white, Swiss, American), and (rye, Swiss, American). d. The possible sandwich combinations are (wheat, American, turkey), (wheat, American, ham), (wheat, Swiss, turkey), (wheat, Swiss, ham), (white, American, turkey), (white, American, ham), (white, Swiss, turkey), (white, Swiss, ham), (rye, American, turkey), (rye, American, ham), (rye, Swiss, turkey), and (rye, Swiss, ham). ____ 10. Jean has one quiz each week in social studies class. The table gives the probability of having a quiz on each day of the week. What is the probability that Jean will have a quiz Wednesday, Thursday, or Friday? Express your answer as a percent. Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Day 0.19 0.27 0.070 0.22 0.25 Probability a. 54% c. 7% b. 46% d. 25% ____ 11. Consider the spinner shown. Give the probability for each outcome of the spinner. Express your answers as decimals. a. c. b. d. ____ 12. A bag contains orange, white, and purple marbles. If you randomly choose a marble from the bag, there is a 23% chance of drawing an orange marble and a 50% chance of drawing a white marble. Give the probability for each outcome. Express your answers as percents. a. c. b. d. A jar contains 5 blue marbles, 8 red marbles, 4 white marbles, and 3 purple marbles. Suppose you pick a marble at random without looking. Find the probability of each event. Write your answer as a fraction in simplest form. ____ 13. P(red or white) a. c. b. d. ____ 14. P(not white) a. b. c. d. ____ 15. A teacher asks each student in the class to randomly choose a number from 1 to 100 and write it down. Masami and Peter each write down a number. What is the probability that both of their choices will be greater than 60? Express your answer as a decimal. If necessary, round your answer to the nearest thousandth. a. 0.4 c. 0.84 b. 0.158 d. 0.16 Use the Fundamental Counting Principle to find the total number of outcomes in each situation. ____ 16. choosing a card from a deck of cards numbered 10, 11, 12, ..., 25 and picking a day of the week a. 175 c. 112 b. 124 d. 156 ____ 17. choosing a tuna, turkey, or cheese sandwich; on wheat or white bread; with a side of potato chips, corn chips, or baked potato a. 18 c. 8 b. 24 d. 9 ____ 18. choosing a number from 1 to 15 and a vowel from the word COUNTING a. 120 c. 90 b. 45 d. 55 ____ 19. An experiment consists of spinning the spinner shown. All outcomes are equally likely. What is the probability that the spinner will land on an even number? Express your answer as a fraction in simplest form. a. 5 2 c. 4 3 b. 2 5 d. 3 5 ____ 20. A state offers specialty license plates that contain 3 letters followed by 2 numbers. License plates are assigned randomly. All license plates are equally likely. Find the probability of being assigned the license plate JSL 94. Express your answer as a fraction in simplest form. 1 a. 1 c. 100 b. 4,394 d. 1 1,757,600 1,757,600 1 ____ 21. A spinner is divided into three sections: red, blue, and green. The red section is The blue section is as fractions. a. b. 1 3 1 5 of the area of the spinner. of the area of the spinner. Give the probability for each outcome. Express your answers c. d. ____ 22. A pouch contains 35 green beads, 25 red beads, and 10 yellow beads. How many blue beads should be added 1 so that the probability of drawing a red bead is 2 ? a. 100 blue beads c. 50 blue beads b. 30 blue beads d. 25 blue beads ____ 23. An experiment consists of spinning the spinner shown. All outcomes are equally likely. What is the probability that the spinner will land on 1? Express your answer as a fraction in simplest form. a. 1 3 c. 3 1 b. 2 3 d. 3 2 ____ 24. An experiment consists of rolling two fair number cubes. The diagram shows the sample space of all equally likely outcomes. What is the probability of rolling two 4’s? Express your answer as a fraction in simplest form. a. 2 9 c. 1 6 b. 1 36 d. 36 1 For the situation below, make a tree diagram to show the sample space. Then choose the total number of outcomes. ____ 25. rolling a number cube and choosing a card between the cards marked X and Y a. 6 c. 8 b. 20 d. 12 ____ 26. Kimi is planning her week at science camp. Her options are listed in the table. She has to participate in one outdoor activity, one clean-up crew, and one science project. How many weekly plans are available? Kimi wants to go hiking. How many options are available to her that include hiking? Science Camp Hiking Outdoor Activities Clean-Up Crews Science Projects Swimming Canoeing Breakfast Lunch Dinner Snacks Catapult Butterflies Mapping Forestry a. 48 total options; 16 if Kimi goes hiking b. 36 total options; 12 if Kimi goes hiking c. 11 total options; 8 if Kimi goes hiking d. 24 total options; 12 if Kimi goes hiking Essay - choose ONE to answer. You may answer the other one for extra credit. 27. John is playing a computer game where he has to shoot a ball at a goal. If he misses on the first try, he can shoot a second time. John says he misses about 40% of the time on his first try and 30% of the time on his second try. a. John plays the game once. What is the chance that John misses the goal both times? b. What is the chance that John misses on his first try and hits the goal on his second try? c. John plays the game 10 times. Is it possible for him to hit the goal 8 out of 10 times on his first try? . 28. Mary wants to know whether students at her school, Julian Middle School, prefer to go to the movies or prefer to watch TV. She interviewed 12 of her friends, and based on their preferences, she decided that of the school prefers to go to the movies and prefers to watch TV. a. Do you think Mary’s results are reliable? Explain why or why not. b. Julian Middle School has a total of 324 students. Describe another way to find out whether students at Julian Middle School prefer going to the movies or stay home to watch TV. Make sure your method will provide reliable results. Unit 1 - Outcomes and Likelihoods - 8th Grade - B Answer Section MULTIPLE CHOICE 1. ANS: A To estimate the probability from experimental observations, use the information in the table. To express the probability as a percent, multiply the fractional probability by 100%. Feedback A B C D Correct! Divide the number of dog licenses of the specified breed by the total number of dog license applications. The probability of any event is a number between 0% to 100%. This is the probability that the next dog license application will NOT be for the specified type of dog. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 527 OBJ: 10-2.1 Estimating the Probability of an Event STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-2 Experimental Probability 2. ANS: B To estimate the probability, use the information in the table. NAT: 8.4.4.c KEY: estimate | probability Compare these probabilities for each of the grade levels mentioned in the question. Feedback A B C Find the probabilities and compare. Correct! Use the correct numbers. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 528 OBJ: 10-2.2 Application NAT: 8.4.4.c STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-2 Experimental Probability KEY: experimental probability | probability 3. ANS: B To estimate the probability from experimental observations, use the information in the table. To express the probability as a percent, multiply the fractional probability by 100%. Feedback A B This is the probability of NOT seeing a car of the specified color. Correct! C D Divide the number of cars with the specified color by the total number of cars observed. Divide the number of cars with the specified color by the total number of cars observed. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 527 OBJ: 10-2.1 Estimating the Probability of an Event NAT: 8.4.4.c STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-2 Experimental Probability KEY: estimate | probability 4. ANS: B It is impossible to roll two different totals at the same time, so the events are mutually exclusive. Add the probabilities to find the probability of winning on your next turn. To find the probabilities, first list the sample space. 1, 1 2, 1 3, 1 4, 1 5, 1 6, 1 1, 2 2, 2 3, 2 4, 2 5, 2 6, 2 1, 3 2, 3 3, 3 4, 3 5, 3 6, 3 1, 4 2, 4, 3, 4 4, 4 5, 4 6, 4 1, 5 2, 5 3, 5 4, 5 5, 5 6, 5 1, 6 2, 6 3, 6 4, 6 5, 6 6, 6 The number of outcomes in the sample space is 36. Feedback A B C D This is the probability of NOT rolling either of the specified totals. Find the probability of rolling either of the specified totals. Correct! For mutually exclusive events, add the probabilities. For mutually exclusive events, add the probabilities. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 542 OBJ: 10-4.4 Finding the Probability of Mutually Exclusive Events NAT: 8.4.4.h STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-4 Theoretical Probability KEY: mutually exclusive events | probability 5. ANS: C The probability is the number of pairs of number cubes matching the criteria divided by the total number of pairs in the sample space. Feedback A B C D Divide the number of outcomes in the event by the total number of outcomes. The probability of any event is a number from 0 to 1. Correct! Use the formula for theoretical probability. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 541 OBJ: 10-4.2 Calculating Theoretical Probability for Two Fair Number Cubes NAT: 8.4.4.b STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-4 Theoretical Probability KEY: probability | theoretical probability 6. ANS: D Write the number of favorable outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes and simplify. Feedback A B C D How many of the students at Urbana either brought their lunch from home or are ordering a school lunch? How many of the students at Urbana either brought their lunch from home or are ordering a school lunch? Make sure your answer seems reasonable. Try again. Correct! PTS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-1.2 Find the probability of a real-world simple event. TOP: Find the probability of a real-world simple event. KEY: Probability | Simple event MSC: 1999 Lesson 4-8 7. ANS: B Write the number of favorable outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes and simplify. Feedback A B C D Double check your work and try again. Correct! Be careful when simplifying your fraction. Try again. This is the probability that the student is a 7th grader. What is the probability that the student is not a 7th grader? PTS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-1.2 Find the probability of a real-world simple event. TOP: Find the probability of a real-world simple event. KEY: Probability | Simple event MSC: 1999 Lesson 4-8 8. ANS: B To find the probability of the next arrow hitting the inner ring or outer ring, add the individual probabilities together, P(inner or outer rings) = P(inner ring) + P(outer ring). This sum represents the combined probability of hitting either ring. Feedback A B C D This is the probability that the arrow will hit the bull's-eye or inner ring. Find the probability of hitting the outer ring or inner ring. Correct! This is the probability that the arrow will hit the bull's-eye or the outer ring. Find the probability of hitting the outer ring or inner ring. This is the probability of NOT hitting the inner ring or outer ring while hitting the target. In other words, this is the probability of hitting the bull's-eye. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 523 OBJ: 10-1.2 Finding Probabilities of Events NAT: 8.4.4.c STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-1 Probability KEY: probability 9. ANS: D One way to find all possible combinations is by making a tree diagram where the breads, cheeses, and meats are on different levels of the tree diagram. Feedback A B C D There are more combinations. There are more combinations. Make a tree diagram to find all of the possible combinations. Correct! PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 559 OBJ: 10-8.2 Using a Tree Diagram NAT: 8.4.4.e STA: M8D2.a TOP: 10-8 Counting Principles 10. ANS: A To find the probability of having a quiz during a range of days, add the individual probability values for each day of the week that is being considered. Then convert the total to a percent by multiplying by 100. Feedback A B C D Correct! This is the probability of NOT having a quiz during the days considered. Find the probability of having a quiz on those days. This is the probability of having a quiz only on the first day. Find the probability of having a quiz on the correct days. This is the probability of having a quiz only on the last day. Find the probability of having a quiz on the correct days. PTS: OBJ: STA: 11. ANS: Since 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 523 10-1.2 Finding Probabilities of Events NAT: 8.4.4.b M8D3.a TOP: 10-1 Probability KEY: probability C of the spinner is labeled A, a reasonable estimate of the probability that the spinner will land on A is . Since of the spinner is labeled B, a reasonable estimate of the probability that the spinner will land on B is . Finally, only land on C is of the spinner is labeled C, so a reasonable estimate of the probability that the spinner will . Feedback A B C The probabilities must add to 1. It is not reasonable for the probability that the spinner will land on A to be greater than the probability that it will land on B. Correct! D The probabilities must add to 1. PTS: 1 DIF: Basic REF: Page 522 OBJ: 10-1.1 Finding Probabilities of Outcomes in a Sample Space NAT: 8.4.4.f STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-1 Probability KEY: outcome | probability | sample space 12. ANS: B The probabilities for the first two colors are given. To find the probability of the third color, subtract the first two probabilities from 1. Feedback A B C D Not all the outcomes are equally likely to happen. Correct! The probabilities must add to 100%. The probabilities must add to 100%. PTS: OBJ: NAT: KEY: 13. ANS: 1 DIF: Basic REF: Page 522 10-1.1 Finding Probabilities of Outcomes in a Sample Space 8.4.4.b STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-1 Probability outcome | probability | sample space A Write the number of favorable outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes and simplify. Feedback A B C D Correct! Double check your work and try again. Be sure to write your answer in simplest form. How many favorable outcomes are there? How many total outcomes are there? PTS: TOP: MSC: 14. ANS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-1.1 Find the probability of a simple event. Find the probability of a simple event. KEY: Probability | Simple event 1999 Lesson 4-8 C Write the number of favorable outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes and simplify. Feedback A B C D This is the probability of drawing a white marble. What is the probability that a white marble is not drawn? Double check your work and try again. Correct! How many marbles are not white? Compare this number with the total number of possible outcomes. PTS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-1.1 Find the probability of a simple event. TOP: Find the probability of a simple event. KEY: Probability | Simple event MSC: 1999 Lesson 4-8 15. ANS: D Each person’s choice is not affected by the other person’s choice, so the events are independent. Since the numbers are chosen at random, all outcomes are equally likely, so the probability that a number is greater than a given value is . The events are independent, so multiply the probabilities. Feedback A B C D This is the probability that one person will make the number choice specified in the question. Find the probability that both people will make the number choice. Determine whether the events are independent first. This is the probability that the people will NOT choose numbers greater than the specified value. Find the probability that they will choose numbers greater than the specified value. Correct! PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 545 OBJ: 10-5.2 Finding the Probability of Independent Events NAT: 8.4.4.h STA: M8D3.b TOP: 10-5 Independent and Dependent Events KEY: independent events | probability 16. ANS: C Multiply the number of outcomes for each event to find the total number of outcomes in the sample space. 16(7) = 112 Feedback A B C D How many numbers are there between 10 and 25? Double check your work and try again. Correct! Multiply the number of outcomes for each event to find the total number of outcomes in the sample space. PTS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-3.1 Use multiplication to count outcomes. TOP: Use multiplication to count outcomes. KEY: Probability | Counting MSC: 1999 Lesson 13-3 17. ANS: A Multiply the number of outcomes for each event to find the total number of outcomes in the sample space. 3(2)(3) = 18 Feedback A B C D Correct! Multiply the number of outcomes for each event to find the total number of outcomes in the sample space. How many possible outcomes are there for each of the three choices? Double check your work and try again. PTS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-3.1 Use multiplication to count outcomes. TOP: Use multiplication to count outcomes. KEY: Probability | Counting MSC: 1999 Lesson 13-3 18. ANS: B Multiply the number of outcomes for each event to find the total number of outcomes in the sample space. 15(3) = 45 Feedback A B C D How many vowels are there in the word COUNTING? Correct! Double check your work and try again. Multiply the number of outcomes for each event to find the total number of outcomes in the sample space. PTS: TOP: MSC: 19. ANS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-3.1 Use multiplication to count outcomes. Use multiplication to count outcomes. KEY: Probability | Counting 1999 Lesson 13-3 B Since all outcomes are equally likely, the probability of the event is . Feedback A B C D The probability of any event is a number from 0 to 1. Correct! Use the formula for theoretical probability. Divide the number of outcomes in the event by the total number of outcomes. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 540 OBJ: 10-4.1 Calculating Theoretical Probability NAT: 8.4.4.b STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-4 Theoretical Probability KEY: probability | theoretical probability 20. ANS: B The probability of being assigned a single particular license plate is: . Use the Fundamental Counting Principle find the number of possible license plates. For each letter on the license plate, multiply by 26 (the number of letters in the alphabet). For each number on the license plate, multiply by 10 (for the digits zero through nine). Feedback A B C D Use the Fundamental Counting Principle. Correct! Use the Fundamental Counting Principle. Use the number of possible license plates as the denominator. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 558 OBJ: 10-8.1 Using the Fundamental Counting Principle NAT: 8.4.4.e STA: M8D2.b TOP: 10-8 Counting Principles KEY: Fundamental Counting Principle 21. ANS: B Reasonable probability estimates for the first two colors are the areas of the corresponding sections. To find the probability of the third color, subtract the first two probabilities from 1. Feedback A B C D The probabilities must add to 1. Correct! Not all the outcomes are equally likely to happen. The probabilities must add to 1. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 522 OBJ: 10-1.1 Finding Probabilities of Outcomes in a Sample Space NAT: 8.4.4.f STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-1 Probability KEY: outcome | probability | sample space 22. ANS: B Adding beads to the pouch will increase the number of possible outcomes. Set up a proportion, and find the cross products. Feedback A B C D Adding beads to the pouch will increase the number of possible outcomes. Correct! Set up a proportion and solve. Check that the ratio of the number of red beads to the total number of beads is equal to the required probability. PTS: 1 NAT: 8.4.4.b 23. ANS: A DIF: Average STA: M8D3.a REF: Page 541 OBJ: 10-4.3 Altering Probability TOP: 10-4 Theoretical Probability Since all outcomes are equally likely, the probability of each outcome is . Feedback A B C D Correct! This is the probability that the spinner will NOT land on the given number. Find the probability that the spinner will land on the given number. The probability of any event is a number from 0 to 1. Use the total number of outcomes as the denominator. PTS: 1 DIF: Basic REF: Page 540 OBJ: 10-4.1 Calculating Theoretical Probability NAT: 8.4.4.b STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-4 Theoretical Probability KEY: probability | theoretical probability 24. ANS: B The probability is the number of outcomes where the number cubes show the same number divided by the total number of outcomes in the sample space. No matter what the number, there is only 1 way the number cubes will show this number. The total number of pairs in the sample space is 36. The probability is . Feedback A B C D Divide the number of outcomes in the event by the total number of outcomes. Correct! Find the number of possible outcomes in the sample space first. The probability of any event is a number from 0 to 1. PTS: 1 DIF: Average REF: Page 541 OBJ: NAT: KEY: 25. ANS: 10-4.2 Calculating Theoretical Probability for Two Fair Number Cubes 8.4.4.b STA: M8D3.a TOP: 10-4 Theoretical Probability probability | theoretical probability D There are twelve possible outcomes: 1X, 1Y, 2X, 2Y, 3X, 3Y, 4X, 4Y, 5X, 5Y, 6X, and 6Y. Feedback A B C D Double check your work and try again. List all of the possible outcomes to make sure they are all unique. List all of the possible outcomes for the number cube. Then branch off to list all of the outcomes for choosing the card. Correct! PTS: 1 DIF: Average OBJ: 9-2.1 Use tree diagrams to count outcomes and find probabilities. TOP: Use tree diagrams to count outcomes and find probabilities. KEY: Probability | Tree diagram MSC: 1999 Lesson 13-2 26. ANS: A There are 3 outdoor activities, 4 clean-up crews, and 4 science projects. Using the Fundamental Counting Principle, there are weekly plans available to Kimi. Since Kimi wants to go hiking, her only variability is in her choice of clean-up crew and science project. Therefore she has weekly plans available after choosing hiking. Feedback A B C D Correct! Check your counting. There are 3 outdoor activities, 4 clean-up crews, and 4 science projects. Use the Fundamental Counting Principle. Use the Fundamental Counting Principle, multiplying together the total options in each category. Use the Fundamental Counting Principle, multiplying together the total options in each category. PTS: 1 DIF: Advanced STA: M8D2.b TOP: 10-8 Counting Principles ESSAY 27. ANS: Possible student answer 2.a. The chance is about 12%. Sample explanations: • I started with 100 first tries and found that 12 out of 100 times both shots failed to hit the goal. • The chance both shots failed is . 40% of 30% is 12%. Suggested Problem level number of score points 3 I (Award 2 points for a correct chance tree and 1 point for a correct answer.) b. The chance is 28%. c. Yes, this is possible. You would expect John to hit the goal 60% of the time on his first try. So 8 out of 10 seems quite possible. It is actually possible for John to hit 10 in a row, although it is not likely. d. He has an expected score of 88 points for the 100 games, which is an average expected score per game of 0.88 points. For 100 games, he scores 60 on his first try and 28 on his second try. So he scores 88 points in all over 100 games. PTS: 1 28. ANS: Possible student answer 1.a. Mary’s results are probably NOT reliable. 2 I 2 (Award 1 point for “yes” and 1 point for a correct explanation.) 2 (Award 1 point for the answer and 1 point for the calculation.) I Suggested number of score points 2 Problem level II II Sample explanation: Mary only asked her friends, and these may not represent the preferences of most students. b. Different answers are possible. Sample answer: • Mary could randomly choose 10 students from each class or grade level and interview them. PTS: 1 2 (Award 1 point for an alternative method and 1 point for a correct explanation.) II