Uncertainty and Decision Making in Climate Change Economics
... all of the more recent studies weight parameters based on how well they reproduce historical climate observations. Many studies arrive at their estimates by using Bayesian methods to combine experts’ prior probabilities with historical observations. All of these techniques are used by the studies in ...
... all of the more recent studies weight parameters based on how well they reproduce historical climate observations. Many studies arrive at their estimates by using Bayesian methods to combine experts’ prior probabilities with historical observations. All of these techniques are used by the studies in ...
Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios
... that the Southwest China will experience a significant reduction in the value of humidity index, implying severe challenges for future agricultural development in the region. Spatially explicit patterns of changes in future agroclimatic conditions, as revealed in this study, can be beneficial for po ...
... that the Southwest China will experience a significant reduction in the value of humidity index, implying severe challenges for future agricultural development in the region. Spatially explicit patterns of changes in future agroclimatic conditions, as revealed in this study, can be beneficial for po ...
The Abrahamic Religions and Climate Change - e
... to honor their covenantal relationship with God, with one-another, and with Earth. To underscore the significance of this covenantal web of relatedness, he weaves it into Jewish celebrations to focus on particular problems and to initiate action. For example, during Tu B’Shevat, the Jewish festival ...
... to honor their covenantal relationship with God, with one-another, and with Earth. To underscore the significance of this covenantal web of relatedness, he weaves it into Jewish celebrations to focus on particular problems and to initiate action. For example, during Tu B’Shevat, the Jewish festival ...
Folie 1 - uni
... Box 3: Climate Models: How are they built and how are they applied? Comprehensive climate models are based on physical laws represented by mathematical equations that are solved using a three-dimensional grid over the globe. For climate simulation, the major components of the climate system must be ...
... Box 3: Climate Models: How are they built and how are they applied? Comprehensive climate models are based on physical laws represented by mathematical equations that are solved using a three-dimensional grid over the globe. For climate simulation, the major components of the climate system must be ...
Adaptation Planning In New York City
... future timeslice simulation and its baseline simulation; mean precipitation is based on the ratio of ...
... future timeslice simulation and its baseline simulation; mean precipitation is based on the ratio of ...
Chapter 4 The Ocean`s Role in the Hydrological Cycle
... Traditional customs are likely to be at risk and poorly understood by outside agencies. Yet traditional knowledge is an additional resource that may aid adaptation in such settings and should be carefully evaluated within adaptation planning. A significant part © 2016 United Nations ...
... Traditional customs are likely to be at risk and poorly understood by outside agencies. Yet traditional knowledge is an additional resource that may aid adaptation in such settings and should be carefully evaluated within adaptation planning. A significant part © 2016 United Nations ...
Framework Programme on Climate Change Adaptation
... insecurity, yet not all poverty alleviation efforts constitute effective reduction in climate vulnerability and not all adaptation will automatically lead to immediate improvements in food security. Adaptive capacity. Most ecological and social systems have built-in adaptive capacity. However, the c ...
... insecurity, yet not all poverty alleviation efforts constitute effective reduction in climate vulnerability and not all adaptation will automatically lead to immediate improvements in food security. Adaptive capacity. Most ecological and social systems have built-in adaptive capacity. However, the c ...
Projected Changes in the Physical Climate of the Gulf Coast and
... (both globally and regionally) than the ensemble mean, while some predict smaller ones. The degree to which different models agree on specific aspects of the projected climate change is one measure of our confidence in the likelihood that that specific change will occur in response to increasing gre ...
... (both globally and regionally) than the ensemble mean, while some predict smaller ones. The degree to which different models agree on specific aspects of the projected climate change is one measure of our confidence in the likelihood that that specific change will occur in response to increasing gre ...
PDF
... Monthly maximum temperature and minimum temperatures present interesting results. Almost all the estimated results of Tmax, Tmin, and the interaction terms of Model (C) in Table 3 are significant. However, fewer terms are significant when we consider lagged terms. Temperatures of the previous period ...
... Monthly maximum temperature and minimum temperatures present interesting results. Almost all the estimated results of Tmax, Tmin, and the interaction terms of Model (C) in Table 3 are significant. However, fewer terms are significant when we consider lagged terms. Temperatures of the previous period ...
Inadequacies and criticisms of the Intergovernmental Panel on
... have provided conclusive evidence that human emissions of greenhouse gases are warming the climate. The IPCC has provided nothing of the sort, but rather has a predisposition towards that conclusion built into its terms of reference. Indeed, despite the overwhelming public assumption regarding human ...
... have provided conclusive evidence that human emissions of greenhouse gases are warming the climate. The IPCC has provided nothing of the sort, but rather has a predisposition towards that conclusion built into its terms of reference. Indeed, despite the overwhelming public assumption regarding human ...
Fossil Fuel Risk Bonds - Center for Sustainable Economy
... unfolds, many sectors of the economy are threatened with declining productivity, output, jobs, and income as the human and natural resources they rely upon are damaged or made scarcer. As these sectors contract, so too do tax revenues on which public agencies rely. The EPA has synthesized anticipate ...
... unfolds, many sectors of the economy are threatened with declining productivity, output, jobs, and income as the human and natural resources they rely upon are damaged or made scarcer. As these sectors contract, so too do tax revenues on which public agencies rely. The EPA has synthesized anticipate ...
Download paper (PDF)
... Yet a review of the literature shows that the bulk of the work to date has been deterministic, though there are exceptions and the trend is changing. If uncertainty is central then attitudes towards risk and the degree of risk aversion will presumably be central parameters. Institutions for risk-shi ...
... Yet a review of the literature shows that the bulk of the work to date has been deterministic, though there are exceptions and the trend is changing. If uncertainty is central then attitudes towards risk and the degree of risk aversion will presumably be central parameters. Institutions for risk-shi ...
Hydrology as a driver of biodiversity: Controls on carrying capacity
... climatology consists of frequent, less intense precipitation events. This distinction is crucially important since climate change is projected to lead to more intense, less frequent storm events, with important repercussions for vegetation. Similarly, Bartholomeus et al. [1] demonstrate that increas ...
... climatology consists of frequent, less intense precipitation events. This distinction is crucially important since climate change is projected to lead to more intense, less frequent storm events, with important repercussions for vegetation. Similarly, Bartholomeus et al. [1] demonstrate that increas ...
Atmosphere and Climate Change Section 1
... • Scientists believe that increased UV light could be especially damaging for amphibians, such as toads, because they lay eggs that lack shells in the shallow water of ponds and streams. ...
... • Scientists believe that increased UV light could be especially damaging for amphibians, such as toads, because they lay eggs that lack shells in the shallow water of ponds and streams. ...
A Global Model of Climate Change Impacts on Timber Markets
... term emerg is used to denote the set of species in this region. Initial establishment costs are higher than regenerating existing stands due to the relatively high costs of 1A number of ecologists suggest that while NPP rises, net ecosystem production (NEP) or net biome production (NBP) may remain s ...
... term emerg is used to denote the set of species in this region. Initial establishment costs are higher than regenerating existing stands due to the relatively high costs of 1A number of ecologists suggest that while NPP rises, net ecosystem production (NEP) or net biome production (NBP) may remain s ...
A PERIOD OF CONSEQUENCES: GLOBAL WARMING, SOCIAL
... particularly indigenous people, in remote regions of the planet, but what is happening there will eventually happen here too. Sea level rise will affect all coastal regions to some degree, and increased storm events, changes in weather patterns, heat waves and drought are all possible consequences ...
... particularly indigenous people, in remote regions of the planet, but what is happening there will eventually happen here too. Sea level rise will affect all coastal regions to some degree, and increased storm events, changes in weather patterns, heat waves and drought are all possible consequences ...
Document
... single factors, such as changes in distribution (e.g., from bioclimatic models; Peterson et al. 2002, Midgley et al. 2003, Thomas et al. 2004, Lawler et al. 2009b) or changes in phenology and the potential for phenological mismatches (e.g., Bradley et al. 1999, Visser and Both 2005). More recently, ...
... single factors, such as changes in distribution (e.g., from bioclimatic models; Peterson et al. 2002, Midgley et al. 2003, Thomas et al. 2004, Lawler et al. 2009b) or changes in phenology and the potential for phenological mismatches (e.g., Bradley et al. 1999, Visser and Both 2005). More recently, ...
Silvicultural Challenges and Options in the Context of Global Change
... than 23 general circulation models are currently in use to predict climatic changes. Furthermore, much is unknown regarding how ecosystems respond to climate change and other perturbations. Even more uncertainty exists regarding forest ecosystems’ responses to silvicultural manipulations under alter ...
... than 23 general circulation models are currently in use to predict climatic changes. Furthermore, much is unknown regarding how ecosystems respond to climate change and other perturbations. Even more uncertainty exists regarding forest ecosystems’ responses to silvicultural manipulations under alter ...
Desertification-Climate Change Interactions
... Lambin, 2004), 1) those that predispose desertification called underlying causes and 2) those that physically start a desertification process, called proximate causes. Among underlying causes are climate, economics, institutions, national policies and remote influences of population growth. While pr ...
... Lambin, 2004), 1) those that predispose desertification called underlying causes and 2) those that physically start a desertification process, called proximate causes. Among underlying causes are climate, economics, institutions, national policies and remote influences of population growth. While pr ...
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... Maine (notably town planners, policy makers, community groups, NGOs) with live and archived web coverage. The CLAS meeting will showcase University of Maine climate expertise and an array of Climate Change Institute software that can be used by researchers and the public to understand and interpret ...
... Maine (notably town planners, policy makers, community groups, NGOs) with live and archived web coverage. The CLAS meeting will showcase University of Maine climate expertise and an array of Climate Change Institute software that can be used by researchers and the public to understand and interpret ...
Motivated for Action and Collaboration
... to honor their covenantal relationship with God, with one-another, and with Earth. To underscore the significance of this covenantal web of relatedness, he weaves it into Jewish celebrations to focus on particular problems and to initiate action. For example, during Tu B’Shevat, the Jewish festival ...
... to honor their covenantal relationship with God, with one-another, and with Earth. To underscore the significance of this covenantal web of relatedness, he weaves it into Jewish celebrations to focus on particular problems and to initiate action. For example, during Tu B’Shevat, the Jewish festival ...
Belanger OLLI week4 slides - Denver Climate Study Group
... Joint U.S. National Academy of Science and Royal Society 20-point summary: • OR: Joint U.S. National Academy of Science and Royal Society 20-point summary: 20-point Climate-Change Summary (pdf) – summarized in the following 3 slides ...
... Joint U.S. National Academy of Science and Royal Society 20-point summary: • OR: Joint U.S. National Academy of Science and Royal Society 20-point summary: 20-point Climate-Change Summary (pdf) – summarized in the following 3 slides ...
Transformational adaptation
... Responses from participants (working in research, policy and practice) at a UKCIP workshop, March 2015 on ‘What is transformational adaptation?’ • Transformation may occur at different levels and dimensions, mediated by power relations, but usually implies a systemic or paradigm shift, possibly tri ...
... Responses from participants (working in research, policy and practice) at a UKCIP workshop, March 2015 on ‘What is transformational adaptation?’ • Transformation may occur at different levels and dimensions, mediated by power relations, but usually implies a systemic or paradigm shift, possibly tri ...
- Wiley Online Library
... physiological limits and adaptive evolution into spatial modelling of the impacts of climate change on biological distributions (Fig. 2a). The framework is general enough to be applied to any environmental variable or set of variables. Four key parameters are defined at both the upper and lower ends ...
... physiological limits and adaptive evolution into spatial modelling of the impacts of climate change on biological distributions (Fig. 2a). The framework is general enough to be applied to any environmental variable or set of variables. Four key parameters are defined at both the upper and lower ends ...
climate-change scepticism and asserted rights to private property
... which require coastal residents to move away from the sea when sea levels rise above a certain level (Cooper and McKenna 2008, Abel et al. 2011). Most of the consequences of anthropogenic climate change are far-reaching and causality is hard to establish, and it is politically challenging to define ...
... which require coastal residents to move away from the sea when sea levels rise above a certain level (Cooper and McKenna 2008, Abel et al. 2011). Most of the consequences of anthropogenic climate change are far-reaching and causality is hard to establish, and it is politically challenging to define ...