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How To Optimize Your Observing Sessions Using Selected Weather Web Tools Night Two Reg Dunkley Tonight’s Goals • Review • Find Me A Break – Satellite Web Sites – Cold Front Example – Cloud Cover Forecasts • It is a Go – The Case of the Lucky Astronomer • Can You See Water Vapour? • Latent Heat of Vapourization • The Gasoline of Hurricanes and Thunderstorms • Warm Air Can Hold More Moisture Than Cold Air • • • • • Why Don’t Clouds Fall Down? Convective Updrafts Miles per Hour Form Cumuliform Clouds Buoyant Atmosphere • • • • Slowly Rising Air Feet per Hour Form Stratiform Clouds Stable Atmosphere Is Air Distributed Equally? • Pressure is the weight per unit area of the air column above you • More Air = Higher Pressure • Pressure Difference Creates Wind • Wind Can Cause Air to Rise and Sink • Rising Air Leads to Condensation and Release of Latent Heat • Generates Cloud and Precipitation • Sinking Air = Clear Skies & Observing Sessions Circulation In Mountainous Terrain • Flow Tends to be Channeled in Valleys or along Coast Lines • Flow Can Be Perpendicular to the Expected Geostrophic Circulation Pattern • Flow will Move from High Pressure to Low Pressure (eg Arctic Outflow Winds) • Flow Complicated By: – Sea Breeze and Upslope Flows Driven By Daytime Heating – Night Time Cold Air Drainage Winds An Order Within the Chaos • The Atmosphere Is Self Organizing! • Reoccurring Cloud Patterns with Hammerhead Swirls and Abrupt Lines of Change • Changes Often Include: – Sudden Clearing and End of Precipitation – Wind Shifts – Changes In Temperature • Norwegian Frontal Model – Cold and Warm Air Resist Mixing – Warm Air Overides Colder Denser Air – Cold Air Undercuts Warm Air (Plow Like) The Frontal Model The Frontal Model Meteorologists Are: Well Funded Astronomers Who Focus On The Most Dynamic Atmosphere In The Solar System Satellite Imagery Web Sites • University of Washington Atmospheric • • • • Sciences http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~o vens/loops/ Many Sources With Many Time Formats GMT = UTC= Z = PST + 8 Hours = PDT + 7 Hours Favourites: – Big Picture GOES Infrared Imagery – http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop. cgi?ir_common+12 – High Resolution GOES Visual Imagery – http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/w xloop.cgi?vis1km+12 False Colour Satellite Imagery • Place Infrared Channel in the Blue Gun • Place Visual Channel in the Yellow Gun • Blue Cloud = High Thin Cirrus Cloud • Yellow Cloud = Warm Relatively Low Cloud • White Cloud = Thick Opaque Cloud • Source: Environment Canada Web Site • http://weather.gc.ca/satellite/index_e.html# goes_west Example of Frontal Systems Corresponding Surface Pressure Analyses • Lines of constant pressure, Isobars are drawn at 4 millibar intervals • Surface Pressure Analyses can be obtained at http://weather.gc.ca/analysis/index _e.html • The closer the isobar spacing … the stronger the wind It Is A Go! The Case of the Lucky Astronomer Goes Infrared Imagery Saturday October 18th 2014 GOES Visual Satellite Imagery • For Saturday October 18th 2014 Astronomy Cloud Forecasts • One Output of Numerical Weather Models • “Future Vision” Synthetic Satellite Images • Cloud Amount Forecasts for Each Hour • Called: Astronomy Sky Condition Forecast • http://weather.gc.ca/astro/clds_v is_e.html • From Canadian Meteorological Centre Cloud Amount Image vs Clear Sky Chart • Forecast Cloud Amount Images: – Provide Insight into What is Generating the Cloud • You Can Compare Forecast Amount With Actual Satellite Image To: – Confirm if Position is Correct – Confirm if Cloud Amounts are Correct • Provides a Level of Confidence in Forecast • Allows You to Make Adjustments • Can Help Optimize Your Observing Session! Satellite Web Tools For Astronomers – Big Picture GOES Infrared Imagery • http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop .cgi?ir_common+12 – High Resolution GOES Visual Imagery • http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop .cgi?vis1km+12 – False Colour Satellite Imagery • Select IR + Visible Imagery • http://weather.gc.ca/satellite/index_e.ht ml#goes_west – Astronomy Sky Condition Forecast • http://weather.gc.ca/astro/clds_vis_e. html