The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare
... producers and consumers are calculated in this analysis based on these differences in surpluses. Three indicators are considered: change in consumer surplus, change in producer surplus, and change in total agricultural welfare (the last indicator being the sum of the first two) (Fig. 1C). The econom ...
... producers and consumers are calculated in this analysis based on these differences in surpluses. Three indicators are considered: change in consumer surplus, change in producer surplus, and change in total agricultural welfare (the last indicator being the sum of the first two) (Fig. 1C). The econom ...
Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature
... assumptions about the nature of the ocean heat uptake and sensitivity of climate feedbacks, but more commonly are capable of translating global emission changes into concentrations and therefore global temperatures. These relationships form the basis of simple climate models (SCMs) and even some Ear ...
... assumptions about the nature of the ocean heat uptake and sensitivity of climate feedbacks, but more commonly are capable of translating global emission changes into concentrations and therefore global temperatures. These relationships form the basis of simple climate models (SCMs) and even some Ear ...
(Un)Natural Disasters: Communicating Linkages Between Extreme
... quantify the contribution of a risk factor to the occurrence of a disease – for example, how much smoking increases the risk of lung cancer. Similarly, evaluating how much climate change alters the probabilities of certain classes of extreme weather events is central to the science of extreme event ...
... quantify the contribution of a risk factor to the occurrence of a disease – for example, how much smoking increases the risk of lung cancer. Similarly, evaluating how much climate change alters the probabilities of certain classes of extreme weather events is central to the science of extreme event ...
climate-change scepticism and asserted rights to private property
... outlines a cultural view of climate change. It is followed by a discussion about how those competing beliefs can be assembled under a rights framework 1 to help uncover common moral grounds. Research methods, by which supporting data were collected and analysed, are then introduced. The paper draws ...
... outlines a cultural view of climate change. It is followed by a discussion about how those competing beliefs can be assembled under a rights framework 1 to help uncover common moral grounds. Research methods, by which supporting data were collected and analysed, are then introduced. The paper draws ...
published
... Land-use history has often been cited as a major contributor to the current wildfire dilemma including increased development of the WUI and the exclusion of fire, particularly in the areas where fire puts populations at risk (Moritz et al., 2014). However, research on climate change and wildfire risk al ...
... Land-use history has often been cited as a major contributor to the current wildfire dilemma including increased development of the WUI and the exclusion of fire, particularly in the areas where fire puts populations at risk (Moritz et al., 2014). However, research on climate change and wildfire risk al ...
the nansen conference
... A group of international experts were consulted while developing the conference programme, in order to ensure selection of the most relevant topics for discussion. The advisory board consisted of the following organisations and individuals: • Mr. Jose Riera, representative of the United Nations High ...
... A group of international experts were consulted while developing the conference programme, in order to ensure selection of the most relevant topics for discussion. The advisory board consisted of the following organisations and individuals: • Mr. Jose Riera, representative of the United Nations High ...
8 Research and systematic observation
... Finland has actively participated in the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Finnish experts contributed to the Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN) and the Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to ...
... Finland has actively participated in the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Finnish experts contributed to the Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN) and the Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to ...
- ResearchOnline@JCU
... 4. In Australia there are current collaborative climate change projects between researchers and indigenous communities, most notably on sea level rise in the Torres Straits (Green 2006a; 2006b; Green et al 2009a) and fire abatement in Western Arnhem Land (Barnsley and NAILSMA 2009). Review of the cu ...
... 4. In Australia there are current collaborative climate change projects between researchers and indigenous communities, most notably on sea level rise in the Torres Straits (Green 2006a; 2006b; Green et al 2009a) and fire abatement in Western Arnhem Land (Barnsley and NAILSMA 2009). Review of the cu ...
8 Research and systematic observation
... Finland has actively participated in the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Finnish experts contributed to the Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN) and the Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to ...
... Finland has actively participated in the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Finnish experts contributed to the Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN) and the Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to ...
Climate change policies and the WTO: Greening the GATT
... Reversing a decision under US-Tuna (Mexico) in US-Shrimp, the Appellate Body (AB), the highest judicial organ of the WTO, held that unilateral policies are not illegal simply because they are unilateral. If they meet the relevant statutory criteria, then unilateral policies, including climate change ...
... Reversing a decision under US-Tuna (Mexico) in US-Shrimp, the Appellate Body (AB), the highest judicial organ of the WTO, held that unilateral policies are not illegal simply because they are unilateral. If they meet the relevant statutory criteria, then unilateral policies, including climate change ...
Climate Change and Small Island Developing States
... A Critical Review Ilan Kelman1, Jennifer J. West2 This paper reviews published work and projects on climate change and Small Island Developing States (SIDS), covering impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation. As a critical review, this paper does not seek to be comprehensive, but it extracts key ideas ...
... A Critical Review Ilan Kelman1, Jennifer J. West2 This paper reviews published work and projects on climate change and Small Island Developing States (SIDS), covering impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation. As a critical review, this paper does not seek to be comprehensive, but it extracts key ideas ...
The Economics of Climate Change Impacts: A Case Study on
... below those required under the Kyoto Protocol, would be required to avoid many adverse impacts of climate change. For example, the lowest stabilization level analyzed, a carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) concentration level of 350 to 400 parts per million (ppm), would result in global temperatures ...
... below those required under the Kyoto Protocol, would be required to avoid many adverse impacts of climate change. For example, the lowest stabilization level analyzed, a carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) concentration level of 350 to 400 parts per million (ppm), would result in global temperatures ...
The economic impact of climate change
... efficiency has little practical value. Climate change is also a long-term problem. Some greenhouse gases have an atmospheric life-time of tens of thousands of years, and a small part of carbon dioxide will stay in the atmosphere practically forever. Greenhouse gas emissions are in this sense compara ...
... efficiency has little practical value. Climate change is also a long-term problem. Some greenhouse gases have an atmospheric life-time of tens of thousands of years, and a small part of carbon dioxide will stay in the atmosphere practically forever. Greenhouse gas emissions are in this sense compara ...
Case Study - Sorsogon City
... set of tools for mitigation and adaptation. This case study follows a report under the Cities and Climate Change Initiative, where four pilot cities were selected in 2009, one of which Sorsogon City, with the task to assess their vulnerability to climate change. The Philippine assessment was carried ...
... set of tools for mitigation and adaptation. This case study follows a report under the Cities and Climate Change Initiative, where four pilot cities were selected in 2009, one of which Sorsogon City, with the task to assess their vulnerability to climate change. The Philippine assessment was carried ...
Science Communication - Hubert H. Humphrey Fellowship Program
... between 1993 and 2003 disagreed with conclusion of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that human activities have increased the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The year after the Boykoff and Boykoff study (2004) was published, the journalism trade publication Nieman Re ...
... between 1993 and 2003 disagreed with conclusion of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that human activities have increased the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The year after the Boykoff and Boykoff study (2004) was published, the journalism trade publication Nieman Re ...
The influence of climate change on flood risks in France
... and propose a simple methodology to project possible evolution of river flood damages over mainland France. The aim and the methodology used are similar to the recent studies of te Linde et al. (2011) for the Rhine river and Feyen et al. (2012) over Europe. Our main objectives are to assess the like ...
... and propose a simple methodology to project possible evolution of river flood damages over mainland France. The aim and the methodology used are similar to the recent studies of te Linde et al. (2011) for the Rhine river and Feyen et al. (2012) over Europe. Our main objectives are to assess the like ...
Mathematics of Climate Change - Library
... What actions is Washington taking to reduce global warming? At present, the U.S. government is trailing both public opinion in the U.S. and many other world governments in addressing the climate-change problem. Nevertheless, there are some grounds for optimism. At the United Nations Climate Change C ...
... What actions is Washington taking to reduce global warming? At present, the U.S. government is trailing both public opinion in the U.S. and many other world governments in addressing the climate-change problem. Nevertheless, there are some grounds for optimism. At the United Nations Climate Change C ...
Centre of Excellence Programme 2014-2019
... processes (Su et al. 2011, Kulmala and Petäjä, 2011, Bäck et al 2010). New openings of the ATM. Although our previous work was related to the COBACC hypothesis, it concentrated on the boreal forest environment and covered only some parts of the main feedback loops (Fig. 1). In the ATM, we will expan ...
... processes (Su et al. 2011, Kulmala and Petäjä, 2011, Bäck et al 2010). New openings of the ATM. Although our previous work was related to the COBACC hypothesis, it concentrated on the boreal forest environment and covered only some parts of the main feedback loops (Fig. 1). In the ATM, we will expan ...
GCOS Switzerland
... of satellite data within GCOS Switzerland, the 10-yr MODIS monthly mean cloud fraction climatology over Switzerland from March 2000 to February 2010 is presented, which illustrates the differences in cloud cover between mountainous regions and flatland regions in winter, as well as the north-south g ...
... of satellite data within GCOS Switzerland, the 10-yr MODIS monthly mean cloud fraction climatology over Switzerland from March 2000 to February 2010 is presented, which illustrates the differences in cloud cover between mountainous regions and flatland regions in winter, as well as the north-south g ...
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific Forecasts
... predictions without the aid of well-established forecasting principles. Thus, they could simply use the information to come up with judgmental forecasts. Alternatively, they could translate their beliefs into mathematical statements (or models) and use those to make forecasts. Although they may seem ...
... predictions without the aid of well-established forecasting principles. Thus, they could simply use the information to come up with judgmental forecasts. Alternatively, they could translate their beliefs into mathematical statements (or models) and use those to make forecasts. Although they may seem ...
Communicating climate change: conduits, content
... of the Parties 21) may see a significant increase in media attention. Since 2010, country specific and comparative studies of media coverage have flourished,29 with one international study showing that political advocates for climate policy have been far more visible in media articles than skeptical vo ...
... of the Parties 21) may see a significant increase in media attention. Since 2010, country specific and comparative studies of media coverage have flourished,29 with one international study showing that political advocates for climate policy have been far more visible in media articles than skeptical vo ...
Potentials for Adaptation to Climate Change in Human
... effect of altering regional hydrology, creating large vulnerabilities. Still other cases of the disregarding of environmental risk to cities involved sets of beliefs such as the weather was changing permanently for the good, technology could solve problems, or new resources could be discovered. The ...
... effect of altering regional hydrology, creating large vulnerabilities. Still other cases of the disregarding of environmental risk to cities involved sets of beliefs such as the weather was changing permanently for the good, technology could solve problems, or new resources could be discovered. The ...
Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past
... between the mid-latitudes (∼40◦ S) and Antarctica (∼65◦ S; ref 1). The positive phase of the SAM is associated with low pressure anomalies over Antarctica and high pressure anomalies over the mid-latitudes, and this enhanced atmospheric pressure gradient results in strengthening and poleward contrac ...
... between the mid-latitudes (∼40◦ S) and Antarctica (∼65◦ S; ref 1). The positive phase of the SAM is associated with low pressure anomalies over Antarctica and high pressure anomalies over the mid-latitudes, and this enhanced atmospheric pressure gradient results in strengthening and poleward contrac ...
Evidence for a Rapid Global Climate Shift across the Late 1960s
... smaller but locally quite strong, magnitude may be identified in the past century, with present-day consequences. Specifically a substantial, coordinated, worldwide change occurred in a number of major climate variables over a period of about 10 yr, centered on the late 1960s. A range of examples ar ...
... smaller but locally quite strong, magnitude may be identified in the past century, with present-day consequences. Specifically a substantial, coordinated, worldwide change occurred in a number of major climate variables over a period of about 10 yr, centered on the late 1960s. A range of examples ar ...
Climate change, development, and migration: an African Diaspora
... This paper focuses on the role of the African Diaspora in assisting their country of origin in its fight against the adverse impacts of climate change. In order to combat climate change poor countries need to mobilize all resources (financial, institutional and human) on different fronts. Diaspora c ...
... This paper focuses on the role of the African Diaspora in assisting their country of origin in its fight against the adverse impacts of climate change. In order to combat climate change poor countries need to mobilize all resources (financial, institutional and human) on different fronts. Diaspora c ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.