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What Else Can Central Banks Do? - Centre for Economic Policy
What Else Can Central Banks Do? - Centre for Economic Policy

2015-IV
2015-IV

... rate. Due to the cumulative depreciation in the Turkish lira, annual core goods inflation surged in this period and the core inflation remained elevated. In addition to the changes in exchange rate and food prices, wage developments and medium-term inflation expectations will also be effective on th ...
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... levels of volatility which could lead to poor performance of Rwanda’s tradable sector as well as putting in place better and sustainable strategies to increase production in Rwanda to avoid higher import prices induced by the exchange rate depreciation. Mindful of the fact that the actions of fiscal ...
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24729 33 c33 p737-776

... When real GDP grows rapidly, business is good. During such periods of economic expansion, most firms find that customers are plentiful and that profits are growing. When real GDP falls during recessions, businesses have trouble. During such periods of economic contraction, most firms experience decl ...
Preview - American Economic Association
Preview - American Economic Association

... Before we attempt to model and forecast an outlook for prices, it may be useful to first establish why inflation has been so sluggish recently. One key factor contributing to deflationary pressure has been the gap between actual and potential GDP growth, a schism that emerged in the wake of the Grea ...
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Chapter 02 Money and the Payments System

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This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from... of Economic Research
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from... of Economic Research

... better still if it “cheats” on the agreement. That is, it will be able to do better in the short-run, assuming that the other countries leave their policies as agreed; in future periods, the other countries will presumably retaliate by also abandoning the agreement. But economists have probably over ...
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... are better able to absorb wage increases without affecting prices and profits than the sheltered industries.' 5. In regard, however, to individual industries within the group the relation no longer holds. Instead, national accounts data show considerable erratic movements of the relationship between ...
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THE DEMAND FOR MONEY
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... second conclusion to read that an increase in the expected rate of inflation lowers the demand for real money balances. The first conclusion is represented graphically in Figure 13.1. In this figure the cost of holding each dollar, $1/P, is measured on the vertical axis and the quantity of nominal m ...
ExamView Pro - ec1001june2009.tst
ExamView Pro - ec1001june2009.tst

... rate or adjustable nominal interest rate loan. Typically the adjustable rate loans start with a lower rate than the fixed rate loans. Given that, Wei would most likely want to borrow money at the higher fixed rate when she expects the a. inflation rate to rise. b. inflation rate to fall. c. inflatio ...
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... ten years. In many respects, the temptation to inflate away some of this debt burden is similar to that at the end of World War II. In 1946, the debt ratio was 108.6 percent. Inflation reduced this ratio about 40 percent within a decade. Yet there are some important differences –shorter debt maturit ...
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... down—contributed to the breakdown of a variety of potential output measures. The disintegration of measures based on Okun's law with a fixed natural rate of unemployment was especially conspicuous. With unemployment rates well above 4 percent, these measures indicated that output was far below poten ...
Review Questions and Answers for Chapter 11
Review Questions and Answers for Chapter 11

... Net export spending can change for two nonprice-level-related reasons such as rising or falling national incomes in other countries and exchange rate changes unrelated to domestic price levels. 8. Identify the ways in which each of the following determinants would have to change if each was causing ...
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Inflation



In economics, inflation is a sustained increase in the general price level of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.When the price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Consequently, inflation reflects a reduction in the purchasing power per unit of money – a loss of real value in the medium of exchange and unit of account within the economy. A chief measure of price inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a general price index (normally the consumer price index) over time. The opposite of inflation is deflation.Inflation affects an economy in various ways, both positive and negative. Negative effects of inflation include an increase in the opportunity cost of holding money, uncertainty over future inflation which may discourage investment and savings, and if inflation were rapid enough, shortages of goods as consumers begin hoarding out of concern that prices will increase in the future.Inflation also has positive effects: Fundamentally, inflation gives everyone an incentive to spend and invest, because if they don't, their money will be worth less in the future. This increase in spending and investment can benefit the economy. However it may also lead to sub-optimal use of resources. Inflation reduces the real burden of debt, both public and private. If you have a fixed-rate mortgage on your house, your salary is likely to increase over time due to wage inflation, but your mortgage payment will stay the same. Over time, your mortgage payment will become a smaller percentage of your earnings, which means that you will have more money to spend. Inflation keeps nominal interest rates above zero, so that central banks can reduce interest rates, when necessary, to stimulate the economy. Inflation reduces unemployment to the extent that unemployment is caused by nominal wage rigidity. When demand for labor falls but nominal wages do not, as typically occurs during a recession, the supply and demand for labor cannot reach equilibrium, and unemployment results. By reducing the real value of a given nominal wage, inflation increases the demand for labor, and therefore reduces unemployment.Economists generally believe that high rates of inflation and hyperinflation are caused by an excessive growth of the money supply. However, money supply growth does not necessarily cause inflation. Some economists maintain that under the conditions of a liquidity trap, large monetary injections are like ""pushing on a string"". Views on which factors determine low to moderate rates of inflation are more varied. Low or moderate inflation may be attributed to fluctuations in real demand for goods and services, or changes in available supplies such as during scarcities. However, the consensus view is that a long sustained period of inflation is caused by money supply growing faster than the rate of economic growth.Today, most economists favor a low and steady rate of inflation. Low (as opposed to zero or negative) inflation reduces the severity of economic recessions by enabling the labor market to adjust more quickly in a downturn, and reduces the risk that a liquidity trap prevents monetary policy from stabilizing the economy. The task of keeping the rate of inflation low and stable is usually given to monetary authorities. Generally, these monetary authorities are the central banks that control monetary policy through the setting of interest rates, through open market operations, and through the setting of banking reserve requirements.
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