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Test for Normal Distribution Test of Normality - 1 Graphical Test • Histogram – Check shape: skewness, outliers • Normal Probability Plot – Check shape: straight, convex, S-shaped Construction of a Normal Probability Plot • Alternative estimates of the cumulative relative frequency of an observation – pi = (i - 0.5)/ n – pi = i / (n+1) – pi = (i - 0.375) / (n+0.25) • Estimate of the percentile | Normal – Standardized Q(pi) = NORMSINV(pi) – Q(pi) = NORMINV(pi, mean, stand. dev.) Non-Normal Populations Flat Data Skewed Data Expected | Normal Expected | Normal Test of Normality - 2 Test Statistics n • Stand. Dev. ˆ Y t 1 t Y 2 n Yt Y 1 ˆ S n t 1 n • Skewness Yt Y 1 K n t 1 n • Kurtosis 4 3 The Jarque-Bera Test If the population is normal and the data are random, then: 2 1 2 n JB = S + K-3 6 4 follows approximately c2 with the # 0f degrees of freedom 2. Reject H0 if JB > 6