Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty
... When a person, city or nation considers climate change, their primary interest is in changes in the warmth, rain and wind that affect them and their local environments. © Arnold 1999 ...
... When a person, city or nation considers climate change, their primary interest is in changes in the warmth, rain and wind that affect them and their local environments. © Arnold 1999 ...
Evidence for parallel adaptation to climate across the natural range
... We used a large genetic data set from A. thaliana and a worldwide climate database to examine the relationship between genetic relatedness and occupied climate space. To compile data on a substantial number of ecotypes and to generate a genetic distance matrix, we took advantage of publically availa ...
... We used a large genetic data set from A. thaliana and a worldwide climate database to examine the relationship between genetic relatedness and occupied climate space. To compile data on a substantial number of ecotypes and to generate a genetic distance matrix, we took advantage of publically availa ...
- Energy
... change are highly uncertain. The Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, WGI, 2007) has pointed once again to myriad gaps in our understanding of the contingent and nonlinear interactions between global climate change, regional land changes, and human v ...
... change are highly uncertain. The Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, WGI, 2007) has pointed once again to myriad gaps in our understanding of the contingent and nonlinear interactions between global climate change, regional land changes, and human v ...
Preparing for worst case climate change scenarios
... short term and therefore enjoy some popularity in the context of “fast action”. The consequences are more uncertain but in most cases associated with potentially high risk, compared to the slower, but more certain effects of regular measures that are implemented with much higher intensity than curre ...
... short term and therefore enjoy some popularity in the context of “fast action”. The consequences are more uncertain but in most cases associated with potentially high risk, compared to the slower, but more certain effects of regular measures that are implemented with much higher intensity than curre ...
Is it Ethical to Use a Single Probability Density Function?
... sufficient to the pursuit of justice. Transcendental agreement is not sufficient because even if people could agree on a common vision of justice, human knowledge is too fallible and the uncertainties too deep to ever know what specific set of institutions and rules would steer today’s decidedly imp ...
... sufficient to the pursuit of justice. Transcendental agreement is not sufficient because even if people could agree on a common vision of justice, human knowledge is too fallible and the uncertainties too deep to ever know what specific set of institutions and rules would steer today’s decidedly imp ...
Tuvalu and Climate Change in the Sydney Morning
... Tuvalu’s nine islands, and the socio-economic systems of its people, are facing considerable climate change risks according to synthesis of climate change research conducted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The possibility of sea level rise occurring in Tuvalu, in particular, ...
... Tuvalu’s nine islands, and the socio-economic systems of its people, are facing considerable climate change risks according to synthesis of climate change research conducted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The possibility of sea level rise occurring in Tuvalu, in particular, ...
Presentation title
... community to respond to weather and climate risks? — What were the main risks (flooding, water use restrictions, overheating or subsidence) for your area following question 1? — What actions are available to deal with these risks? — Which actions do you think could work in your community / area? Con ...
... community to respond to weather and climate risks? — What were the main risks (flooding, water use restrictions, overheating or subsidence) for your area following question 1? — What actions are available to deal with these risks? — Which actions do you think could work in your community / area? Con ...
... What kinds of policies (policy “instruments”) are being proposed or enacted to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions? What are the important metrics, dimensions and criteria for comparing policies, and how do various policies stack up? Does this evaluation vary by country or jurisdiction; which policy i ...
Climate variability and vulnerability to climate change: a review
... changes in probability distributions, shown in Fig. 1 (IPCC, 2012). The top panel shows a shift of the entire distribution towards a warmer climate (a change in the mean), a situation in which more hot (and record hot) weather would be expected, along with less cold (and record cold) weather. The mi ...
... changes in probability distributions, shown in Fig. 1 (IPCC, 2012). The top panel shows a shift of the entire distribution towards a warmer climate (a change in the mean), a situation in which more hot (and record hot) weather would be expected, along with less cold (and record cold) weather. The mi ...
Discourse analysis of media coverage of climate change
... Though the issue of climate change became prominent in the 1980s, the previous article, printed in the New York Times on December 18, 1938, suggests the issue is not new at all. The same article notes scientists had observed increasing temperatures in the United States starting from the year 1929. R ...
... Though the issue of climate change became prominent in the 1980s, the previous article, printed in the New York Times on December 18, 1938, suggests the issue is not new at all. The same article notes scientists had observed increasing temperatures in the United States starting from the year 1929. R ...
Can terrestrial ectotherms escape the heat of climate change by
... optimal temperature exceeds environmental temperatures even in constant environments [25]. In current climates, temperate species may increase their fitness by moving according to our model [9]. This may be because we do not account for interannual temperature variability and for fitness declines wh ...
... optimal temperature exceeds environmental temperatures even in constant environments [25]. In current climates, temperate species may increase their fitness by moving according to our model [9]. This may be because we do not account for interannual temperature variability and for fitness declines wh ...
View/Open - University College Cork
... Scope and aim of this document Systematic, high-quality observations of the atmosphere, oceans and land are required to improve the understanding of climate characteristics and consequences of climate change. This report provides a comparative assessment of approaches taken to addressing the state ...
... Scope and aim of this document Systematic, high-quality observations of the atmosphere, oceans and land are required to improve the understanding of climate characteristics and consequences of climate change. This report provides a comparative assessment of approaches taken to addressing the state ...
The Perspectives of Climate Scientists on Global Climate Change
... must be done carefully due to the complexity of the issues, and the results must be carefully weighed. Science does not advance through “consensus,” but rather by scientists repeatedly testing current hypotheses and proposing new ones. In the case of global warming, much of the science is so new tha ...
... must be done carefully due to the complexity of the issues, and the results must be carefully weighed. Science does not advance through “consensus,” but rather by scientists repeatedly testing current hypotheses and proposing new ones. In the case of global warming, much of the science is so new tha ...
Adaptation and Vulnerability to Climate Change: The
... doubled in power (duration and strength combined) over the past 30 years7. This is correlated with the warming of the ocean, which is a consequence of global warming, but other explanations such as natural cycles have also been advanced8. Sea ice is disappearing quickly – in just ten years the Arcti ...
... doubled in power (duration and strength combined) over the past 30 years7. This is correlated with the warming of the ocean, which is a consequence of global warming, but other explanations such as natural cycles have also been advanced8. Sea ice is disappearing quickly – in just ten years the Arcti ...
Climate change impacts in Sub-Saharan Africa
... in consecutive dry days coincide with decreases in heavy precipitation days and maximum consecutive five-day precipitation, indicating an intensification of dry conditions. The percentile changes in total wet-day precipitation, as well as in very wet days, are much less pronounced in the low-emissio ...
... in consecutive dry days coincide with decreases in heavy precipitation days and maximum consecutive five-day precipitation, indicating an intensification of dry conditions. The percentile changes in total wet-day precipitation, as well as in very wet days, are much less pronounced in the low-emissio ...
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... reduce, keeping agricultural practices an genetic materials constant, Arabica coffee yields and quality in the main coffee producing countries. Ovalle-Rivera et al. (2015) estimated that the acreage with aptitude for growing Arabica coffee would be reduced for all producing countries by 2050, moving ...
... reduce, keeping agricultural practices an genetic materials constant, Arabica coffee yields and quality in the main coffee producing countries. Ovalle-Rivera et al. (2015) estimated that the acreage with aptitude for growing Arabica coffee would be reduced for all producing countries by 2050, moving ...
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species
... directions and to different extents. These individualistic range shifts are inconsistent with the most common technique for predicting species’ distribution responses to change—correlative species distribution models (SDMs). These models estimate a species’ niche by correlating localities to environ ...
... directions and to different extents. These individualistic range shifts are inconsistent with the most common technique for predicting species’ distribution responses to change—correlative species distribution models (SDMs). These models estimate a species’ niche by correlating localities to environ ...
Adaptation for Climate Change in the Coastal Sector of Saint Lucia
... warming of between 1 and 5oC or greater is expected, depending on the scenario used, and this warming far exceeds natural variability.18 It is also expected that the wet season will be dryer!. 19 Climate change will lead to changes in sea level, increasing it on average, and also could lead to alter ...
... warming of between 1 and 5oC or greater is expected, depending on the scenario used, and this warming far exceeds natural variability.18 It is also expected that the wet season will be dryer!. 19 Climate change will lead to changes in sea level, increasing it on average, and also could lead to alter ...
EXAMINING THE UNINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE
... released three working group reports on climate science – focused on physical sciences, impacts and adaptation, and mitigation. These documents make up the Fifth Assessment Report. Similarly, the White House recently rolled out its National Climate Assessment, which takes a closer look at climate ch ...
... released three working group reports on climate science – focused on physical sciences, impacts and adaptation, and mitigation. These documents make up the Fifth Assessment Report. Similarly, the White House recently rolled out its National Climate Assessment, which takes a closer look at climate ch ...
Land - Use/Land Cover Change as a
... Simulated impacts of historical land cover changes on global climate in northern winter. Climate Dynamics, 16, 93-105. http://blue.atmos.colostate.e du/publications/pdf/R214.pdf ...
... Simulated impacts of historical land cover changes on global climate in northern winter. Climate Dynamics, 16, 93-105. http://blue.atmos.colostate.e du/publications/pdf/R214.pdf ...
Weighing the costs and benefits of climate change to our children
... Are there reasons to put more value on future benefits? William Pizer, Ben Groom, and Simon Dietz discuss three possible reasons that we might put a higher value on future benefits. First, people disagree considerably about the correct discount rate. Other plausible interpretations of society’s pref ...
... Are there reasons to put more value on future benefits? William Pizer, Ben Groom, and Simon Dietz discuss three possible reasons that we might put a higher value on future benefits. First, people disagree considerably about the correct discount rate. Other plausible interpretations of society’s pref ...
Adaptation and mitigation: trade-offs in substance and methods Richard S.J. Tol *
... (as in Pearce et al., 1996) are useful input to, among others, global cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of greenhouse gas emission reduction. Global CBA (e.g., Manne et al., 1995; Nordhaus, 1991, 1993; Peck and Teisberg, 1992; Tol, 1999) addresses the question ‘‘If the world were ruled by a benevolent dic ...
... (as in Pearce et al., 1996) are useful input to, among others, global cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of greenhouse gas emission reduction. Global CBA (e.g., Manne et al., 1995; Nordhaus, 1991, 1993; Peck and Teisberg, 1992; Tol, 1999) addresses the question ‘‘If the world were ruled by a benevolent dic ...