A Story of Gaia - Online - Introduction Overview
... a wild, complex dynamic being, subject to sudden shifts between multiple semi-stable states. At this time in her long life, small disturbances can ramify through her vast body, growing larger and larger through positive feedback .... There are tipping points beyond which climate can suddenly transmu ...
... a wild, complex dynamic being, subject to sudden shifts between multiple semi-stable states. At this time in her long life, small disturbances can ramify through her vast body, growing larger and larger through positive feedback .... There are tipping points beyond which climate can suddenly transmu ...
weather and climate: engaging youth
... reduce oxygen solubility. Warming is also likely to create a more stratified ocean, decreasing the downward oxygen supply from the surface. Ocean acidification and nutrient run-off from streams and rivers can also contribute to deoxygenation. Fish and many other marine organisms depend on sufficient ...
... reduce oxygen solubility. Warming is also likely to create a more stratified ocean, decreasing the downward oxygen supply from the surface. Ocean acidification and nutrient run-off from streams and rivers can also contribute to deoxygenation. Fish and many other marine organisms depend on sufficient ...
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific Forecasts
... Our concern is with what we refer to as unaided expert judgments. In such cases, experts may have access to empirical studies and other information, but they use their knowledge to make predictions without the aid of well-established forecasting principles. Thus, they could simply use the informatio ...
... Our concern is with what we refer to as unaided expert judgments. In such cases, experts may have access to empirical studies and other information, but they use their knowledge to make predictions without the aid of well-established forecasting principles. Thus, they could simply use the informatio ...
The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer
... These brief historical accounts suggest key differences between the two issues. The first major distinction is that the scientific analysis of the two cases occurred on vastly different timescales. The research into the effect of CFCs and other manmade compounds on concentrations of ozone in the str ...
... These brief historical accounts suggest key differences between the two issues. The first major distinction is that the scientific analysis of the two cases occurred on vastly different timescales. The research into the effect of CFCs and other manmade compounds on concentrations of ozone in the str ...
Research paper: Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the
... Irwin, 1998; Lipkus, 2007). Because verbal probability descriptors are vague and elastic, they are consistent with wide ranges of numerical probabilities (e.g., Wallsten, Budescu, Rapoport, & Forsyth, 1986) and can accommodate disagreements between various sources and experts. However, verbal terms’ ...
... Irwin, 1998; Lipkus, 2007). Because verbal probability descriptors are vague and elastic, they are consistent with wide ranges of numerical probabilities (e.g., Wallsten, Budescu, Rapoport, & Forsyth, 1986) and can accommodate disagreements between various sources and experts. However, verbal terms’ ...
The Promises and Perils of Geoengineering Simon Nicholson
... Over the last handful of years, a set of radical ideas that have long been confined to the fringes of climate change discussions have begun to edge toward center stage. The ideas are known collectively as geoengineering proposals—sweeping technological schemes designed to counteract the effects of p ...
... Over the last handful of years, a set of radical ideas that have long been confined to the fringes of climate change discussions have begun to edge toward center stage. The ideas are known collectively as geoengineering proposals—sweeping technological schemes designed to counteract the effects of p ...
Vulnerability to climate change in the Arctic: A case study from Arctic
... people identify as being important are those which affect their safety while harvesting or their ability to harvest (Fox, 2002, 2004; DSD, 2003). Assessing the vulnerability of Arctic communities to climate change requires documentation of climate-related conditions that are relevant to people, how ...
... people identify as being important are those which affect their safety while harvesting or their ability to harvest (Fox, 2002, 2004; DSD, 2003). Assessing the vulnerability of Arctic communities to climate change requires documentation of climate-related conditions that are relevant to people, how ...
International Legal Protection for Climate Refugees: Where Lies the
... officials; however, this meeting was no ordinary one.46 It took place thirteen feet underwater with the president and his cabinet wearing scuba gear.47 Nasheed became an activist for climate change reform not only for the Maldives, but also for all Small Island States (SIDS). In 2007, the IPCC concl ...
... officials; however, this meeting was no ordinary one.46 It took place thirteen feet underwater with the president and his cabinet wearing scuba gear.47 Nasheed became an activist for climate change reform not only for the Maldives, but also for all Small Island States (SIDS). In 2007, the IPCC concl ...
adaptive capacity and human cognition
... topic of mitigation. Within the climate change literature, “mitigation” refers to limiting global climate change through reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs); since GHG emissions account for more than 80% of rising GHG concentrations in the atmosphere, scientists and policy-makers focus ...
... topic of mitigation. Within the climate change literature, “mitigation” refers to limiting global climate change through reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs); since GHG emissions account for more than 80% of rising GHG concentrations in the atmosphere, scientists and policy-makers focus ...
NAPAs and NAPs in Least Developed Countries
... The following year, COP 17 in Durban defined the objectives of the NAP process, to: (a) “reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, by building adaptive capacity and resilience,” and (b) ” facilitate integration of climate change adaptation, in a coherent manner, into relevant new and ...
... The following year, COP 17 in Durban defined the objectives of the NAP process, to: (a) “reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, by building adaptive capacity and resilience,” and (b) ” facilitate integration of climate change adaptation, in a coherent manner, into relevant new and ...
Anthony Patt ETH Zürich (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
... Patt, Anthony, Detlef van Vuuren, Frans Berkhout, Asbjørn Aaheim, Andries Hof, Morna Isaac, and Reinhard Mechler (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: where do we stand? Climatic Change 99: 383 – 402. Patt, Anthony, Mark Tadross, Patrick Nussbaumer, Kwabena Asante, Marc Metzger, José ...
... Patt, Anthony, Detlef van Vuuren, Frans Berkhout, Asbjørn Aaheim, Andries Hof, Morna Isaac, and Reinhard Mechler (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: where do we stand? Climatic Change 99: 383 – 402. Patt, Anthony, Mark Tadross, Patrick Nussbaumer, Kwabena Asante, Marc Metzger, José ...
Permafrost-and-Climate
... There are limited case studies included. Students can develop their own portfolio of case studies as part of coursework activities These resources may be used for educational purposes only, for other uses please contact the author ...
... There are limited case studies included. Students can develop their own portfolio of case studies as part of coursework activities These resources may be used for educational purposes only, for other uses please contact the author ...
Climate change and Health Across Africa: Issues
... tropical climate across Africa. In future, however, the nature and spread of malaria across the continent may well be affected by the changes in temperature and precipitation expected within the continent. In general, climate change will act to increase or decrease the prevalence of disease, in ...
... tropical climate across Africa. In future, however, the nature and spread of malaria across the continent may well be affected by the changes in temperature and precipitation expected within the continent. In general, climate change will act to increase or decrease the prevalence of disease, in ...
The US Economic Impacts of Climate Change and the Costs of
... As science continues to bring clarity to present and future global climate change, policymakers are beginning to respond in earnest and proposing policies that aim to curb greenhouse gas emissions and help society adapt to the impending impacts triggered by past emissions. Although these policies ar ...
... As science continues to bring clarity to present and future global climate change, policymakers are beginning to respond in earnest and proposing policies that aim to curb greenhouse gas emissions and help society adapt to the impending impacts triggered by past emissions. Although these policies ar ...
teaching manual - Live and Learn
... livelihoods, assets and services, which could occur in a particular community or a society over some specified future time period. ...
... livelihoods, assets and services, which could occur in a particular community or a society over some specified future time period. ...
Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Distribution and Carbon
... and Drapek 1998). The resulting vegetation maps have then been used by biogeochemistrymodels to determine the carbonbudget estimates. The equilibriummodels require only long-term average climate and use biogeographicrules based on that climate to determine the vegetation type and its density. So the ...
... and Drapek 1998). The resulting vegetation maps have then been used by biogeochemistrymodels to determine the carbonbudget estimates. The equilibriummodels require only long-term average climate and use biogeographicrules based on that climate to determine the vegetation type and its density. So the ...
climate futures responses to climate change in 2030 October 2008
... different ways. Which is the most likely future? We don’t know, but we think that all are possible, and reality is likely to reflect aspects of all of them. They are based on a review of the current science and from consultation with a wide range of experts on climate change and its impacts. The sce ...
... different ways. Which is the most likely future? We don’t know, but we think that all are possible, and reality is likely to reflect aspects of all of them. They are based on a review of the current science and from consultation with a wide range of experts on climate change and its impacts. The sce ...
Adaptation Planning – What Other States are Doing
... State Level Adaptation Planning At present, most states have focused on mitigation plans to reduce GHG emissions, and have not yet begun to consider adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts from climate change. For many states, the impacts do not yet seem as imminent or as threatening as they ar ...
... State Level Adaptation Planning At present, most states have focused on mitigation plans to reduce GHG emissions, and have not yet begun to consider adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts from climate change. For many states, the impacts do not yet seem as imminent or as threatening as they ar ...
responses to climate change in 2030
... different ways. Which is the most likely future? We don’t know, but we think that all are possible, and reality is likely to reflect aspects of all of them. They are based on a review of the current science and from consultation with a wide range of experts on climate change and its impacts. The sce ...
... different ways. Which is the most likely future? We don’t know, but we think that all are possible, and reality is likely to reflect aspects of all of them. They are based on a review of the current science and from consultation with a wide range of experts on climate change and its impacts. The sce ...
PDF Format - Department of Environmental Sciences
... Description of Research and Scholarly or Creative Objectives My primary research interest is climate dynamics. I use numerical models of the climate system to study changes in climate, both past and future, with a goal of better understanding the mechanisms responsible for such changes. ...
... Description of Research and Scholarly or Creative Objectives My primary research interest is climate dynamics. I use numerical models of the climate system to study changes in climate, both past and future, with a goal of better understanding the mechanisms responsible for such changes. ...
aberdeen beach case study
... In recent years Aberdeen beach has seen developments which have significantly altered the beach and will continue to affect it for the foreseeable future. This section will examine the background to these events as well as providing some contextual information on the beach and its importance to the ...
... In recent years Aberdeen beach has seen developments which have significantly altered the beach and will continue to affect it for the foreseeable future. This section will examine the background to these events as well as providing some contextual information on the beach and its importance to the ...
Top-down vs bottom-up - working paper version
... informing the Integrity System of the Global Climate Regime (Brisbane, November 2014). Many of the ideas outlined here were formed while tutoring a course on international climate policy and economics at the Australian National University between 2011 and 2014. I am grateful to my students and the c ...
... informing the Integrity System of the Global Climate Regime (Brisbane, November 2014). Many of the ideas outlined here were formed while tutoring a course on international climate policy and economics at the Australian National University between 2011 and 2014. I am grateful to my students and the c ...
A Greener Dragon? - Department of Defence
... Chinese Communist Party, resulted in China adapting its approach to climate change. China’s approach has evolved from ‘hard line’ during the 1997 Kyoto Protocol negotiations to one where climate change adaptation and mitigation measures are considered as an economic opportunity for a green economy. ...
... Chinese Communist Party, resulted in China adapting its approach to climate change. China’s approach has evolved from ‘hard line’ during the 1997 Kyoto Protocol negotiations to one where climate change adaptation and mitigation measures are considered as an economic opportunity for a green economy. ...
Dissipating the fuzziness around interdisciplinarity: The
... representation of knowledge and its disciplinary divisions. Such questioning was developed by GIS CES climate scientists who studied the impact of climate change on grape harvesting dates: "Not taking into account historical elements in our climate models was leading to biased results. Indeed, drawi ...
... representation of knowledge and its disciplinary divisions. Such questioning was developed by GIS CES climate scientists who studied the impact of climate change on grape harvesting dates: "Not taking into account historical elements in our climate models was leading to biased results. Indeed, drawi ...