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Unit 2: Modeling Random Behavior Week 3 : Probability
Unit 2: Modeling Random Behavior Week 3 : Probability

Slides_2
Slides_2

... • Random Experiment: an experiment with a non-deterministic outcome (e.g., packet transmission with random lost) • Sample Space (S): the set of all possible well-defined outcomes of an experiment • Event (E): a subset of the sample space ...
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... Recall that there are di¤erent de…nitions of limit for sequences of random variables. To each de…nition corresponds a type of continuity of real valued time index process. For instance: De…nition 5 5. fXt g is continuous in probability if for every t and " > 0; limh!0 P (jXt+h Xt j > ") = 0: ....alm ...
Chapter 7 – Random Variables and Probability Distributions
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... TTH, TTT} Note that sometimes its easier to include events may not be possible. For example, the SST temperature anomalies really can’t get outside a fairly small range. As we will see later on, adding outcomes with zero probability isn’t a problem. ...
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Chapter 3: DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES AND PROBABILITY

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... What if k is chosen randomly and kept secret? Can still uniquely determine k and r, from a 2m-bit estimate of k/r, provided they have no common factors, using the continued fractions algorithm* Note: If k and r have a common factor, it is impossible because, for example, 2/3 and 17/51 are indistingu ...
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Continuous Probability Distributions Uniform Distribution

... Histogram approximates PDF A histogram is graphical display of data showing a series of adjacent  rectangles.  Each rectangle has a base which represents an  interval of data values.  The height of the rectangle creates an  area which represents the probability of X to be within the base. When ba ...
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251y0331

... has a continuous uniform distribution ranging from 0 to 5 minutes. The mean waiting time for some one who just arrived at concourse B is: a) *2.5 minutes b) 3 minutes c) 4 minutes d) 5 minutes. 2. A recent study on teen-age pregnancy indicates that 5% of the female population will get pregnant durin ...
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...  Three coins are tossed. Assume they are fair coins. Tossing three coins is the same experiment as tossing one coin three times. There are two outcomes on the first toss, two outcomes on the second toss and two outcomes on toss three. Use the multiplication principle to calculate the total number o ...
List of Publications - Shlomo Levental 1.
List of Publications - Shlomo Levental 1.

... Letters in Statistics and Probability ) 37. Optimal Contracting and Nash Equilibria in the Continuous-Time Principal-Agent Problem with Multiple Principals. ( joint with Mark Schroder, Lening Kang). The paper is essentially ready. To be submitted soon. 38. A Maximum Principle for Multidimensional BS ...
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Chapter 2 PowerPoint

... For a coin toss, the sample space is {heads, tails}. For weighing a cereal box, the sample space is (0,  ), a more reasonable sample space is (12, 20) for a 16 oz. box. ...
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Probability

Probability is the measure of the likeliness that an event will occur. Probability is quantified as a number between 0 and 1 (where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty). The higher the probability of an event, the more certain we are that the event will occur. A simple example is the toss of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the two outcomes are equally probable, the probability of ""heads"" equals the probability of ""tails"", so the probability is 1/2 (or 50%) chance of either ""heads"" or ""tails"".These concepts have been given an axiomatic mathematical formalization in probability theory (see probability axioms), which is used widely in such areas of study as mathematics, statistics, finance, gambling, science (in particular physics), artificial intelligence/machine learning, computer science, game theory, and philosophy to, for example, draw inferences about the expected frequency of events. Probability theory is also used to describe the underlying mechanics and regularities of complex systems.
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