The Role of Uncertainty in the Economics of Catastrophic Climate
... eventual temperature changes becomes yet-greater yet-more-open-ended uncertainty about eventual changes in utility. Not only is it very di¢ cult to estimate tail probabilities of high- T outcomes, but translating this via ambiguous weather consequences and unknown adaptation capabilities into utilit ...
... eventual temperature changes becomes yet-greater yet-more-open-ended uncertainty about eventual changes in utility. Not only is it very di¢ cult to estimate tail probabilities of high- T outcomes, but translating this via ambiguous weather consequences and unknown adaptation capabilities into utilit ...
Anthony Patt ETH Zürich (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
... Patt, Anthony, Detlef van Vuuren, Frans Berkhout, Asbjørn Aaheim, Andries Hof, Morna Isaac, and Reinhard Mechler (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: where do we stand? Climatic Change 99: 383 – 402. Patt, Anthony, Mark Tadross, Patrick Nussbaumer, Kwabena Asante, Marc Metzger, José ...
... Patt, Anthony, Detlef van Vuuren, Frans Berkhout, Asbjørn Aaheim, Andries Hof, Morna Isaac, and Reinhard Mechler (2010). Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: where do we stand? Climatic Change 99: 383 – 402. Patt, Anthony, Mark Tadross, Patrick Nussbaumer, Kwabena Asante, Marc Metzger, José ...
P R I N C E T O N ... P R I N C E T O N ... Wagner_ClimateShock_FINAL.indd 3 12/30/14 8:32 AM
... (IPCC) declared it was “more likely than not” the case that global warming was caused by human activity. By 2001, it was “likely.” By 2007, it was “very likely.” By 2013, it was “extremely likely.” There’s only one step left in official IPCC lingo: “virtually certain.” The big question is how certai ...
... (IPCC) declared it was “more likely than not” the case that global warming was caused by human activity. By 2001, it was “likely.” By 2007, it was “very likely.” By 2013, it was “extremely likely.” There’s only one step left in official IPCC lingo: “virtually certain.” The big question is how certai ...
Safeguarding Washington`s Fish and Wildlife in an Era of Climate
... as well as how these impacts may affect species and ecosystems. As the science of climate change has progressed over the past few decades, our knowledge of climate change and its impacts – both those that have occurred and those that are projected for the future – has increased significantly. Consid ...
... as well as how these impacts may affect species and ecosystems. As the science of climate change has progressed over the past few decades, our knowledge of climate change and its impacts – both those that have occurred and those that are projected for the future – has increased significantly. Consid ...
PDF
... the large ensemble of scenarios generated by integrated assessment models (IAMs) for the WGIII of the 5th assessment of the IPCC. The database, which is publicly available1, contains several hundred scenarios, spanning a wide range of climate categories, policy and technology implementations. Scenar ...
... the large ensemble of scenarios generated by integrated assessment models (IAMs) for the WGIII of the 5th assessment of the IPCC. The database, which is publicly available1, contains several hundred scenarios, spanning a wide range of climate categories, policy and technology implementations. Scenar ...
How do carbon cycle uncertainties affect IPCC temperature
... socio-economic drivers (population growth, economic growth, energy intensity etc.). Model uncertainty arises from simulations of physically plausible responses by the Earth’s climate system to increasing GHG emissions. The two main differences between ΔGMST projections in the Fourth (IPCC, 2007) and ...
... socio-economic drivers (population growth, economic growth, energy intensity etc.). Model uncertainty arises from simulations of physically plausible responses by the Earth’s climate system to increasing GHG emissions. The two main differences between ΔGMST projections in the Fourth (IPCC, 2007) and ...
Summary of the First Forum for National Designated Entities (NDEs
... The CTCN can also assist with outreach to national stakeholders, linking to other climatetechnologies related programmes, identifying sources of funding for follow-up actions, etc. NDE not meant to be a full time job, the idea is to mainstream climate technologies in other activities Developin ...
... The CTCN can also assist with outreach to national stakeholders, linking to other climatetechnologies related programmes, identifying sources of funding for follow-up actions, etc. NDE not meant to be a full time job, the idea is to mainstream climate technologies in other activities Developin ...
Economics of flood risk in Italy under current and future climate
... input-output (I-O) models (Okuyama et al 2004; Hallegatte 2008; Hallegatte et al 2011; Ranger et al 2011; Henriet et al 2012; Koks et al 2014; Okuyama 2014), computable general equilibrium (CGE) models (Rose et al 1997; Rose and Liao 2005; Bosello et al 2006; Tsuchiya et al 2007; Berrittella et al ...
... input-output (I-O) models (Okuyama et al 2004; Hallegatte 2008; Hallegatte et al 2011; Ranger et al 2011; Henriet et al 2012; Koks et al 2014; Okuyama 2014), computable general equilibrium (CGE) models (Rose et al 1997; Rose and Liao 2005; Bosello et al 2006; Tsuchiya et al 2007; Berrittella et al ...
Increasing Participation and Compliance in International Climate Change Agreements* SCOTT BARRETT
... compliance-compatible regime. His proposal also includes a protocol aimed at making some short term progress, but without the pretense that this can be achieved through international enforcement. Benedick (2001) offers a somewhat similar proposal, which emphasizes (longterm) international standards ...
... compliance-compatible regime. His proposal also includes a protocol aimed at making some short term progress, but without the pretense that this can be achieved through international enforcement. Benedick (2001) offers a somewhat similar proposal, which emphasizes (longterm) international standards ...
Student Conceptions about Global Warming and Climate Change
... nitrous oxides—to the Earth’s atmosphere, global temperatures are expected to rise, causing the Earth’s climates to change. These climate changes may affect precipitation patterns, severe and extreme weather events, and over time environmental systems. Furthermore, human health and agriculture may b ...
... nitrous oxides—to the Earth’s atmosphere, global temperatures are expected to rise, causing the Earth’s climates to change. These climate changes may affect precipitation patterns, severe and extreme weather events, and over time environmental systems. Furthermore, human health and agriculture may b ...
Computational data sciences may offer a path
... and surrogate observations (reanalysis data generated by assimilating weather data from disparate sensors into a numerical weather prediction model) pointed to higher trends but larger uncertainty in heat waves in this century based on a plausible but high emissions scenario, which in turn implies g ...
... and surrogate observations (reanalysis data generated by assimilating weather data from disparate sensors into a numerical weather prediction model) pointed to higher trends but larger uncertainty in heat waves in this century based on a plausible but high emissions scenario, which in turn implies g ...
PDF
... While research investment in agricultural science and farm input improvement is the major driver behind long-run productivity growth in the U.S., extreme weather can affect output growth, input use, and thus TFP estimates considerably. Unexpected drought, flooding, or heat stress could either cause ...
... While research investment in agricultural science and farm input improvement is the major driver behind long-run productivity growth in the U.S., extreme weather can affect output growth, input use, and thus TFP estimates considerably. Unexpected drought, flooding, or heat stress could either cause ...
Chapter 9 PowerPoint document
... Game theory is used to analyse choices where the outcome of a decision by one player depends on the decisions of the other players, and where decisions of others are not known in advance. This interdependence is evident in environmental problems. For example, where pollution spills over national bou ...
... Game theory is used to analyse choices where the outcome of a decision by one player depends on the decisions of the other players, and where decisions of others are not known in advance. This interdependence is evident in environmental problems. For example, where pollution spills over national bou ...
An Independent National Adaptation Programme for England: Appendices (698 kB) (opens in new window)
... 2020s, High 2080s]. Species migration and changing habitats – inability to track climate space (higher risks to ...
... 2020s, High 2080s]. Species migration and changing habitats – inability to track climate space (higher risks to ...
Flood - MPR Bilateral screening
... Articles 2, 4.1 and 4.3 of this Directive have been transposed into Article 96 of the Law on Waters (Official Gazette of Montenegro 27/07) that regulates issues related to flooding areas as follows: • Flooding areas means water and other areas to which the water from out of flooding areas is occasio ...
... Articles 2, 4.1 and 4.3 of this Directive have been transposed into Article 96 of the Law on Waters (Official Gazette of Montenegro 27/07) that regulates issues related to flooding areas as follows: • Flooding areas means water and other areas to which the water from out of flooding areas is occasio ...
PDF
... threat in meeting the food, fibre, fuel and fodder requirement. In the developing countries like India, the small and marginal farmers, in particular, are more vulnerable to both to the current and future climate change impacts, given their high dependence on agriculture, strong reliance on ecosyste ...
... threat in meeting the food, fibre, fuel and fodder requirement. In the developing countries like India, the small and marginal farmers, in particular, are more vulnerable to both to the current and future climate change impacts, given their high dependence on agriculture, strong reliance on ecosyste ...
- Wiley Online Library
... determining the vegetation distribution in the region. The parameter-based uncertainties contribute most to the total uncertainty. The current warming conditions lead to a complexity of vegetation responses in the region. Temperate trees will be more sensitive to climate variability, compared with b ...
... determining the vegetation distribution in the region. The parameter-based uncertainties contribute most to the total uncertainty. The current warming conditions lead to a complexity of vegetation responses in the region. Temperate trees will be more sensitive to climate variability, compared with b ...
Climate Change Impacts in Hawai`i - Hawaii Sea Grant
... through and interpreting this very technical and often disparate information can be timeconsuming and confusing, especially for the general public. This report provides insight to the current and projected state of climate change and the potential primary effects to Hawai‘i’s communities. The struct ...
... through and interpreting this very technical and often disparate information can be timeconsuming and confusing, especially for the general public. This report provides insight to the current and projected state of climate change and the potential primary effects to Hawai‘i’s communities. The struct ...
united nations - Stockholm Convention
... for laboratory studies and field such as: the range of increasing temperature, increase or decrease in rainfall, increased ultraviolet radiation, changes in salinity, lower pH, etc. considering the criteria adopted climate change experts, the above to have a unified approach by the POPRC. ...
... for laboratory studies and field such as: the range of increasing temperature, increase or decrease in rainfall, increased ultraviolet radiation, changes in salinity, lower pH, etc. considering the criteria adopted climate change experts, the above to have a unified approach by the POPRC. ...
Polar Lows - Hans von Storch
... analysis of past and present change as well as scnearios of possible future conditions a) Application of downscaling strategy to Polar Lows in the N Atlantic b) Application of down scaling strategy to SE Asian typhoons ...
... analysis of past and present change as well as scnearios of possible future conditions a) Application of downscaling strategy to Polar Lows in the N Atlantic b) Application of down scaling strategy to SE Asian typhoons ...
PDF
... incentives to join and remain in this coalition. Such coalition should be capable of delivering ambitious emission reduction even if some countries do not take mitigation action. In addition, it should meet the target without exceedingly high mitigation costs and deliver a net benefit to member coun ...
... incentives to join and remain in this coalition. Such coalition should be capable of delivering ambitious emission reduction even if some countries do not take mitigation action. In addition, it should meet the target without exceedingly high mitigation costs and deliver a net benefit to member coun ...
Interacting Regional-Scale Regime Shifts for Biodiversity and
... ecosystem services over the twenty-first century could be far greater than was previously predicted. We identify key policy and management opportunities at regional to global scales to avoid these shifts. Keywords: biodiversity change, human–environment interactions, tipping points, South America, S ...
... ecosystem services over the twenty-first century could be far greater than was previously predicted. We identify key policy and management opportunities at regional to global scales to avoid these shifts. Keywords: biodiversity change, human–environment interactions, tipping points, South America, S ...
Africa`s climate opportunity: Adapting and thriving
... cereal crops across Africa. In Namibia, for example, climate impacts on agriculture could reduce annual GDP by between 1% and 6%. ...
... cereal crops across Africa. In Namibia, for example, climate impacts on agriculture could reduce annual GDP by between 1% and 6%. ...
The Denial of Global Warming
... None of this was new. Professional climate modelers had already published papers that said pretty much the same thing, and in 1977, Robert M. White, the head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (and later head of the National Academy of Engineering) had headed a committee for the ...
... None of this was new. Professional climate modelers had already published papers that said pretty much the same thing, and in 1977, Robert M. White, the head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (and later head of the National Academy of Engineering) had headed a committee for the ...
Africa Talks Climate
... bring other challenges, including flooding. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says that “by the 2080s, many millions more people than today are projected to experience floods every year due to sea-level rise… [largely] in the densely populated and low-lying mega-deltas of Asia and ...
... bring other challenges, including flooding. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says that “by the 2080s, many millions more people than today are projected to experience floods every year due to sea-level rise… [largely] in the densely populated and low-lying mega-deltas of Asia and ...