Newsletter 30/2013
... Abstracts Departmental Seminar Andreas Schrimpf "Currency Risk Premia and Macro Fundamentals" Macroeconomic fundamentals have substantial predictive power for exchange rates. Adopting a multi-currency portfolio perspective, we show that currency excess returns are predictable out of sample conditio ...
... Abstracts Departmental Seminar Andreas Schrimpf "Currency Risk Premia and Macro Fundamentals" Macroeconomic fundamentals have substantial predictive power for exchange rates. Adopting a multi-currency portfolio perspective, we show that currency excess returns are predictable out of sample conditio ...
! Monetary Policy Challenges for Turkey in European Union Accession Process
... designed. Independent regulatory and supervisory agencies were formed. Steps were taken to enhance transparency, budget discipline and accountability in the public sector. Various laws were enacted to improve the investment environment. At the beginning of 2002, the CBT announced that it was going ...
... designed. Independent regulatory and supervisory agencies were formed. Steps were taken to enhance transparency, budget discipline and accountability in the public sector. Various laws were enacted to improve the investment environment. At the beginning of 2002, the CBT announced that it was going ...
nafta toward a common currency: an economic feasibility study
... Arndt (2003) argues that trade encourages similarity among industrial structures and thus reduces the problems associated with asymmetric shocks.12Intra-product specialization reduces asymmetric shocks as it increases business synchronization. Krugman (1993) on the other hand, believes that speciali ...
... Arndt (2003) argues that trade encourages similarity among industrial structures and thus reduces the problems associated with asymmetric shocks.12Intra-product specialization reduces asymmetric shocks as it increases business synchronization. Krugman (1993) on the other hand, believes that speciali ...
Lecture 12 - uni
... • It also encourages economic integration. • Contrary to industrialized countries, emerging market countries may not lose much by giving up an independent monetary policy, but it leaves them open to speculative attacks. Paul Bernd Spahn, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt/Main ...
... • It also encourages economic integration. • Contrary to industrialized countries, emerging market countries may not lose much by giving up an independent monetary policy, but it leaves them open to speculative attacks. Paul Bernd Spahn, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt/Main ...
Lecture 12 - Goethe
... • It also encourages economic integration. • Contrary to industrialized countries, emerging market countries may not lose much by giving up an independent monetary policy, but it leaves them open to speculative attacks. Paul Bernd Spahn, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt/Main ...
... • It also encourages economic integration. • Contrary to industrialized countries, emerging market countries may not lose much by giving up an independent monetary policy, but it leaves them open to speculative attacks. Paul Bernd Spahn, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt/Main ...
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
... • This sale is an export of Taiwan, so it increases Taiwan net exports by 10,000 U.S. dollars. • If you decide to use the proceeds to purchase the INTEL stock. Then you, as a domestic resident, purchase and own foreign assets. © 2007 Thomson South-Western ...
... • This sale is an export of Taiwan, so it increases Taiwan net exports by 10,000 U.S. dollars. • If you decide to use the proceeds to purchase the INTEL stock. Then you, as a domestic resident, purchase and own foreign assets. © 2007 Thomson South-Western ...
Paper III - Is East Africa an Optimum Currency Area
... costs and benefits of its membership and the instruments that could be used to address asymmetric shocks. The criteria that were used in the study are factor mobility, openness of the economy and the degree of diversification. Tjirongo (1995) concluded that given the relative size of the Namibian ec ...
... costs and benefits of its membership and the instruments that could be used to address asymmetric shocks. The criteria that were used in the study are factor mobility, openness of the economy and the degree of diversification. Tjirongo (1995) concluded that given the relative size of the Namibian ec ...
Convergence and Consensus: The Political Economy of Stabilisation, Poverty and Growth*
... through a squeeze on domestic credit creation, and is skeptical about the extent to which the model can be extended over time or to other policy objectives other than through reiteration of guesswork concerning macroeconomic estimates. Stick to FP within its limitations is his core message. Consider ...
... through a squeeze on domestic credit creation, and is skeptical about the extent to which the model can be extended over time or to other policy objectives other than through reiteration of guesswork concerning macroeconomic estimates. Stick to FP within its limitations is his core message. Consider ...
IS-LM - Lorenzo Burlon
... Why doesn’t this logic always apply? There are two reasons why interest rates differ across countries: 1) Country Risk: when investors buy U.S. government bonds, or make loans to U.S. corporations, they are fairly confident that they will be repaid with interest. By contrast, in some less developed ...
... Why doesn’t this logic always apply? There are two reasons why interest rates differ across countries: 1) Country Risk: when investors buy U.S. government bonds, or make loans to U.S. corporations, they are fairly confident that they will be repaid with interest. By contrast, in some less developed ...
CONCLUSIONS: GLOBALISATION AND THE END OF THE NATION
... (or inside-out) approach to the international political economy. With respect to this, there are various theories, including the societal actors approach, which identifies the source of power in the preferences of societal and economic forces as shaped by their international and domestic economic si ...
... (or inside-out) approach to the international political economy. With respect to this, there are various theories, including the societal actors approach, which identifies the source of power in the preferences of societal and economic forces as shaped by their international and domestic economic si ...
Spot Market
... • Suppose in 1996 the British CPI was 156.4 and the US CPI was 154.7. In 2000, the CPI’s were 170.5 and 172.7 respectively. • Based on this, British prices rose 9.0 percent while US prices rose 11.6 percent, a 2.6 difference. • Since the prices of British goods and services rose slower than the pric ...
... • Suppose in 1996 the British CPI was 156.4 and the US CPI was 154.7. In 2000, the CPI’s were 170.5 and 172.7 respectively. • Based on this, British prices rose 9.0 percent while US prices rose 11.6 percent, a 2.6 difference. • Since the prices of British goods and services rose slower than the pric ...
Week 9 - cda college
... What is a pegged exchange rate? • The term pegged exchange rate refers to setting a targeted value for a country’s foreign exchange. A pegged, rate is a rate the government (or central bank) sets and maintains as the official exchange rate. A set price will be determined against a major world curre ...
... What is a pegged exchange rate? • The term pegged exchange rate refers to setting a targeted value for a country’s foreign exchange. A pegged, rate is a rate the government (or central bank) sets and maintains as the official exchange rate. A set price will be determined against a major world curre ...
ASIAN INITIATIVES
... In the period after the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC), there had been a sprouting of ideas and recommendations for more regional integration in the monetary sector for crisis prevention and reduction of volatilities caused by an unstable global environment. This section ...
... In the period after the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC), there had been a sprouting of ideas and recommendations for more regional integration in the monetary sector for crisis prevention and reduction of volatilities caused by an unstable global environment. This section ...
Chapter 14: Exchange Rates and Purchasing Power Parity.
... The PPP is useful to get a sense of the long-term tendency towards which nominal exchange rates move absent other changes ...
... The PPP is useful to get a sense of the long-term tendency towards which nominal exchange rates move absent other changes ...
Chapter 12 - Academic Csuohio
... you receive €1000 to deposit into your German checking account. • In February 2006, you still have €1000, but it will be worth $1,250 because each euro is now worth $1.25. • Conversely, a German who had placed €1000 in a U.S. account and waited would have seen her $1000 fall in value from €1000 to € ...
... you receive €1000 to deposit into your German checking account. • In February 2006, you still have €1000, but it will be worth $1,250 because each euro is now worth $1.25. • Conversely, a German who had placed €1000 in a U.S. account and waited would have seen her $1000 fall in value from €1000 to € ...
Currency Induced Credit Risk Management Guidelines
... and liabilities of banks (as well as of other financial institutions and a significant portion of the real sector) are mostly denominated in foreign currencies, or where assets and liabilities are denominated in the domestic currency, but indexed to another, generally convertible, currency, such as ...
... and liabilities of banks (as well as of other financial institutions and a significant portion of the real sector) are mostly denominated in foreign currencies, or where assets and liabilities are denominated in the domestic currency, but indexed to another, generally convertible, currency, such as ...
Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes
... accounted for slightly over half of developing Asia’s aggregate external surplus in 2000, but accounted for virtually all of it by 2005. By then, China’s imbalance, along with those of the oil exporting countries, had become a major counterpart of the global deficits. Supporting these enhanced curre ...
... accounted for slightly over half of developing Asia’s aggregate external surplus in 2000, but accounted for virtually all of it by 2005. By then, China’s imbalance, along with those of the oil exporting countries, had become a major counterpart of the global deficits. Supporting these enhanced curre ...
A New Currency for the East African Community?
... cointegration. Classical cointegration models used in most OCA studies imply short memory residuals as equilibrium errors in the cointegrating relationships. This issue distorts the cointegrating results given that most macroeconomic series, such as exchange rates, possess long memory. This fact nee ...
... cointegration. Classical cointegration models used in most OCA studies imply short memory residuals as equilibrium errors in the cointegrating relationships. This issue distorts the cointegrating results given that most macroeconomic series, such as exchange rates, possess long memory. This fact nee ...
The Effects of Exchange Controls on the Venezuelan
... that President Chávez created CADIVI for the stated goals of attempting to stabilize inflation and rebuilding foreign reserves or for the political goals of reducing dependence on the private economy by stifling imports in order to implement more state control. The division runs along chavista/oppos ...
... that President Chávez created CADIVI for the stated goals of attempting to stabilize inflation and rebuilding foreign reserves or for the political goals of reducing dependence on the private economy by stifling imports in order to implement more state control. The division runs along chavista/oppos ...
The Future of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate, 2002
... The U.S. dollar replaced the pound sterling after World War I as the dominant world currency because of the size of the American economy and its global trade, the existence of large and well-developed financial markets in the United States, and its more stable value.2 The dollar has performed three ...
... The U.S. dollar replaced the pound sterling after World War I as the dominant world currency because of the size of the American economy and its global trade, the existence of large and well-developed financial markets in the United States, and its more stable value.2 The dollar has performed three ...
Currency Strategy 2016-09
... their strong performances have boosted both carry and valuation strategies. Currently, there are clearly fewer attractive valuation cases making us less inclined to search out such prospects. Still, growing protectionism and increasing financial market regulation support suggestions that FX markets ...
... their strong performances have boosted both carry and valuation strategies. Currently, there are clearly fewer attractive valuation cases making us less inclined to search out such prospects. Still, growing protectionism and increasing financial market regulation support suggestions that FX markets ...
Contagion, Herding and Exchange-rate Instability
... deficit by printing money. As a consequence, the money supply grows in a way which is incompatible with the proclaimed level of the fixed exchange rate. Individuals realise this inconsistency and seek to convert large amounts of their holdings in domestic currency into foreign-denominated securities. ...
... deficit by printing money. As a consequence, the money supply grows in a way which is incompatible with the proclaimed level of the fixed exchange rate. Individuals realise this inconsistency and seek to convert large amounts of their holdings in domestic currency into foreign-denominated securities. ...
Currency Trader
... G7 will attempt to engineer a “soft landing” for the greenback or let the market cut its legs out from under it. The overall economic and intermarket picture is about as confusing as it could be. While the dollar is weak, commodities are up, stocks are up and treasury yields are down. The normal rel ...
... G7 will attempt to engineer a “soft landing” for the greenback or let the market cut its legs out from under it. The overall economic and intermarket picture is about as confusing as it could be. While the dollar is weak, commodities are up, stocks are up and treasury yields are down. The normal rel ...
Monetary Policy Autonomy in European Non-Euro Countries
... instrument, the government must use monetary policy to stabilize the exchange rate in the event of asymmetric business cycles and country-specific economic shocks. However, in a fixed exchange rate system, governments can exploit monetary policy to stabilize demand and consumption only if the moneta ...
... instrument, the government must use monetary policy to stabilize the exchange rate in the event of asymmetric business cycles and country-specific economic shocks. However, in a fixed exchange rate system, governments can exploit monetary policy to stabilize demand and consumption only if the moneta ...
Changes in demand of domestic goods relative
... Pass through from the exchange rate to import prices measures the percentage by which import prices change when the value of the domestic currency changes by 1%. In the DD-AA model, the pass through rate is 100%: import prices in domestic currency exactly match a depreciation of the domestic curren ...
... Pass through from the exchange rate to import prices measures the percentage by which import prices change when the value of the domestic currency changes by 1%. In the DD-AA model, the pass through rate is 100%: import prices in domestic currency exactly match a depreciation of the domestic curren ...