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Chapter 4 - Ageing Pressures and Spending
Chapter 4 - Ageing Pressures and Spending

... Total spending is projected to increase to 27.1 per cent of GDP in 2049–50, around 4¾ percentage points of GDP higher than its projected low point in 2015–16. In today’s terms, that’s the equivalent of adding around $60 billion to spending. Around two-thirds of the projected increase in spending to ...
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... fraction of a given age, gender and origin group that receives a given public transfer is obtained for the year 1999. In the projection it is assumed that these fractions remain constant through time. Given the demographic forecast, this ge nerates the number of recipients of each specified public ...
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Funny Money: Fiscal Policy, Rent

... such activity is typically subject to little scrutiny or restriction it is an optimal venue for rent-seeking. As we shall see, in Indonesia under Suharto, there was large-scale offbudget fiscal activity which has gone largely unstudied, but is in fact analytically interesting both for discussions ab ...
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Currency Wars, Coordination, and Capital Controls

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... capita social spending in 1990 dollars in Table 3 show that the leader Denmark was spending only $182 per capita while the United States trailed the pack at $35 per capita. Lindert (1994) confines his measures to social spending by governments, and thus government mandates for private social spendin ...
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PDF Download

... demography and expected growth. If FI is positive, it means that sooner or later government spending must be reduced and/or revenues (taxes) increased to prevent government bankruptcy – i.e., the current fiscal system is not sustainable. The generational imbalance is defined as the share of the fisc ...
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply

< 1 ... 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 ... 580 >

Fiscal multiplier

In economics, the fiscal multiplier (not to be confused with monetary multiplier) is the ratio of a change in national income to the change in government spending that causes it. More generally, the exogenous spending multiplier is the ratio of a change in national income to any autonomous change in spending (private investment spending, consumer spending, government spending, or spending by foreigners on the country's exports) that causes it. When this multiplier exceeds one, the enhanced effect on national income is called the multiplier effect. The mechanism that can give rise to a multiplier effect is that an initial incremental amount of spending can lead to increased consumption spending, increasing income further and hence further increasing consumption, etc., resulting in an overall increase in national income greater than the initial incremental amount of spending. In other words, an initial change in aggregate demand may cause a change in aggregate output (and hence the aggregate income that it generates) that is a multiple of the initial change.The existence of a multiplier effect was initially proposed by Keynes student Richard Kahn in 1930 and published in 1931. Some other schools of economic thought reject or downplay the importance of multiplier effects, particularly in terms of the long run. The multiplier effect has been used as an argument for the efficacy of government spending or taxation relief to stimulate aggregate demand.In certain cases multiplier values less than one have been empirically measured (an example is sports stadiums), suggesting that certain types of government spending crowd out private investment or consumer spending that would have otherwise taken place. This crowding out can occur because the initial increase in spending may cause an increase in interest rates or in the price level. In 2009, The Economist magazine noted ""economists are in fact deeply divided about how well, or indeed whether, such stimulus works"", partly because of a lack of empirical data from non-military based stimulus. New evidence came from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, whose benefits were projected based on fiscal multipliers and which was in fact followed - from 2010 to 2012 - by a slowing of job loss and private sector job growth.
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