HEAVY RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURE PROYECTIONS IN A
... Serrano, S., J. C. Ruiz and F. Bersosa. 2017. Heavy rainfall and temperature proyections in a climate change scenario over Quito, Ecuador. La Granja: Revista de Ciencias de la Vida. ...
... Serrano, S., J. C. Ruiz and F. Bersosa. 2017. Heavy rainfall and temperature proyections in a climate change scenario over Quito, Ecuador. La Granja: Revista de Ciencias de la Vida. ...
Interhemispheric Temperature Asymmetry over the
... projections from a subset of phases 3 and 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3 and CMIP5). Our main purpose in this study is to explore the interhemispheric temperature asymmetry (ITA) as an indicator of climate change. We continue from previous studies and report on the behavior of ...
... projections from a subset of phases 3 and 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3 and CMIP5). Our main purpose in this study is to explore the interhemispheric temperature asymmetry (ITA) as an indicator of climate change. We continue from previous studies and report on the behavior of ...
Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate
... (see ref. 11 and references therein). The IPCC AR4 concludes1 that ECS is likely (greater than 66% probability12 ) in the range from 2 to 4.5 ◦ C, with a most likely value (mode) of about 3 ◦ C. Furthermore, ECS is very likely (greater than 90% probability12 ) larger than 1.5 ◦ C, and values substan ...
... (see ref. 11 and references therein). The IPCC AR4 concludes1 that ECS is likely (greater than 66% probability12 ) in the range from 2 to 4.5 ◦ C, with a most likely value (mode) of about 3 ◦ C. Furthermore, ECS is very likely (greater than 90% probability12 ) larger than 1.5 ◦ C, and values substan ...
Comment by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
... The IWG2010 report noted that, concerning the low end of the ECS distribution, its determination reflected a greater degree of certainty that a low ECS value could be excluded than did the IPCC. From the IWG2010 (p. 14): “Finally, we note the IPCC judgment that the equilibrium climate sensitivity “i ...
... The IWG2010 report noted that, concerning the low end of the ECS distribution, its determination reflected a greater degree of certainty that a low ECS value could be excluded than did the IPCC. From the IWG2010 (p. 14): “Finally, we note the IPCC judgment that the equilibrium climate sensitivity “i ...
What shapes perceptions of climate change?
... groups put their trust into different organizations, from national Meteorological Services to independent farm organizations.37,38 Even though the IPCC was founded as an ostensibly nonpartisan scientific body by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organizatio ...
... groups put their trust into different organizations, from national Meteorological Services to independent farm organizations.37,38 Even though the IPCC was founded as an ostensibly nonpartisan scientific body by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organizatio ...
full text ( 360kb) - USF College of Marine Science
... Evidence is emerging that the tropical climate system played a major role in global climate change during the last deglaciation. However, existing studies show that deglacial warming was asynchronous across the tropical band, complicating the identification of causal mechanisms. The Orca Basin in th ...
... Evidence is emerging that the tropical climate system played a major role in global climate change during the last deglaciation. However, existing studies show that deglacial warming was asynchronous across the tropical band, complicating the identification of causal mechanisms. The Orca Basin in th ...
View/Open
... considerations (Mendelsohn et al., 1994; Lang, 2001), while less attention is given to the statistical properties of the data. Indeed, though economic theory relies heavily on long-run assumptions and suggests identifying economically well-founded restrictions on the long-run structure, much less is ...
... considerations (Mendelsohn et al., 1994; Lang, 2001), while less attention is given to the statistical properties of the data. Indeed, though economic theory relies heavily on long-run assumptions and suggests identifying economically well-founded restrictions on the long-run structure, much less is ...
Impacts of climate change on a grassland catchment
... management plans are implemented for all river basin districts (RBD) and that these plans are reviewed on an on-going six-yearly basis. Implementation of these measures is, however, taking place during a period of unprecedented change in global climate, driven in part by human-induced changes in atm ...
... management plans are implemented for all river basin districts (RBD) and that these plans are reviewed on an on-going six-yearly basis. Implementation of these measures is, however, taking place during a period of unprecedented change in global climate, driven in part by human-induced changes in atm ...
Phase relationships between Antarctic and Greenland
... Environment Institute and Department of Geosciences,The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802-7501, U.S.A. ...
... Environment Institute and Department of Geosciences,The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802-7501, U.S.A. ...
Going beyond aid effectiveness to guide the delivery of climate finance
... between aid and climate finance (Table 1). These differences may dictate that performance assessments may need to be structured in different ways. A first consideration is the longstanding consensus that aid flows should be voluntary transfers, politically determined by donor governments (Riddell, 1 ...
... between aid and climate finance (Table 1). These differences may dictate that performance assessments may need to be structured in different ways. A first consideration is the longstanding consensus that aid flows should be voluntary transfers, politically determined by donor governments (Riddell, 1 ...
Climate change impacts on water quality outcomes
... 3.1 SedNetNZ model description SedNet is a spatially distributed, time-averaged (decadal to century) model that routes sediment through the river network, based on a relatively simple physical representation of hillslope and channel processes at the reach scale, accounting for losses in water bodies ...
... 3.1 SedNetNZ model description SedNet is a spatially distributed, time-averaged (decadal to century) model that routes sediment through the river network, based on a relatively simple physical representation of hillslope and channel processes at the reach scale, accounting for losses in water bodies ...
Visual Salience in Climate Change Imagery is in the Eye of the
... Visual Salience in Climate Change Imagery is in the Eye of the Beholder Complex phenomena like climate change are often communicated visually. In this paper, we investigated the effectiveness of common visuals used to convey key messages about climate change. We also present a new methodology for a ...
... Visual Salience in Climate Change Imagery is in the Eye of the Beholder Complex phenomena like climate change are often communicated visually. In this paper, we investigated the effectiveness of common visuals used to convey key messages about climate change. We also present a new methodology for a ...
Weather and climate: changing human exposures
... climate by reflecting solar radiation. In addition to adding greenhouse gases and aerosols to the atmosphere, other anthropogenic activities affect climate on local and regional scales. Changes in land use and vegetation can affect climate over a range of spatial scales. Vegetation affects a variety ...
... climate by reflecting solar radiation. In addition to adding greenhouse gases and aerosols to the atmosphere, other anthropogenic activities affect climate on local and regional scales. Changes in land use and vegetation can affect climate over a range of spatial scales. Vegetation affects a variety ...
climate change risks
... whole. World ocean temperatures have increased, increasing the volume of ocean water and contributing to sea-level rise. Sea-surface temperatures around Australia have increased faster than the global average. Sea-surface temperatures have increased by about 0.8oC since 1910. Fossil fuel greenhouse ...
... whole. World ocean temperatures have increased, increasing the volume of ocean water and contributing to sea-level rise. Sea-surface temperatures around Australia have increased faster than the global average. Sea-surface temperatures have increased by about 0.8oC since 1910. Fossil fuel greenhouse ...
NOAA 31st Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Boulder, Colorado October 25 2006
... What attribution questions are of high relevance to decision makers, e.g., in water resources planning, agriculture, energy, and policy making for sustainable development? ...
... What attribution questions are of high relevance to decision makers, e.g., in water resources planning, agriculture, energy, and policy making for sustainable development? ...
Climate sensitivity of shrub growth across the tundra biome
... We quantified the climate sensitivity of shrub growth—that is, the strength of relationship between annual growth and climate variables (including temperature and precipitation, specific calculations described below)—to test four hypotheses: 1) The greatest climate sensitivity of growth should occur ...
... We quantified the climate sensitivity of shrub growth—that is, the strength of relationship between annual growth and climate variables (including temperature and precipitation, specific calculations described below)—to test four hypotheses: 1) The greatest climate sensitivity of growth should occur ...
Thermodynamics of climate change
... production rates which differ by a factor of about 4. In this paper we revise and revive the classic problem of analyzing the climate sensitivity to CO2 concentration changes by adding on top of the usual, IPCC-like (IPCC, 2007) analysis of globally averaged surface temperature changes the investiga ...
... production rates which differ by a factor of about 4. In this paper we revise and revive the classic problem of analyzing the climate sensitivity to CO2 concentration changes by adding on top of the usual, IPCC-like (IPCC, 2007) analysis of globally averaged surface temperature changes the investiga ...
A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate
... regionally. For example, in arid regions where water availability constrains species distributions, a locally moist site may act as a refugium. In contrast, at high latitudes, landscape positions that buffer against extreme minimum temperatures may act as refugia. Both sites provide refugial habitat ...
... regionally. For example, in arid regions where water availability constrains species distributions, a locally moist site may act as a refugium. In contrast, at high latitudes, landscape positions that buffer against extreme minimum temperatures may act as refugia. Both sites provide refugial habitat ...
01 Trevor Ballance.indd
... these limits. Clive Hamilton, a former executive director of an Australian think tank and current professor at the Center for Applied Philosophy and Public Ethics at the Australian National University, argues that it is now too late to prevent serious climate disruption. His argument is based on the ...
... these limits. Clive Hamilton, a former executive director of an Australian think tank and current professor at the Center for Applied Philosophy and Public Ethics at the Australian National University, argues that it is now too late to prevent serious climate disruption. His argument is based on the ...
document
... 2.4 Thailand’s Climate change scenarios Three GCMs were chosen to construct precipitation and temperature scenarios over Thailand (TEI, 1999). The three GCMs used in the study were UK 89, UKMO and GISS as shown in Figure 6-9. Every model shows the increase in average temperature from 21.527.5oC to ...
... 2.4 Thailand’s Climate change scenarios Three GCMs were chosen to construct precipitation and temperature scenarios over Thailand (TEI, 1999). The three GCMs used in the study were UK 89, UKMO and GISS as shown in Figure 6-9. Every model shows the increase in average temperature from 21.527.5oC to ...
Climate Change as a Risk Multiplier in a World of
... processes are characteristical for the climate system and are difficult to predict from knowledge of the individual factors and equations. Compared with previous abrupt climatic changes, such as the transition between the ice ages, the climatic conditions in recent periods of human history were r ...
... processes are characteristical for the climate system and are difficult to predict from knowledge of the individual factors and equations. Compared with previous abrupt climatic changes, such as the transition between the ice ages, the climatic conditions in recent periods of human history were r ...
Regional assessment of climate change impacts on maize
... the frequency distribution of yield responds to changes in the climatic settings (Kaylen and Korom 1991; Park and Sinclair 1993). There are several ways to infer a distribution of yield from climatic data. A first possibility is to use process-based models of crop growth along with a set of daily we ...
... the frequency distribution of yield responds to changes in the climatic settings (Kaylen and Korom 1991; Park and Sinclair 1993). There are several ways to infer a distribution of yield from climatic data. A first possibility is to use process-based models of crop growth along with a set of daily we ...
Climate and Weather Discourse in Anthropology: From Determinism
... First of all, interest in “folk” climate models inevitably created a contrast between traditional and scientific knowledge, leading many to ask how certain kinds of knowledge (i.e., Western scientific discourses) become privileged. An interest in culturally specific knowledge and ethnoscience led na ...
... First of all, interest in “folk” climate models inevitably created a contrast between traditional and scientific knowledge, leading many to ask how certain kinds of knowledge (i.e., Western scientific discourses) become privileged. An interest in culturally specific knowledge and ethnoscience led na ...
6. Atolls in the ocean— canaries in the mine?
... Abstract: This article has two complementary aspects, empirical and theoretical. Empirically, it examines the reportage of the two most prolific Australian journalists on the threat posed by climate change to low-lying Pacific island states, reporting over the two-year period leading up to and follo ...
... Abstract: This article has two complementary aspects, empirical and theoretical. Empirically, it examines the reportage of the two most prolific Australian journalists on the threat posed by climate change to low-lying Pacific island states, reporting over the two-year period leading up to and follo ...
IS CLIMATE CHANGE HINDERING ECONOMIC GROWTH OF ASIAN ECONOMIES? *
... climate change. Notably, extreme weather is expected to boost investment as well. According to Lecocq and Shalizi (2007), GDP will be affected indirectly by variations in demand structure even though there is no direct effect of climate change on it. Climate change can result in resource scarcity, w ...
... climate change. Notably, extreme weather is expected to boost investment as well. According to Lecocq and Shalizi (2007), GDP will be affected indirectly by variations in demand structure even though there is no direct effect of climate change on it. Climate change can result in resource scarcity, w ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.