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A dynamic ARDL model
A dynamic ARDL model

... the McKinnon-Shaw hypothesis were Van Wijnbergen (1983) and Taylor (1983). Van Wijnbergen’s (1983) hypothesis contrasted those of McKinnon (1973) and Kapur (1976). Van Wijnbergen expressed the view that McKinnon’s and Kapur’s results depend crucially on one implicit as- ...
Crisis Response Policies in Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Belarus
Crisis Response Policies in Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Belarus

... These booms partly embodied the swift expansion of foreign exchange (mostly U.S. dollar)-denominated loans, which attained 45% to 50% of total loans (before the crisis) in Ukraine and Kazakhstan. Foreign currency-denominated lending to unhedged borrowers (notably households) has been pronounced in a ...
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2. Fiscal Decentralization

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The Globalization of Markets
The Globalization of Markets

... early 1990s, the U.S. Library of Congress catalog listed less than 50 publications per year related to globalization – from 2002 to 2008 there were more than 1100 every year.3 Their popularity notwithstanding, such works were seldom grounded in broad-based and rigorous examinations of the relevant d ...
Has austerity gone too far?
Has austerity gone too far?

... correlation between public and private borrowing costs actually tends to become stronger during crises. Perhaps in a crisis period high correlation is simply the by-product of common recessionary shocks, affecting simultaneously but independently the balance sheets of the government and private ...
The Economics of Natural Disasters
The Economics of Natural Disasters

... thing is already clear, however: the cost of rebuilding will exceed what any one agency or country can reasonably contribute—least of all Haiti itself, which before the tragedy was already the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere. Begin with the loss to human life: the latest estimates indicate ...
Mystery - World Bank Group
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... respectively. The information below shows the difficulty in accurately predicting even the current year macro economic indicators, which may influence the decision on lending. Table 1 and figure 1 show that the predicted GDP growth is consistently higher than the realized ones. Table 2 and figure 2 ...
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Lessons from Reforms in Central and Eastern Europe in the Wake of

... according to EBRD (2011). Economic growth has been substantial in the whole region, with the late reformers catching up in the 2000s. In 2008, several of the ten CEE countries were in a state of severe overheating. This was especially true of the three Baltic countries, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuani ...
Chapter 19: Developing Countries
Chapter 19: Developing Countries

... The problems of the developing countries have not gone unnoticed by the more successful countries of the world. Two agencies, in particular, work directly with developing nations to solve their problems. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) offers advice to all nations on monetary and fiscal polici ...
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... Can You Save an Economy by Tying It to the Mast of Globalization? Domingo Cavallo thought he knew the real problem. For too long, Argentina’s governments had changed the rules of the game whenever it suited them. Too much governmental discretion had resulted in a complete loss of confidence in Argen ...
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... eventually demonstrate a measure of cohesion based on common interests, it has not yet occurred in a serious way. The countries quarrel among themselves as much as they take issue with more developed market countries. Perhaps it would be most useful for investors to consider the BRICS as something l ...
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Overview: Global Economic Developments and Ghana`s Economic

... and in the EU, well above the pre-crisis level of 5.8% in 2007 (ILO, 2015). ILO (2015) projects the incidence of vulnerable employment in emerging and developing countries to be around 45% of total employment, from 2015 to 2017. It also reports that one-half of the world’s vulnerable employment is a ...
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III Working Paper 12 - De-Democratisation and Rising Inequality

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... of China as a global force in the world economy in recent decades, any slowdown and change in the composition of its real GDP growth can bring about signi…cant spillovers to other systemic economies, and its trading partners, including those in the Asia and Paci…c region, as well as emerging market ...
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... though trade has grown more quickly in recent years in America? But this argument can be reversed: globalization is a process, not a steady state phenomenon. From this perspective, open economies such as Belgium and the Netherlands, which have been dealing with the effects of international markets f ...
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IMF Structural Adjustment Programs: Concepts, Design, Critique

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... community that a country is an investment risk because it is either unwilling or unable to repay its debts. This contributes to the cutting-off of these countries from the international capital markets, unless they are willing to pay extremely high rates. ...
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Globalization and Its Discontents

Globalization and Its Discontents is a book published in 2002 by the 2001 Nobel laureate Joseph E. Stiglitz.The book draws on Stiglitz's personal experience as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under Bill Clinton from 1993 and chief economist at the World Bank from 1997. During this period Stiglitz became disillusioned with the IMF and other international institutions, which he came to believe acted against the interests of impoverished developing countries. Stiglitz argues that the policies pursued by the IMF are based on neoliberal assumptions that are fundamentally unsound:Behind the free market ideology there is a model, often attributed to Adam Smith, which argues that market forces—the profit motive—drive the economy to efficient outcomes as if by an invisible hand. One of the great achievements of modern economics is to show the sense in which, and the conditions under which, Smith's conclusion is correct. It turns out that these conditions are highly restrictive. Indeed, more recent advances in economic theory—ironically occurring precisely during the period of the most relentless pursuit of the Washington Consensus policies—have shown that whenever information is imperfect and markets incomplete, which is to say always, and especially in developing countries, then the invisible hand works most imperfectly. Significantly, there are desirable government interventions which, in principle, can improve upon the efficiency of the market. These restrictions on the conditions under which markets result in efficiency are important—many of the key activities of government can be understood as responses to the resulting market failures.Stiglitz argues that IMF policies contributed to bringing about the East Asian financial crisis, as well as the Argentine economic crisis. Also noted was the failure of Russia's conversion to a market economy and low levels of development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Specific policies criticised by Stiglitz include fiscal austerity, high interest rates, trade liberalization, and the liberalization of capital markets and insistence on the privatization of state assets.
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