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All Climate Change is Local: Understanding and Predicting the
All Climate Change is Local: Understanding and Predicting the

... Importantly, there are likely to be “winners” and “losers” in organismal responses to climate change, depending on how close organisms are living to their environmental limits and their thermal optima. Which species or populations are “winners” or “losers” may be determined by comparing the performa ...
The Land that Never Melts is Melting Satoaleapai Village
The Land that Never Melts is Melting Satoaleapai Village

... the glaciers in the park melted at an average of one metre per year. This has been increasing and in the last year, they melted eight metres. ...
PDF
PDF

... on their own likely to be effective in reducing greenhouse gas emissions; and how they measure up against the yardstick of an effective and efficient climate policy. In Section 2 below we explain what we contend are the necessary elements of an effective and efficient climate policy, citing only sup ...
Provisional edition Environmentally induced migration and
Provisional edition Environmentally induced migration and

... The Assembly observes that whereas there exists a large body of well-established international, regional and national legal instruments, conventions and norms to protect the rights of people forcibly displaced by conflict and persecution, and to some extent by natural disasters or conflicts over res ...
The likelihood and potential impact of future change in
The likelihood and potential impact of future change in

... that it is rarely possible to distinguish individuals for whom environmental factors are the sole driver (Foresight, 2011). Gemenne (2011) notes that estimates and projections of migration due to environmental drivers are not satisfactory, with many appearing to have been put forward in order to gen ...
Abrupt Non-Linear Climate Change, Irreversibility and
Abrupt Non-Linear Climate Change, Irreversibility and

... Strictly speaking, a surprise is an unanticipated outcome; by definition it is an unexpected event. Potential climate change, and more broadly, global environmental change, is replete with this kind of truly unexpected surprise because of the enormous complexities of the processes and interrelations ...
“Community Vulnerability Mapping”: Enabling Participation and
“Community Vulnerability Mapping”: Enabling Participation and

... Over the last four decades, sub-Saharan Africa has experienced more than one thousand disasters.2 Disasters and hazard events are a major threat to development, putting at risk and often reversing development gains. In West African countries, the disaster profile is characterised by extreme hydro-me ...
Chapter 10. Climate Change and California`s Water Challenges
Chapter 10. Climate Change and California`s Water Challenges

... The decline in water supply will have numerous effects on human systems. Food availability, stability and access could be disrupted, especially in central Africa. Water infrastructure such as hydro electrical plans, irrigation systems, flood defenses and other water management practices will be chal ...
Climate Change and the Past, Present and Future of Biotic Interactions
Climate Change and the Past, Present and Future of Biotic Interactions

... to climate change. The direction, frequency, and intensity of biotic interactions can in turn be altered by climate change. Understanding the complex interplay between climate and biotic interactions is thus essential for fully anticipating how ecosystems will respond to the fast rates of current wa ...
Overall scientific concept with short-term and long
Overall scientific concept with short-term and long

... change on ecological systems and the imposition of the risk of rights violation on those who will live in the future are not straight forward. There has been little systematic research focused on this connection (Shue 1993, ICHRP 2008). Furthermore, the normative evaluation of different policy opti ...
Assessing the impacts of global warming on meteorological hazards
Assessing the impacts of global warming on meteorological hazards

... meteorological hazards that would spawn disasters. Based on the statistics on natural disasters ...
UNFCCC, the Kyoto Protocol, and the WTO – Brewing Conflicts or
UNFCCC, the Kyoto Protocol, and the WTO – Brewing Conflicts or

... terms of assigned amounts or allowed emission, which can be divided into assigned amount units (AAUs) similar to pollution permits or allowances. 27 In the first commitment period, 2008-2012, the Annex I Parties are required reduce their GHGs to an average of 5.2 percent below their 1990 levels as s ...
Discussion Paper - LEDS Global Partnership
Discussion Paper - LEDS Global Partnership

... export, comes from agriculture (World Bank 2000). Seventy percent of all Africans – nearly 90 percent of the poor – work primarily in agriculture (World Bank 2000). In Ethiopia for example, agriculture supports roughly 42 percent of GDP and 85 percent of employment (Conway 2009). Therefore, the occu ...
Not a Problem, Someone Else`s Problem, My Problem or Our
Not a Problem, Someone Else`s Problem, My Problem or Our

... Although this review has been too cursory to permit conclusive recommendations, some emergent insights could merit further consideration: 1. People can contribute to climate change mitigation not just as individual actors but also as political and organisational actors. People can act cooperatively ...
Climate Change Negotiations, India`s submissions to the United
Climate Change Negotiations, India`s submissions to the United

... variability and are exposed to enhanced risks from climate change. Climate change will also significantly impact the economic growth and social development of India, where eradication of poverty is the first and overriding priority. It is for this reason that India has a huge stake in the multilater ...
Climate change and global health - Canadian Federation of Medical
Climate change and global health - Canadian Federation of Medical

... community  that  climate  change  poses  both  current  and  future  threats  to  human  health.     Canada’s  vulnerable  populations  will  be  disproportionately  affected  by  these  environmental   hazards  [6].  In  particular,  Indigenou ...
香山科学会议 温室气体控制技术及关键问题
香山科学会议 温室气体控制技术及关键问题

... 50 Mt CO2 compared with that in 2005 by the end of ...
Phillip_Staddon___Winter_Mortality
Phillip_Staddon___Winter_Mortality

... All numbers are simulated and based on average low monthly mean. The simulation is not intended to accurately reflect day to day variation. The results do not attempt to predict the future; they simply highlight that the assumption that an increased mean average winter temperature will substantially ...
14 January 2013
14 January 2013

... percent of Obama supporters say there’s warming, and 63 percent point to human activity as the main reason. Pew surveyed 1,511 people in October 2012. Rasmussen Poll More than two-thirds of U.S. voters say they feel climate change is a serious problem but are less certain about its causes than they ...
Comparisons of Observed Paleoclimate and Model
Comparisons of Observed Paleoclimate and Model

... •Proxy reconstructions and model simulations both suggest that late 20th century warmth is anomalous in the context of the past 1000-2000 years •Primary source of differences between various reconstructions appear to be related to issues of seasonality and spatial representativeness • Important diff ...
Scenario
Scenario

... Scenarios (SRES 2000) to project future climate change from 1990 (the base year for each scenario) through 2100. The dominant characteristics of the “storylines” used in the SRES are shown in Table 1. These characteristics describe the demographic, technological, economic and social trajectories dri ...
ICPDR Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change
ICPDR Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change

... water sector on issues relevant at the basin-wide scale, more detailed planning has to take place at the sub-basin and/or national level, which may deliver further detailed adaptation actions and strategies that additionally cover non water-related sectors. ...
Growing disruption: Climate change, food, and the fight against hunger
Growing disruption: Climate change, food, and the fight against hunger

... In the most vulnerable regions, research suggests 14.2 million hectares could see a significant change in the length of growing period due to climate change, with a potential population of around 400 million affected.22 A +4°C change in world temperatures could result in a massive reduction in the l ...
Climate Change
Climate Change

... Think wisely, think of the future. ...
Phenology as an Integrative Science for Assessment of Global
Phenology as an Integrative Science for Assessment of Global

... Phenology can be used as a predictor for a variety of processes and variables of importance at local to global scales. Phenology modulates the abundance and diversity of organisms, their inter-specific interactions, their ecological functions, and their effects on fluxes in water, energy, and chemic ...
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Climate change adaptation

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