spline models of contemporary, 2030, 2060 and 2090 climates for
... three general circulation models (GCMs) and two emission scenarios for each GCM: (a) Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis (CCC), using the CGCM3 (T63 resolution) model, SRES A2 and B1 scenarios; (2) Met Office, Hadley Centre (HAD), using the HadCM3 model, SRES A2 and B2 scenarios; and ( ...
... three general circulation models (GCMs) and two emission scenarios for each GCM: (a) Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis (CCC), using the CGCM3 (T63 resolution) model, SRES A2 and B1 scenarios; (2) Met Office, Hadley Centre (HAD), using the HadCM3 model, SRES A2 and B2 scenarios; and ( ...
Why Hasn`t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?
... Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden (Manuscript received 2 October 2009, in final form 17 December 2009) ABSTRACT The observed increase in global mean surface temperature (GMST) over the industrial era is less than 40% of that expected from observed increases in long-l ...
... Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden (Manuscript received 2 October 2009, in final form 17 December 2009) ABSTRACT The observed increase in global mean surface temperature (GMST) over the industrial era is less than 40% of that expected from observed increases in long-l ...
Summary and Conclusions
... to ensure effective stewardship of both through its obligations as signatories to the various international treaties and agreements3 that seek to ensure the Polar Regions are appropriately protected, managed and recognised at the global scale. Our presentations illustrated why research on polar mari ...
... to ensure effective stewardship of both through its obligations as signatories to the various international treaties and agreements3 that seek to ensure the Polar Regions are appropriately protected, managed and recognised at the global scale. Our presentations illustrated why research on polar mari ...
Climate change in Australia | Monsoonal North cluster report
... In recognition of the impact of climate change on the management of Australia’s natural resources, the Australian Government developed the Regional Natural Resource Management Planning for Climate Change Fund. This fund has enabled significant research into the impact of the future climate on Austra ...
... In recognition of the impact of climate change on the management of Australia’s natural resources, the Australian Government developed the Regional Natural Resource Management Planning for Climate Change Fund. This fund has enabled significant research into the impact of the future climate on Austra ...
CLIMATE OF DISPLACEMENT, CLIMATE FOR PROTECTION
... are likely to remain within their country of origin or region, thus making complementing EU external strategies important in order to tackle environmental displacement. The EU can also strengthen its adaptation assistance in the external dimension. There is a need for comprehensive understanding of ...
... are likely to remain within their country of origin or region, thus making complementing EU external strategies important in order to tackle environmental displacement. The EU can also strengthen its adaptation assistance in the external dimension. There is a need for comprehensive understanding of ...
The Impact of Climate Change on Air Quality
... gas emissions. Although the per capita greenhouse gas emissions have decreased by about 10% compared to 1990 levels (Next10 2009) as the result of the implementation of control strategies, the overall emissions continue to rise along with population growth in CA. Long-term greenhouse gas emissions m ...
... gas emissions. Although the per capita greenhouse gas emissions have decreased by about 10% compared to 1990 levels (Next10 2009) as the result of the implementation of control strategies, the overall emissions continue to rise along with population growth in CA. Long-term greenhouse gas emissions m ...
planned relocations, disasters and climate change
... requires people to step outside their comfort zones and to think in different ways. There is also an undercurrent of resistance to considering issues of planned relocations now out of a concern that doing so would take pressure off national and international actors to implement mitigation measures w ...
... requires people to step outside their comfort zones and to think in different ways. There is also an undercurrent of resistance to considering issues of planned relocations now out of a concern that doing so would take pressure off national and international actors to implement mitigation measures w ...
Toward a conceptual synthesis for climate change responses
... Colonization: Changes in dispersal to a new area, or in population growth in that new area that allow a new population to persist Conditions: dispersal; suitable habitat for dispersal or recruitment; sufficient dispersal rate in relation to rate of environmental change (Møller et al., 2006); populat ...
... Colonization: Changes in dispersal to a new area, or in population growth in that new area that allow a new population to persist Conditions: dispersal; suitable habitat for dispersal or recruitment; sufficient dispersal rate in relation to rate of environmental change (Møller et al., 2006); populat ...
Adapting social safety net programs to climate change shocks
... benefitted with SSNPs. If the SSN benefits are distributed exclusively to the poor households it would be possible to cover another 22 percent rural climate-poor households. Thus the SSN coverage to climate poor would be elevated to 69 percent nationally. Similarly such figures would rose to about 4 ...
... benefitted with SSNPs. If the SSN benefits are distributed exclusively to the poor households it would be possible to cover another 22 percent rural climate-poor households. Thus the SSN coverage to climate poor would be elevated to 69 percent nationally. Similarly such figures would rose to about 4 ...
Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate
... that it requires (1) detailed parameterization of life histories and physiologies, (2) capturing the complexity of many interacting disturbance factors, and (3) highresolution modeling over very large areas (Lawler et al. 2006). Besides these logistical limitations, there are intrinsic problems with ...
... that it requires (1) detailed parameterization of life histories and physiologies, (2) capturing the complexity of many interacting disturbance factors, and (3) highresolution modeling over very large areas (Lawler et al. 2006). Besides these logistical limitations, there are intrinsic problems with ...
Apocalypse Nicked! - Geoengineering Governance Research
... The CGG Working Paper series is designed to give a first public airing to a wide range of papers broadly related to the project’s themes. Papers published in this series may be, but are not necessarily, early outputs from the project team; equally they may be from other authors, and reflect differen ...
... The CGG Working Paper series is designed to give a first public airing to a wide range of papers broadly related to the project’s themes. Papers published in this series may be, but are not necessarily, early outputs from the project team; equally they may be from other authors, and reflect differen ...
6 Climate change impacts, adaptation measures and vulnerability
... change. A general assessment of vulnerability across sectors was the basis for the original national adaptation strategy of 2005. Subsequently, more detailed studies of vulnerability in specific sectors or specific environments have been made. These include the following (see also Chapter 8): • Wat ...
... change. A general assessment of vulnerability across sectors was the basis for the original national adaptation strategy of 2005. Subsequently, more detailed studies of vulnerability in specific sectors or specific environments have been made. These include the following (see also Chapter 8): • Wat ...
A Preventable Crisis: El Niño and La Niña events need earlier
... need for humanitarian action where the situation is already dire, to prepare for La Niña later this year, to commit to comprehensive new measures to build communities’ resilience, and to mobilize global action to address climate change which is creating a ‘new normal’ of higher temperatures, drought ...
... need for humanitarian action where the situation is already dire, to prepare for La Niña later this year, to commit to comprehensive new measures to build communities’ resilience, and to mobilize global action to address climate change which is creating a ‘new normal’ of higher temperatures, drought ...
Adaptation to climate change starts with human–environment
... all are limited in their capacity to adapt to climate extremes. Despite limited contributions of historical greenhouse gas emissions, developing nations are highly vulnerable to future impacts (AOSIS, 1999; Apuuli et al., 2000). Increasing adaptive capacity to climate change is a development issue t ...
... all are limited in their capacity to adapt to climate extremes. Despite limited contributions of historical greenhouse gas emissions, developing nations are highly vulnerable to future impacts (AOSIS, 1999; Apuuli et al., 2000). Increasing adaptive capacity to climate change is a development issue t ...
Usable Science? The UK Climate Projections 2009
... undertakers’’ (e.g., utility companies and harbor authorities) to report on the risks and benefits posed by changes in climate and how they plan to adapt to them (Defra 2011a). In addition, the Act requires the Government to undertake a U.K.-wide Climate Change Risk Assessment every five years (the ...
... undertakers’’ (e.g., utility companies and harbor authorities) to report on the risks and benefits posed by changes in climate and how they plan to adapt to them (Defra 2011a). In addition, the Act requires the Government to undertake a U.K.-wide Climate Change Risk Assessment every five years (the ...
Environmental Education Research.
... climate system. Limiting climate change will require substantial and sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions.’ Thus, the scientific discourse frames climate change as an environmental problem with immense risk, and as a result, we should take immediate mitigating action. In contrast, the ‘pu ...
... climate system. Limiting climate change will require substantial and sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions.’ Thus, the scientific discourse frames climate change as an environmental problem with immense risk, and as a result, we should take immediate mitigating action. In contrast, the ‘pu ...
Public perception of cold weather events as evidence for
... as evidence against climate change (Cronbach’s α=.89). The other item pair was similarly constructed, but framed the cold weather as evidence for climate change (Cronbach’s α=.87). The wording used for these items is given in Table 1. Each was measured by responses along a five-point scale from ‘str ...
... as evidence against climate change (Cronbach’s α=.89). The other item pair was similarly constructed, but framed the cold weather as evidence for climate change (Cronbach’s α=.87). The wording used for these items is given in Table 1. Each was measured by responses along a five-point scale from ‘str ...
The Implications of Climate Change for the Insurance
... 15th May, 2002. Professor David Crichton1 Chartered Insurance Practitioner, Fellow of the Chartered Insurance Institute. ...
... 15th May, 2002. Professor David Crichton1 Chartered Insurance Practitioner, Fellow of the Chartered Insurance Institute. ...
UK climate change policy: how does it affect competitiveness?
... The UK is an international leader in cutting greenhouse gas emissions, but is not acting alone. The UK is part of a leading group of nations that is taking ambitious policy action on climate change. Also in this group are many of the UK’s major competitors, including France, Germany, Norway, South K ...
... The UK is an international leader in cutting greenhouse gas emissions, but is not acting alone. The UK is part of a leading group of nations that is taking ambitious policy action on climate change. Also in this group are many of the UK’s major competitors, including France, Germany, Norway, South K ...
Winter wren populations show adaptation to local climate
... Most studies of evolutionary responses to climate change have focused on phenological responses to warming, and provide only weak evidence for evolutionary adaptation. This could be because phenological changes are more weakly linked to fitness than more direct mechanisms of climate change impacts, ...
... Most studies of evolutionary responses to climate change have focused on phenological responses to warming, and provide only weak evidence for evolutionary adaptation. This could be because phenological changes are more weakly linked to fitness than more direct mechanisms of climate change impacts, ...
intense precipitation and high river flows in europe
... regions, such as Northern Europe (New et al., 1999; IPCC, 2001a) have been observed. A general increase in precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere mid- and high-latitudes was particularly pronounced in autumn and winter (IPCC, 2001b). Heavy and extreme precipitation events have increased even stron ...
... regions, such as Northern Europe (New et al., 1999; IPCC, 2001a) have been observed. A general increase in precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere mid- and high-latitudes was particularly pronounced in autumn and winter (IPCC, 2001b). Heavy and extreme precipitation events have increased even stron ...
Establishing Accountability for Climate Change Damages: Lessons
... industry became front-page news in the 1990s. The headlines did not tout the fact that tobacco causes lung cancer, which had already been widely reported; instead, they focused on the tobacco industry’s lies to the public, its efforts to target children in its marketing campaigns, and its manipulati ...
... industry became front-page news in the 1990s. The headlines did not tout the fact that tobacco causes lung cancer, which had already been widely reported; instead, they focused on the tobacco industry’s lies to the public, its efforts to target children in its marketing campaigns, and its manipulati ...
pdf
... New York City The climate is changing in many ways, and there is a growing body of literature documenting these changes. Recent observations reported in the National Climate Assessment Public Review Version (NCA; USGCRP, 2013) show that the Northeast of the U.S. is warming and that heavy downpours a ...
... New York City The climate is changing in many ways, and there is a growing body of literature documenting these changes. Recent observations reported in the National Climate Assessment Public Review Version (NCA; USGCRP, 2013) show that the Northeast of the U.S. is warming and that heavy downpours a ...
Do changes in the frequency, magnitude and timing of extreme
... but often these higher sites are unavailable due to inland boundaries such as seawalls (i.e. coastal squeeze). Although faster SLR may cause major habitat loss in the long-term, short-term effects of increased flooding frequencies on birds’ nesting success have received little attention. Catastrophic ...
... but often these higher sites are unavailable due to inland boundaries such as seawalls (i.e. coastal squeeze). Although faster SLR may cause major habitat loss in the long-term, short-term effects of increased flooding frequencies on birds’ nesting success have received little attention. Catastrophic ...