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Free Full Text ( Final Version , 817kb )
Free Full Text ( Final Version , 817kb )

... dynamics. I divided post-reform inflation into 2 periods, 8 cycles. 1997 can be considered as the watershed of the two periods. Each period includes 4 cycles respectively: the pre-1997 period includes 1978-1981, 1982-1986, 1987-1990, and 1991-1996 while the after-1997 period contains 1997-2002, 2003 ...
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... instrument for the supply of capital to the domestic economy, while average growth of all trading partners could be an adequate instrument for the foreign demand of exports by the domestic economy. Foreign shocks are measured in two ways: the rate of growth or deviation of a foreign variable from it ...
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Fear of floating

Fear of floating refers to situations where a country prefers a smoother exchange rate to a floating exchange rate regime. This is more relevant in emerging economies, especially when they suffered from financial crisis in last two decades. In foreign exchange markets of the emerging market economies, there is evidence showing that countries who claim they are floating their currency, are actually reluctant to let the nominal exchange rate fluctuate in response to macroeconomic shocks. In the literature, this is first convincingly documented by Calvo and Reinhart with “fear of floating” as the title of one of their papers in 2000. Since then, this widespread phenomenon of reluctance to adjust exchange rates in emerging markets is usually called “fear of floating”. Most of the studies on “fear of floating” are closely related to literature on costs and benefits of different exchange rate regimes.
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