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Coin Experiments It is well known that the chance of getting a head when we toss a coin is ½. But let’s try two variations on the traditional coin experiment. Coin Experiment #1 Directions: - Stand a penny on edge on a hard, flat surface. - Hit the surface with your hand so that the penny falls over. - Do this at least 30 times. - On the table below, record (tally) what side is facing up (heads or tails) each time the penny falls. - Then add your group’s data to your tally (in a different color). Heads Tails Questions: 1- What percentage of the time did heads land upward? 2- Do you think this is a good estimator of the actual probability of heads landing upward? Why or why not? Any confounding variables? 3- The probability you found should not be the same as the probability of getting heads upwards when you toss a coin in the air. Why do you think they are different? 4- Which outcome is more likely in this type of coin flip? Why do you think this is so? Coin Experiment #2 Directions: - Hold a penny upright on its edge under your pointer-finger on a hard, flat surface. - With your other pointer-finger, flick the penny so that it spins for some time before falling - Do this at least 30 times. - On the table below, record (tally) what side is facing up (heads or tails) each time the penny falls. - Then add your group’s data to your tally (in a different color). Heads Tails Questions: 1- What percentage of the time did heads land upward? 2- Do you think this is a good estimator of the actual probability of heads landing upward? Why or why not? Any confounding variables? 3- The probability you found should not be the same as the probability of getting heads upwards when you hit the table (experiment #1) or when you toss a coin in the air. How were these probabilities different? Why do you think they were different? How were the two experiments different? 4- Which outcome is more likely in this type of coin flip? Why do you think this is so?