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ECON 2133 – Class Outline 1 Introduction ECONOMICS: The study of how people allocate their limited resources to try to satisfy their unlimited wants. Limited resources versus unlimited wants implies (economic) scarcity And scarcity implies that we must make choices So, Economics is the study of how people make choices in the context of economic scarcity. MICROECONOMICS: The study of how households and firms make decisions and interact in markets. MACROECONOMICS: The study of the economy at the aggregate level (i.e., as a whole) including Total output of the economy (GDP) Employment / unemployment Changes in overall price levels (inflation) Economic growth, productivity, and living standards How govt. actions affect the economy (monetary and fiscal policy) Chap. 4: Macroeconomic Issues Econ. Growth: Increasing __________ of goods and services by an economy over ______ (i.e., incr. real GDP) See pgs. 90 – 92 & Fig. 1, p. 91 Living Standards: _________ per ________ (GDP / population) Productivity: __________ per _________ (GDP / # of workers) Rf. Chap. 8 Employment / Unemployment Unemployment rate: the __________ of the _______ _______ not working. See pgs. 92 – 94 & Fig. 2, p. 93 Short run s in the U rate are largely explained by __________ ________ See pgs. 93 – 94 & Fig. 3, p. 94 1 Price levels and inflation Price level (or index): A number that indicates the __________ level of prices at a given time, relative to the level at a “_______” time E.g. PLt = 1.2 PLb = 1.0 implies that prices at time t are _____% higher than at time b Inflation: ___________ price levels over time See pgs. 95 – 96 & Fig. 4, p. 95 The study of macroeconomics involves ____________ See pgs. 96 - 97 E.g. Y = C + I + G + NX Marcoeconomic policy: __________ actions that affect the economy’s performance over time Monetary policy influences the economy’s __________ __________ Fiscal policy - govt. ___________ and __________ decisions that affect the economy Structural policy affects the basic way in which the economy works Positive analysis studies “what is” and predicts “what will be” under given economic conditions (measurement; scientific analysis) Normative analysis: “what ought to be” goes beyond positive anal. to express one’s value judgments See p. 5 - 6, 98 - 99 Chap. 5 – Basic Macroeconomic Measures Symbology ___ total output of products by an econ. (i.e., gross domestic product - acronym GDP) ___ “nominal” GDP ___ “real” GDP ___ disposable (personal) income ___ personal consumption expenditures ___ personal saving ___ (or Tx) tax payments or receipts 2 ___ capital investment spending ___ govt. purchases of goods and services (govt. spending) ___ consumer price index ___ GDP deflator (a price index) ___ annual inflation rate (%) ___ unemployment rate (%) The “Big Three” - Yr, U, GDP: the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a nation annually. ________ products only Only ______ products No purely ____________ transactions or ________ transfers Study pg. 104 - 107 Three ways to measure GDP: Expenditures approach Y = C + I + G + NX C= I= G= NX = (NX = Ex - Im) Ex = exports Im = imports See pg. 107 - 113 Practice: Do Pb. 1 (pg. 47 - 48, study. guide) Factor payments approach Y = w + i + r + pr + (tx (bus) + kd) Ynd (net domestic product) Ynat (national income) 3 Ypers (personal income) Disposable (personal) income Yd = Ypers - Tx Yd = C + S (“allocations equation”) See pg. 114 - 116 Value added approach Y = value added for all final products (in all stages of their production) Value added = _________ value of a product minus cost of __________inputs (from earlier stages of production) See pg. 114 Real vs. Nominal GDP Nominal GDP (Yn): the production of products valued at __________ prices Real GDP (Yr): the production of products valued at __________ (base year) prices GDP deflator (Dy): a ____________ price index that measures changes in ________ - ______ price levels See pg. 116 - 117 For any year x Yr(x) = Yn(x) / [Dy(x) / 100] E.g. Yn(x) = $8760 bil. Dy(x) = 102.8 Yr(x) = ______ / [______ / ____ ] = $_______ bil. More on PIs in Chap. 6 Uses of & problems with GDP measurements -- pgs. 117 - 120 Labor-related measures - Definitions Employed Unemployed Not in labor force Labor force = employed + ____________ Unemployment rate U(%) = (Unemployed / ________ ________) * 100 See Fig. 3, p. 124 4 Labor force participation rate LFPR(%) = (Labor force / _______ ____________) * 100 See pgs. 126 – 129 & Fig. 5 (p. 127), Fig. 6 (p. 128 Types of unemployment Frictional Seasonal Structural Cyclical See pgs. 120 - 123 “Full employment” is when __________ unemployment = ___ See pg. 123 “Costs” of U - pgs. 123 - 126 Chap. 6 - Price levels and inflation Study concepts of Price level Price index PI(t) = E.g. (base = _____) (base = ________) (pg. 140) Cost of “mkt. basket” in year t ------------------------------------------- x 100 Cost of “mkt. basket” in base yr. CPI2004 = 2004 cost of mkt. basket ------------------------------------------ x 100 1983 cost of mkt. basket (pg. 141) To calculate an annual ∏ (inflation) rate from a PI: ∏(t) = PI(t) – PI(t-1) ------------------ x 100 PI(t-1) (pg. 142) Note that ∏(t) will be a percentage number 5 E.g. PI(t) = 130 PI(t-1) = 120 ∏(t) = [(_____ – _____ / _____] x 100 = ______ % See Fig. 1, p. 143 How the CPI and Dy differ CPI mkt. basket is products typically bought by U.S. ____________ -- C and Im DY mkt. basket is products __________ in the U.S. economy C, I, G, and Ex Using a PI to calc. “real” values from “nominal” values Yn(b) = $5000 bil. Yn(t) = $6600 bil. Dy(b) = 100 Dy(t) = 125 Yr(t) = Yn(t) / (Dy(t) / 100) Yr(t) = $______ bil. / (_____ / _____) = $______ bil. vs. Yr(b) = $5000 bil. Why? Any PI series will have a base year. For the base year, the PI = 100.0 - both by calculation and definition. If a price level (PL) series, the base year value = 1.0 See pg. 145 The current CPI base is 1982 - 1984 avg. prices, with a 2002 mkt. basket. Application: See Table 2, p. 145 CPI is not a perfect measure of price changes - it likely overstates the rate by 1 - 2 % Why? __________ in product quality _____ products (not in “mkt. basket”) ____________ when relative prices of products change See pg. 151 - 152 The “costs” of ____________ purchasing power of money 6 Decreases __________ Redistributes ___________ Causes ________ of resources See pg. 145 - 151 Nominal and Real Interest Rates r=i- E.g. i = 10% So that r = ___% r is real interest rate i is nominal interest rate = 4% (pg. 148) 7