Candidate Faces and Election Outcomes
... the first column is a model with facial competence difference only. Our regression model in column one replicates the impressive correlations between face and vote noted in Todorov et al. (2005). Moving from none of the Todorov et al. (2005) participants choosing the Democratic face more competent t ...
... the first column is a model with facial competence difference only. Our regression model in column one replicates the impressive correlations between face and vote noted in Todorov et al. (2005). Moving from none of the Todorov et al. (2005) participants choosing the Democratic face more competent t ...
U·M·I
... unsupported attacks that encourage voters to supply their own interpretation and support from past experience, campaign behavior, candidate characteristics, or group associations (Popkin, 1991, chap. 3). Attack advertisements include a second role for ambiguity as well. Attacks citing specific infor ...
... unsupported attacks that encourage voters to supply their own interpretation and support from past experience, campaign behavior, candidate characteristics, or group associations (Popkin, 1991, chap. 3). Attack advertisements include a second role for ambiguity as well. Attacks citing specific infor ...
A ttitudes, Uncertain t
... When respondents are forced to give a point estimate for the location of some object (be it self or other), they must somehow reduce the probability distribution which represents their perception of possible locations, to a single point. If there is a loss function associated with errors in estimate ...
... When respondents are forced to give a point estimate for the location of some object (be it self or other), they must somehow reduce the probability distribution which represents their perception of possible locations, to a single point. If there is a loss function associated with errors in estimate ...
Popular Music as a Public Relations Resource in Political Campaigns
... campaign as needed.9 As Jodi Larson argues, “After the 1980 campaign, no national candidate would use a campaign song that included a specific platform or even a reference to a candidate’s individual identity. All campaign music after 1980 consisted of unmodified popular songs used just as they were ...
... campaign as needed.9 As Jodi Larson argues, “After the 1980 campaign, no national candidate would use a campaign song that included a specific platform or even a reference to a candidate’s individual identity. All campaign music after 1980 consisted of unmodified popular songs used just as they were ...
Behavioral Decision Theory and Implications for the Supreme
... The notion that candidates and their surrogates exploit these and other biases in efforts to influence voting behavior is more than theoretical. History is replete with examples of candidates capitalizing on opportunities to harness the effects of cognitive irrationalities, and there is ample eviden ...
... The notion that candidates and their surrogates exploit these and other biases in efforts to influence voting behavior is more than theoretical. History is replete with examples of candidates capitalizing on opportunities to harness the effects of cognitive irrationalities, and there is ample eviden ...
DOC - Northwestern University
... of exposure to mass communications (e.g., news broadcasts). Observed differences in opinion between these groups constituted evidence of a mass communication effect. Our confidence in these results depends on our ability to rule out several alternative explanations. One alternative hypothesis is tha ...
... of exposure to mass communications (e.g., news broadcasts). Observed differences in opinion between these groups constituted evidence of a mass communication effect. Our confidence in these results depends on our ability to rule out several alternative explanations. One alternative hypothesis is tha ...
Political Advertising and Voting Intentions
... commentators and ordinary citizens alike. This is especially the case in countries, like the U.S., where few limits exists on how much private interests can contribute to political parties and how much these can spend in campaigns.1 Indeed, over the past decades, the amount of resources spent for po ...
... commentators and ordinary citizens alike. This is especially the case in countries, like the U.S., where few limits exists on how much private interests can contribute to political parties and how much these can spend in campaigns.1 Indeed, over the past decades, the amount of resources spent for po ...
The Impact of Political Advertising on Knowledge
... viewers to pay more attention to ads than others (Chaffee & Schleuder, 1986). A more precise way to measure political advertising exposure is to manipulate it directly, through the use of controlled experiments (Ansolabehere & Iyengar, 1995; Pfau et al., 2002; Pfau et al., 2001). This methodology al ...
... viewers to pay more attention to ads than others (Chaffee & Schleuder, 1986). A more precise way to measure political advertising exposure is to manipulate it directly, through the use of controlled experiments (Ansolabehere & Iyengar, 1995; Pfau et al., 2002; Pfau et al., 2001). This methodology al ...
Anticipatory balancing
... Kernell (1977) also introduces a “negative voting” model. He posits that supporters of the president tend to stay home rather than vote at midterm, while those who disapprove the president are more motivated to vote. This sort of asymmetrical motivation to vote at midterm could complement either ref ...
... Kernell (1977) also introduces a “negative voting” model. He posits that supporters of the president tend to stay home rather than vote at midterm, while those who disapprove the president are more motivated to vote. This sort of asymmetrical motivation to vote at midterm could complement either ref ...
Political Campaign Advertising Dynamics
... Even if we leave campaign strategy aside, we still must identify how campaign advertising influences voter expectations and learning. Most studies of advertising have relied on static models. But, a campaign is obviously a dynamic situation in which different degrees of advertising occur at differen ...
... Even if we leave campaign strategy aside, we still must identify how campaign advertising influences voter expectations and learning. Most studies of advertising have relied on static models. But, a campaign is obviously a dynamic situation in which different degrees of advertising occur at differen ...
The Experimental Political Scientist
... flows from substantive expertise of scholars across political science and the social sciences more generally. The new Section provides a forum for scholarly exchange about experimental design and analysis, helping researchers translate their substantive questions into workable and informative experi ...
... flows from substantive expertise of scholars across political science and the social sciences more generally. The new Section provides a forum for scholarly exchange about experimental design and analysis, helping researchers translate their substantive questions into workable and informative experi ...
PDF - 172KB - UW Faculty Web Server
... president to have strong religious beliefs (Pew, 2007). Further, debates over candidates who do not fit the politico-religious molds of their times—recall John Kennedy’s Catholicism in 1960 or Mitt Romney’s Mormonism in 2008—are indicative of the importance among the citizenry of a president’s belie ...
... president to have strong religious beliefs (Pew, 2007). Further, debates over candidates who do not fit the politico-religious molds of their times—recall John Kennedy’s Catholicism in 1960 or Mitt Romney’s Mormonism in 2008—are indicative of the importance among the citizenry of a president’s belie ...
experience that - Michelle Schoenleber
... president to have strong religious beliefs (Pew, 2007). Further, debates over candidates who do not fit the politico-religious molds of their times—recall John Kennedy’s Catholicism in 1960 or Mitt Romney’s Mormonism in 2008—are indicative of the importance among the citizenry of a president’s belie ...
... president to have strong religious beliefs (Pew, 2007). Further, debates over candidates who do not fit the politico-religious molds of their times—recall John Kennedy’s Catholicism in 1960 or Mitt Romney’s Mormonism in 2008—are indicative of the importance among the citizenry of a president’s belie ...
Voter engagement and young people
... distance between young people, politicians and the electoral process. Often it is not the lack of information between electors and elected that is problematic but the quality of such information. More research is necessary to ascertain the nature of the relationship young people have with politics. ...
... distance between young people, politicians and the electoral process. Often it is not the lack of information between electors and elected that is problematic but the quality of such information. More research is necessary to ascertain the nature of the relationship young people have with politics. ...
Lac_Monson_PRQ
... Farmer-Labor (DFL) candidate Hubert "Skip" Humphrey III. Coleman was the incumbent mayor of St. Paul. Humphrey, in addition to his well-known family, had served previously as Minnesota's Attorney General. Though, strictly speaking, Jesse Ventura's previous political experience as mayor of Brooklyn P ...
... Farmer-Labor (DFL) candidate Hubert "Skip" Humphrey III. Coleman was the incumbent mayor of St. Paul. Humphrey, in addition to his well-known family, had served previously as Minnesota's Attorney General. Though, strictly speaking, Jesse Ventura's previous political experience as mayor of Brooklyn P ...
Late Deciders in US Presidential Elections
... dent decided for whom to vote during the last two weeks of the campaign and zero otherwise.1 For independent variables, we include several measures of respondent demographic, attitudinal, and behavioral traits for which there is disagreement in the previous literature on late deciders. We also inclu ...
... dent decided for whom to vote during the last two weeks of the campaign and zero otherwise.1 For independent variables, we include several measures of respondent demographic, attitudinal, and behavioral traits for which there is disagreement in the previous literature on late deciders. We also inclu ...
It is virtually always better to be an incumbent than a challenger in
... finds waiting to be picked up and put on like a new suit. Incumbency should be seen as a resource to be employed, an opportunity to be exploited; and the power of incumbency is whatever each member makes of the resource and the opportunity …. [T]he power of incumbency is conditional” (2003 [1978] p2 ...
... finds waiting to be picked up and put on like a new suit. Incumbency should be seen as a resource to be employed, an opportunity to be exploited; and the power of incumbency is whatever each member makes of the resource and the opportunity …. [T]he power of incumbency is conditional” (2003 [1978] p2 ...
c VOTE COUNT VERIFICATION
... poll, researchers ask selected voters from a sample of polling places about how they have just voted. Then they can compare the findings to reported results. Likewise, some observers have pointed to pre-election opinion polls as a basis for questioning reported results. And some have used various me ...
... poll, researchers ask selected voters from a sample of polling places about how they have just voted. Then they can compare the findings to reported results. Likewise, some observers have pointed to pre-election opinion polls as a basis for questioning reported results. And some have used various me ...
Chapters 7 and 8 Sample Exercises Provide an appropriate response.
... customer applied for and received a card but never used it. For a random sample of 20 customers, 3 never used it. Find a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion. Can you conclude that fewer than half the people who received the credit card never used it? 59) A Gallup poll of 1013 peopl ...
... customer applied for and received a card but never used it. For a random sample of 20 customers, 3 never used it. Find a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion. Can you conclude that fewer than half the people who received the credit card never used it? 59) A Gallup poll of 1013 peopl ...
Edison/Mitofsky Exit Polls 2004: differential non
... During the 2004 US presidential election, exit polls initially appeared to overestimate the proportion of votes cast for John Kerry, the Democratic challenger, relative to the proportion cast for the Republican president, George W. Bush. Because the margin was so close, the discrepancy between the e ...
... During the 2004 US presidential election, exit polls initially appeared to overestimate the proportion of votes cast for John Kerry, the Democratic challenger, relative to the proportion cast for the Republican president, George W. Bush. Because the margin was so close, the discrepancy between the e ...
Why Does Voting Get So Complicated? A Review of
... methods are democratic and others are not? Actually, what it means is that “preference” is really a more complicated notion than first appears. Voters can be seen to prefer different outcomes when counted differently. Take the recent 2002 French presidential election as an example. In France there i ...
... methods are democratic and others are not? Actually, what it means is that “preference” is really a more complicated notion than first appears. Voters can be seen to prefer different outcomes when counted differently. Take the recent 2002 French presidential election as an example. In France there i ...
parties, brokers and voter mobilization: how turnout buying depends
... level shocks affecting turnout. Information from more electoral returns thus increase the signal to noise ratio surrounding the effect of broker effort on electoral outcomes, allowing the party to better detect when their broker has shirked. Since new polling stations are constructed adjacent to ex ...
... level shocks affecting turnout. Information from more electoral returns thus increase the signal to noise ratio surrounding the effect of broker effort on electoral outcomes, allowing the party to better detect when their broker has shirked. Since new polling stations are constructed adjacent to ex ...
04 NOPEC 30 (1) Wallerstein - Nordic Journal of Political Economy
... in accordance with an ethical duty to help their group, where groups are defined in terms of shared political preferences, whether or not the individual action has a non-negligible impact on the group’s welfare. While the standard model of choice has not proven to be of much use for understanding wh ...
... in accordance with an ethical duty to help their group, where groups are defined in terms of shared political preferences, whether or not the individual action has a non-negligible impact on the group’s welfare. While the standard model of choice has not proven to be of much use for understanding wh ...
Policy divergence and voter polarization in a structural model of
... and Gul (2013)). In contrast, Esteban and Ray (1994, 1999, 2011); Duclos et al. (2004) define polarization as a property of the preference distribution of voters; specifically, in their definition, polarization captures the notion of a society consisting of different groups in which voters in each g ...
... and Gul (2013)). In contrast, Esteban and Ray (1994, 1999, 2011); Duclos et al. (2004) define polarization as a property of the preference distribution of voters; specifically, in their definition, polarization captures the notion of a society consisting of different groups in which voters in each g ...
In Defense of Genopolitics The American Political Science Review
... 5HTT and church attendance replicates; however, the association with MAOA does not. We then conduct several tests with alternative specifications, showing that the 5HTT result is robust. Turning to the general critique of genopolitcs, we draw on literatures in both political science and genetics to ...
... 5HTT and church attendance replicates; however, the association with MAOA does not. We then conduct several tests with alternative specifications, showing that the 5HTT result is robust. Turning to the general critique of genopolitcs, we draw on literatures in both political science and genetics to ...
Opinion poll
An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll, is a survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals.