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Homework 1 Economics 503 Foundations of Economic Analysis Practice 1. Real Hong Kong Box Office. It is 2004. You are analyzing the profitability of Hong Kong’s movie industry. You hear that Steven Chao’s Kung Fu Hustle is the top grossing Hong Kong film of all time. You are given a list of local gross box office receipts for a number of Hong Kong movies. 1. Kung Fu Hustle 2. Shaolin Soccer 3. First Strike 4. Rumble In The Bronx 5. Infernal Affairs 6. God of Gamblers Return 7. Justice My Foot 8. All's Well, End's Well 9. Thunderbolt 10. Mr. Nice Guy 11. Fight Back to School 12. All for the Winner 13. Drunken Master II 14. God of Cookery 15. God of Gambers II 16. Flirting Scholar 17. All's Well, End's Well 1997 Box Office Revenues HK$60,830,000 HK$60,770,000 HK$57,519,000 HK$56,911,000 HK$55,030,000 HK$52,540,000 HK$49,880,000 HK$48,990,000 HK$45,650,000 HK$45,420,000 HK$43,830,000 HK$41,330,000 HK$40,970,000 HK$40,860,000 HK$40,340,000 HK$40,170,000 HK$40,160,000 Year 2004 2001 1996 1995 2003 1993 1992 1992 1995 1997 1991 1990 1994 1997 1990 1993 1997 Year CPI 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 63.5 70.8 77.4 84.0 90.8 98.7 104.6 110.6 113.5 109.8 106.6 104.8 101.4 99.3 99.3 (Source: www.Asianboxoffice.com) Adjust these for inflation using the Hong Kong CPI. Convert all of these film grosses into 2004 dollars (i.e. use 2004 as the reference year) and rank the films by their grosses in 2004 dollars. 2. Construct a CPI You are given some statistical accounts for the country of Fruitopia which produces two goods, Apples and Oranges. The accounts contain information on the price of apples and the price of oranges for the years 1995 to 2005. You are asked to calculate a CPI, nominal GDP, real GDP and the GDP deflator using 1995 as the base year. Note that there is no investment, government spending, exports or imports in Fruitopia so GDP is equal to consumption. 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Apples price quantity $1.00 100 $1.10 105 $1.21 110 $1.33 115 $1.46 120 $1.61 125 $1.77 125 $1.95 130 $2.14 135 $2.36 140 $2.59 145 Oranges price quantity $2.00 100 $2.40 105 $2.88 100 $3.46 100 $4.15 100 $4.98 95 $5.97 90 $7.17 90 $8.60 85 $10.32 80 $12.38 75 a. Calculate the CPI. The representative market basket for the Fruitopian consumer is 100 apples and 100 oranges. Calculate the cost of this market basket in 1995. The CPI in subsequent years is the price of this same market basket (100 apples and 100 oranges) relative to price of that basket in the base year (multiplied by 100). b. Calculate the nominal GDP which is the sum of the market value of apples (price × quantity) plus the market value of oranges in each period. c. Calculate real GDP which is the sum of the market value of apples calculated using the 1995 price (1 × quantity of apples) plus the value oranges calculated using the 1995 price (2 × quantity of oranges). d. Calculate the GDP deflator as the ratio of the nominal GDP to the real GDP. e. Calculate the average inflation rate over the period of 1996-2005 using both price measures. Which price index increases the most over time? Explain. Notice that the market basket has switched toward apples whose price has not risen sharply over time. CPI 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 CPI Inflation N/A Nominal GDP Real GDP GDP Deflator GDP Deflator Inflation N/A 3. Deflate Soccer Transfer Fees In European soccer leagues, teams will acquire players from other clubs by agreeing to pay a transfer fee. The below table shows the top 10 transfer fees paid by English Premier League sides along with the fee paid measured in British pounds and the year of the transfer. Use the accompanying table with the British CPI to convert all transfer fees to 2008 pounds. Who has the highest transfer fee in constant dollar terms? Player 1 Robinho 2 Dimitar Berbatov 3 Andriy Shevchenko 4 Rio Ferdinand: 5 Juan Sebastian Veron: 6 Michael Essien 7 Didier Drogba: 8 Wayne Rooney 9 Shaun Wright-Phillips 10 Fernando Torres: From: Real Madrid Tottenham AC Milan Leeds Lazio Lyon Marseille Everton Manchester City Atletico Madrid To Manchester City Manchester United Chelsea Manchester United Manchester United Chelsea Chelsea Manchester United Chelsea Liverpool British CPI 4. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 93.7 94.7 96.3 97.5 99.1 101.0 104.0 106.2 109.5 Fee £32.50m £30.75m £30m £29.1m £28.1m £24.43m £24m £23m £21m £20m Year 2008 2008 2006 2002 2001 2005 2004 2004 2005 2007 4. Cakeland GDP An economy called Cakeland produces three products at three separate products: cake mix, frosting, and birthday cakes. All of the cake mix and frosting are sold to the birthday cake company. The cake mix and frosting companies grow all the inputs they need to make their product; their only expense is wages. Define profits as the value of sales less wages and cost of inputs. The following charts outline the activities of each of these firms. Cost of Inputs Cake Mix 0 Frosting 0 Wages $30 $40 Sales $100 $70 a. Solve for GDP using the expenditure method Final Expenditure Cake Mix Frosting Birthday Cakes GDP b. Solve for GDP using the production method Value Added Cake Mix Frosting Birthday Cakes GDP c. Solver for GDP using the income method Income Wages Profit GDP Birthday Cake $100 Cake Mix $70 Frosting $150 $400 5. Luxury Goods We observe the income of the consumers of diamond rings increase by 10%. We observe that the equilibrium consumption of diamond rings goes up by 5%. Assume that nothing else happens to cause a change in the equilibrium in the diamond ring market. Explain why, we can infer that diamond rings are normal goods, but why we can’t say if they are income elastic luxury goods or income inelastic. Use at most 1 paragraph and 1 graph. 6. Energy Markets For reasons of safety, the Chinese government orders the closure of 75% of the coal mines currently operating in the PRC. Draw a graph of the effect of this on closure on the world coal market. Draw a graph of the effect of this on the world oil market. Explain your graphs in 1 paragraph or less. 7. Equilibrium: Algebra The demand for widgets is represented as QD = 100 – 8 P and the supply of widgets are given by QS = 40 + 4P. Calculate equilibrium price and quantity. Calculate the change in equilibrium price and quantity if a shift in the demand curve gives a demand schedule of QD = 124 – 8 P. 8. Supply Shift Below are short-term and long-term demand schedules for petroleum as well as a supply schedule. Assume that the supply schedule is the same in the long-term and the short-term. Calculate the equilibrium level of price and quantity for oil in the short and the long term within the range of $10 per barrel (Hint: the answer is the same for the short-term and the long-term). . Assume that a conflict in the Middle East permanently reduces the amount of oil that can be supplied at any price level. After the shock, only 94% of the previous level is supplied at any price level. Calculate the new supply schedules. Assuming the short-run and long-run demand curves are unchanged, calculate the new price of oil in the short-term and in the long-term (within a range of $10). QD P 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Short-term Long-term 83,033.06 89,314.83 81,762.92 82,689.46 80,678.38 77,348.91 79,733.70 72,925.25 78,898.04 69,182.97 78,149.63 65,963.37 77,472.59 63,155.12 76,854.95 60,677.48 76,287.50 58,470.28 75,762.98 56,487.66 QS 80,059.86 81,303.55 82,396.49 83,372.72 84,255.78 85,062.66 85,806.03 86,495.60 87,138.99 87,742.26 9. Equilibrium: Tabular A market faces a demand function of the form Q D 28 .2 P and a supply function of the form Q S 10 .2 P . Use these functions to fill out a supply and a demand schedule. Identify the equilibrium price and quantity. P Quantity Demanded Quantity Supplied 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 10. Revenue and Elasticity Posit a simple demand curve for breakfast cereal of the form Q = 100 - 5P where Q is the quantity of breakfast cereal and P is the price per box. Calculate Q and Revenue (R) at each of the following price points. What is the price elasticity of demand as we move from price point to price point (use the mid point method)? What is the price point where revenue is largest? Explain why raising prices above that point does not increase revenues. Price Q R evenue Elasticity 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 ;