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UNION EUROPEENNE DE L’ARTISANAT ET DES PETITES ET MOYENNES ENTREPRISES EUROPÄISCHE UNION DES HANDWERKS UND DER KLEIN- UND MITTELBETRIEBE EUROPEAN ASSOCIATION OF CRAFT, SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES UNIONE EUROPEA DELL’ARTIGIANATO E DELLE PICCOLE E MEDIE IMPRESE European Commission's proposal for the BEPG 2003 or shortcomings of Europe's economic policy Position paper on Broad Economic Policy Guidelines 2003 1. General remarks on BEPG 2003 Europe's economy in deep crisis In the first half of 2003 Europe's economy is in the deepest crisis since the beginning of phase 3 of the EMU. This is a result of different external effects (collapse on stock markets, war in Iraq, SARS) but also of internal shortcomings (low level of investment and employment, unbalanced macroeconomic policy mix for large European economies, deficits in structural reforms - Lisbon implementation). Both lead to high level of uncertainty amongst all economic actors and hinder the recovery of the economy. More of the same - right answers to wrong questions Therefore, UEAPME fully supports the analyses and the recommendations made by the European Commission in its proposal for the BEPG 2003 regarding the necessary midterm (structural reforms) and long-term (sustainability) policies, which are very much in line with the last BEPGs. UEAPME also welcomes the streamlining of the BEPG with the European Employment Policy Guidelines. At the same time Europe's SMEs are disappointed by the total ignorance of the BEPG proposal on short-term problems. Europe can not just wait for a stronger recovery of the US economy. The current macroeconomic environment is not supportive to economic growth and without co-ordinated actions from the main economic policy players, Europe will not get out of the crisis. The European Central Bank, the national governments and the social partners have to accept the responsibility for the development of Europe's economy and UEAPME expects clearer words from the European Council about wrong developments and missing decisions. Even if it is absolutely necessary to implement the structural reforms and to consolidate the national budgets in a mid-term perspective, Europe's economy needs a policy now, which puts it back on a growth path and allows the necessary reforms to be implemented. 2. Rethinking the macroeconomic policy mix - make growth possible Europe's business sectors and especially SMEs strongly support the strategic targets of the Growth and Stability Pact and the Lisbon agenda. Enterprises know the importance of a stability orientated economic environment which is sustainable and allows market forces to develop. However, the economic crisis makes it necessary to focus also on short-term policies, which allow the economy to recover. The current macroeconomic policy-mix is not supportive of economic performance and the key players have to use their room for manoeuvre. The European Central Bank has to ease the monetary conditions as far as possible without endangering the price stability UEAPME recognises the importance of stable prices for the economy and the efforts made by the ECB in the past to ensure this. However, high inflation rates are not the problem at the moment and we ask the ECB to use the room for an interest rate reduction for a more proactive approach towards the monetary environment: Low levels of demand (private consumption and investments), decreasing oil prices and the strong Euro are reducing the pressure on inflation. High inflation differentials between member states make it necessary to rethink the inflation targets in order to avoid the danger of deflation at the lower end of the scale. If deflation happens, monetary policy will lose most of its instruments, therefore, everything has to be done in order to avoid it from the start. The main goal of the Stability and Growth Pact is financial sustainability - shortterm flexibility is necessary in order to achieve the long-term targets UEAPME supports the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) and its main goal, to ensure financial sustainability. It was also necessary to strengthen the Euro during the first years. It is also clear that its long-term targets can only be met if the economy develops well. Therefore, fiscal policy should not only focus on structural aspects, but also has to support different economic situations. A pro-cyclical policy has to be avoided: While the main focus of the SGP is the reduction of structural deficits close to balance or in surplus, the cyclical deficit has to be accommodated to the economic situation. During economic crises or even a recession, necessary reduction of the structural deficits should be implemented in a way which does not endanger economic recovery. Successfully implemented structural measures increase the room for shortterm anti-cyclical policies in order to stabilise public demand. Necessary tax reduction has to be financed by a decrease in consumptive expenditures by public administrations. The European Commission and the ECOFIN has to interpret the SGP in a way, which forces the Member States to implement the structural reforms without procyclical effects. 2 Wage development has to be in line with inflation targets and must be supportive to new investments without negative effects on purchasing power Social Partners have the responsibility to ensure a wage development, which is supportive to economic growth. Therefore, they have to find the right balance between economic competitiveness and purchasing power. On an aggregated level wage increases have to be in line with inflation targets. This means that exogenous shocks should be absorbed in order to avoid economic contraction. In order to support competitiveness and job creation, which is a main source for gaining purchasing power, wage developments have to be in line with productivity increases. Therefore, more focus on wage differentiation is necessary, especially on the lower end of the labour markets. A desirable level of net income for low productivity jobs has to be tackled rather by social or fiscal policy schemes than by wages costs. In some Member States the Trade Unions have to focus more on job creation than on the wage development of those who are already employed. 3. Make structural reforms happen - Member States have to overcome the delivery gap The implementation of the structural reforms, which are already agreed in numerous BEPGs and the Lisbon Strategy, is not only necessary in order to increase the potential growth rate in Europe, but also to give more room to ease the monetary policy and to support budget consolidation. As long as the national governments only agree on these reforms at meetings at European level without feeling responsible to do the next step at home, the economic recovery will not happen and the Lisbon targets will be fare from achieved. The same is true for the policies of important national stakeholders. It is not enough to agree on reform strategies at European level without supporting the national governments when it comes to implementation. From Europe's SME point of view, the most important structural reforms, which are needed and where are delivery gaps, at least in some Member States, are in the fields of: regulations in the social security systems, which discourage people from staying in the labour market or entering it (early pension schemes, family taxation schemes, unemployment schemes, etc.); flexibility of labour markets regarding work contracts, wage differentiation, time flexibility; administrative burdens regarding health and safety, taxation, business start ups, transfer of business; shortcomings in the internal market, especially in the service sector; access to finance and to new technologies UEAPME 2003-06-03 3