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The Demographic Implications of Climate Change for Aotearoa New
The Demographic Implications of Climate Change for Aotearoa New

... The international literature reveals little about changes in fertility as a result of climate change. While global fertility clearly has large implications for future population growth and therefore flow-on effects on carbon emissions and climate change, there is to date no evidence of effects of cl ...
The Effects of Climate Change on Public Health and the Healthcare
The Effects of Climate Change on Public Health and the Healthcare

... natural causes of climate change include shifts in the Earth’s orbit, the sun’s intensity, the circulation of the atmosphere and oceans, and volcanic activity. (EPA, 2011) Greenhouse gases are necessary for life to exist on Earth because they trap heat in the atmosphere, which warms our planet and i ...
Heat stress and the fitness consequences of climate change for
Heat stress and the fitness consequences of climate change for

... obtained from high-resolution (05°) spatially interpolated global monthly surface air temperatures from the University of Delaware Center for Climatic Research (http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/ gridded/data.UDel_AirT_Precip.html). For future climate conditions for the late 21st century (2071–2100 ...
U.S. Global Change Research Program  ·  1717 Pennsylvania... Washington, D.C. 20006 USA  ·  1-202-223-6262 (voice) ·...
U.S. Global Change Research Program · 1717 Pennsylvania... Washington, D.C. 20006 USA · 1-202-223-6262 (voice) ·...

... Figure 1. It is very likely that the Earth will experience a faster sustained rate of climate change in the 21st century than has occured in the previous 10,000 years. High-resolution proxy data, surface temperature records, and climate models have been used to establish the structure and magnitude ...
Atlantic Region Adaptation Science Activities Report
Atlantic Region Adaptation Science Activities Report

... In the Atlantic region, unlike other parts of Canada, the predicted effects of climate change, such as sea-level rise and the increased occurrence and intensity of extreme weather events, are compounded in many coastal areas by post-glacial crustal subsidence. This will increase coastal erosion and ...
The 1430s: a cold period of extraordinary internal climate variability
The 1430s: a cold period of extraordinary internal climate variability

... clusion can be drawn from the reconstructions; i.e. the deviation in average winter temperature was not unusual during the SPM. While the centennial-scale climate variability informs mainly about the influence of the prolonged total solar irradiance (TSI) minimum during the SPM, interannual to decad ...
Climate Change and Paleoecology: New Contexts for Restoration
Climate Change and Paleoecology: New Contexts for Restoration

... Of particular interest is the warming of the twentieth century. During the preceding fourcentury-long Little Ice Age, temperatures in western North America were on average 1°C colder than present; glaciers in many western North American mountain ranges were at their greatest extent since the end of ...
Climate change: a framework for a global agreement in 2015
Climate change: a framework for a global agreement in 2015

... now and 2015. We shall first look at why action on climate change is necessary, then see how it could be achieved and finally propose the key elements of the desired outcome. 2. Global risks for human well-being ...
european union climate funding for developing countries
european union climate funding for developing countries

... in climate change mitigation and adaptation projects in Europe and around the world. EIB funding acts as a catalyst to mobilise finance for climate action by encouraging others to match its long-term investment. The EIB contributes to the EU’s climate and energy objectives by supporting renewable en ...
european union climate funding for developing countries
european union climate funding for developing countries

... in climate change mitigation and adaptation projects in Europe and around the world. EIB funding acts as a catalyst to mobilise finance for climate action by encouraging others to match its long-term investment. The EIB contributes to the EU’s climate and energy objectives by supporting renewable en ...
assessing trade and business groups` positions on climate change
assessing trade and business groups` positions on climate change

... ”The major difference between [greenhouse gases] and air toxics is that there is no local effect with climate change, if there is any effect at all.” — Howard Feldman, regulatory and scientific affairs director at the American Petroleum Institute (Harder 2012) ...
Climate Change in Germany - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact
Climate Change in Germany - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact

... target, today’s global emissions need to be lowered from 7 Gt carbon per year to 2 Gt per year. This is a formidable challenge, in view of the emissions of the United States of America and of densely populated countries such as India and China that also exhibit rapid economic growth. The projection ...
climate science
climate science

... However, scientific investigations of the dynamics of the entire climate system have more in common with systems biology and economics than with laboratory physics and chemistry, owing to the complexity of the systems under investigation and the inability to conduct controlled experiments. Complexit ...
Why We Need A New Direction In Climate Change Science
Why We Need A New Direction In Climate Change Science

... Estimated radiative forcings since preindustrial times for the Earth and Troposphere system (TOA) radiative forcing with adjusted stratospheric temperatures). The height of the rectangular bar denotes a central or best estimate of the forcing, while each vertical line is an estimate of the uncertai ...
Eurasian Arctic greening reveals teleconnections and the potential
Eurasian Arctic greening reveals teleconnections and the potential

... NDVI values in NWET were still low (<0.3 in all cases; Fig. 2a). Spatiotemporal relationships between temperature and the Barents and Kara seas ice area reflected a similar pattern, with a strong effect of sea ice on adjacent land in spring followed by no effect during the summer months (Fig. 2b). T ...
Climate and Development Economics: Balancing Science, Politics
Climate and Development Economics: Balancing Science, Politics

... varying temperature levels. These are typically calibrated to low estimates of damages at moderate temperature increases; for instance, DICE assumes that less than 2 percent of world output is lost to climate damages at a temperature increase of 2.5oC above 1900 levels (Nordhaus 2008). In contrast t ...
Transformational adaptation
Transformational adaptation

... required to enable transformational adaptation. The program has a long-term focus, with the Government of the Netherlands committed to continuing the program after 2020. It is backed by strong leadership and political commitment, which is reflected in the establishment of a multi-billion-dollar Delt ...
Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Extreme Events
Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Extreme Events

... requiring a rapid response from the scientific community. But apparently conflicting views, for example that all weather and climate events are to some extent tainted by human influence under a changed climate, or that no single event can ever be attributed unequivocally to a particular cause, serve ...
97% Consensus? No! Global Warming Math
97% Consensus? No! Global Warming Math

... Anderegg et al (2010) reviewed lists of various climate declarations and IPCC participants and created a division of those “Convinced” or “Unconvinced” by the evidence (IPCC AR4 2007 declaration) [above Figure 7]. They found 66% were “CE – Convinced by the Evidence” – but this does not describe to w ...
Climate change impacts in urban coastal
Climate change impacts in urban coastal

... Within Australia, assessments of climate impact and risk to our coastal environments have been underpinned by a well-developed national capability in atmospheric and oceanographic research (2012 ERA ratings 3-5). Research into the adaptation of urban coastal environments to climate change has primar ...
GENERAL Climate Change Handbook for NE South Africa (Gauteng
GENERAL Climate Change Handbook for NE South Africa (Gauteng

... Certain gases in the troposphere and stratosphere absorb most of the outgoing infrared radiation, however before it can escape to space, thereby warming the atmosphere before the heat is once again re-emitted. These are referred to as greenhouse gases (GHG). Without the presence of these gases in th ...
Sea level Rise impact on Singapore, Solomon Island, Saint Vincent
Sea level Rise impact on Singapore, Solomon Island, Saint Vincent

... Based on the report of David Anthoff, et al., the sea level rise scenario is obtained from Global DEM and LOICS data, a similar consideration is made for this analysis2. The various islands that are found to be vulnerable are analysed for sea level rise of 5m and the total area of impact is determin ...
Climate Change: Potential Effects on Human Health in New Zealand
Climate Change: Potential Effects on Human Health in New Zealand

... There is now agreement among most climate scientists that the globe has, on average, already begun to warm, probably as a result of increased emissions of greenhouse gases associated with industrialisation and altered land-use patterns. This is the conclusion of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climat ...
Climate change as a threat to biodiversity
Climate change as a threat to biodiversity

... and in this special section. The intention is not to develop all elements of the framework completely, but to illustrate each of the elements with particular reference to the climate change implications for biodiversity. In this way, the usefulness of the framework for discussion of complex policy i ...
Summary of UN-Habitat`s CCCI Climate Change Assessment for the
Summary of UN-Habitat`s CCCI Climate Change Assessment for the

... these areas more people would become vulnerable to impacts of climate change. Risks will be higher and the costs for relief and rehabilitation should (climate-induced disaster happen) would also considerably cost more if anticipatory plans for climate adaptive social and physical infrastructures are ...
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Michael E. Mann



Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.
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