Western Europe is warming much faster than expected
... strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations on a local scale, because the signal-to-noise ratio was too ...
... strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations on a local scale, because the signal-to-noise ratio was too ...
Barry - Climate change publications
... N. Nicholls, G.V. Gruza, T.R. Karl, E.A. Ogallo and D.E. Parker, eds., (6 key authors and 88 contributing authors/including R.G. Barry). In: Observed climate variability and change, Ch. 3. In: J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filko, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg and K. Maskell, eds., Climate cha ...
... N. Nicholls, G.V. Gruza, T.R. Karl, E.A. Ogallo and D.E. Parker, eds., (6 key authors and 88 contributing authors/including R.G. Barry). In: Observed climate variability and change, Ch. 3. In: J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filko, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg and K. Maskell, eds., Climate cha ...
CIAS
... comparable detail for the rest of the economy. The methodology of the model can be described as Post Keynesian, following that of the European model E3ME developed by Cambridge Econometrics (see www.camecon.co.uk/e3me/intro.htm, Barker 1999) except that at the global level various markets are closed ...
... comparable detail for the rest of the economy. The methodology of the model can be described as Post Keynesian, following that of the European model E3ME developed by Cambridge Econometrics (see www.camecon.co.uk/e3me/intro.htm, Barker 1999) except that at the global level various markets are closed ...
Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of
... China adds an additional Alaska’s worth of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere each and every month (over and above its baseline emissions). This leads to the inescapable conclusion that even a complete cessation of all carbon dioxide emissions originating from Alaska would be subsumed by global gree ...
... China adds an additional Alaska’s worth of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere each and every month (over and above its baseline emissions). This leads to the inescapable conclusion that even a complete cessation of all carbon dioxide emissions originating from Alaska would be subsumed by global gree ...
Peter Lee: Ethics of Climate Change Policy
... Ethics is about making choices, something everyone does every day. For the idealist it is about choosing between good and evil, while for the pragmatist it means choosing between lesser evils and greater evils. Politics is also about making choices, and even though politicians will attempt as far as ...
... Ethics is about making choices, something everyone does every day. For the idealist it is about choosing between good and evil, while for the pragmatist it means choosing between lesser evils and greater evils. Politics is also about making choices, and even though politicians will attempt as far as ...
4. an assessment of the role of anthropogenic climate change
... which the 2015 value was essentially matched or exceeded (five) is FAR = 1 − 0.033/0.083 = 0.60. With the caveat that it is based on one ensemble member from one climate model, we conclude from this experiment that climate change has increased the risk of a fire year as severe as 2015 by 34%–60%. Se ...
... which the 2015 value was essentially matched or exceeded (five) is FAR = 1 − 0.033/0.083 = 0.60. With the caveat that it is based on one ensemble member from one climate model, we conclude from this experiment that climate change has increased the risk of a fire year as severe as 2015 by 34%–60%. Se ...
The History of Late 20th and early 21st Century
... produce to international markets, a drastic change would be disastrous, with crops threatened by a loss of soil moisture and new pests suited to the warmer climate (Fleischer et al. 2007).8 An increase in heavy rainfall events could also increase topsoil erosion and soil salinity which damage plant ...
... produce to international markets, a drastic change would be disastrous, with crops threatened by a loss of soil moisture and new pests suited to the warmer climate (Fleischer et al. 2007).8 An increase in heavy rainfall events could also increase topsoil erosion and soil salinity which damage plant ...
BACKGROUND PAPER Prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment
... climate risk and development concerns (p.10). The role of climate change itself – the range of potential futures depending on how much greenhouse gas concentrations are allowed to rise – is a less-explored dimension of the links between climate change and DRR. Yet this dimension is critical for unde ...
... climate risk and development concerns (p.10). The role of climate change itself – the range of potential futures depending on how much greenhouse gas concentrations are allowed to rise – is a less-explored dimension of the links between climate change and DRR. Yet this dimension is critical for unde ...
1 Top-down and Bottom-up Approaches in Climate Change and
... together the major greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters, irrespective of their GDP. The Kyoto Protocol’s stipulation that only Annex I countries reduce their GHG emissions does not reflect today’s or tomorrow’s climate change reality. Major developing countries that are major GHG emitters should also be as ...
... together the major greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters, irrespective of their GDP. The Kyoto Protocol’s stipulation that only Annex I countries reduce their GHG emissions does not reflect today’s or tomorrow’s climate change reality. Major developing countries that are major GHG emitters should also be as ...
Planning for Climate Change Effects on Coastal Margins
... or estuaries. Worldwide, over 20% (some 1.2 billion people) live near a coastline, but this proportion is expected to rise rapidly (IPCC, 2001b). This social pressure for coastal development is largely oblivious to the reality of global warming due to the enhanced greenhouse effect from human activi ...
... or estuaries. Worldwide, over 20% (some 1.2 billion people) live near a coastline, but this proportion is expected to rise rapidly (IPCC, 2001b). This social pressure for coastal development is largely oblivious to the reality of global warming due to the enhanced greenhouse effect from human activi ...
Migration in response to environmental change
... Over coming years, migration flows related to climate change are expected to increase, particularly in the world’s poorest countries. This is because climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of extreme environmental events, such as drought, sea level rise, floods and hurrica ...
... Over coming years, migration flows related to climate change are expected to increase, particularly in the world’s poorest countries. This is because climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of extreme environmental events, such as drought, sea level rise, floods and hurrica ...
Climate Change: An Agenda for Global Collective Action
... future atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. For these illustrative scenarios, the IPCC projected that carbon dioxide concentrations in 2100 would range between 540 and 970 ppm (about 50 to 165 percent greater than the current concentration). Higher greenhouse gas concentrations would incr ...
... future atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. For these illustrative scenarios, the IPCC projected that carbon dioxide concentrations in 2100 would range between 540 and 970 ppm (about 50 to 165 percent greater than the current concentration). Higher greenhouse gas concentrations would incr ...
Future wave conditions at the German Baltic Sea Coast on
... coastline of Germany through a dialogue between academics, economists, policy-makers and the public. In the field of coastal protection, the most important task is the development of future protection strategies for the German Baltic Sea Coast. Therefore existing coastal protection strategies and me ...
... coastline of Germany through a dialogue between academics, economists, policy-makers and the public. In the field of coastal protection, the most important task is the development of future protection strategies for the German Baltic Sea Coast. Therefore existing coastal protection strategies and me ...
Hydroclimatic changes and drivers in the Sava River Catchment and
... 2011; Asokan and Destouni 2014). In order to improve our predictive capability for future hydroclimatic changes, there is a need to increase understanding of water changes and their main drivers by further studies of such change manifestations under climatic and land/water-use conditions prevailing ...
... 2011; Asokan and Destouni 2014). In order to improve our predictive capability for future hydroclimatic changes, there is a need to increase understanding of water changes and their main drivers by further studies of such change manifestations under climatic and land/water-use conditions prevailing ...
Developing a climate change analysis
... yields when conditions are good as it is about increasing resilience to climate shocks when conditions are bad. Given the multiple external factors (climate and non-climate related) that impact on livelihoods, it is important to demonstrate that adaptation is a response to the observed and predicted ...
... yields when conditions are good as it is about increasing resilience to climate shocks when conditions are bad. Given the multiple external factors (climate and non-climate related) that impact on livelihoods, it is important to demonstrate that adaptation is a response to the observed and predicted ...
A critical exploration of the concept of `climate stabilization`
... appealing, particularly with the history of examining the climatic response to a doubling of CO2 (as discussed below) (see also Weart, 2003). Climate policy, however, has used a reverse logic of these three diagrammatic links to set out future necessary changes in emissions pathways (Fig. 2). Implic ...
... appealing, particularly with the history of examining the climatic response to a doubling of CO2 (as discussed below) (see also Weart, 2003). Climate policy, however, has used a reverse logic of these three diagrammatic links to set out future necessary changes in emissions pathways (Fig. 2). Implic ...
The Long Time Scales of Human-Caused Climate Warming: Further
... strategy), with very large coping and adaptation costs decades and centuries from now. This is the Global Warming Dilemma. The Global Warming Dilemma arises because of a number of separate physical effects operative in the climate system, the sum of which are almost guaranteed to shape future policy ...
... strategy), with very large coping and adaptation costs decades and centuries from now. This is the Global Warming Dilemma. The Global Warming Dilemma arises because of a number of separate physical effects operative in the climate system, the sum of which are almost guaranteed to shape future policy ...
50 years of urbanization in Africa: Assessing the role of climate change
... more long-term changes to the overall shift in climate, with typical intervals of 25 years or more. The push of people to cities because of reduced moisture raises another critical question. Does this push raise urban incomes and stimulate development of the urban sector? The answer is theoretically ...
... more long-term changes to the overall shift in climate, with typical intervals of 25 years or more. The push of people to cities because of reduced moisture raises another critical question. Does this push raise urban incomes and stimulate development of the urban sector? The answer is theoretically ...
Climatic Threat Spaces as a Tool to Assess Current and Future
... Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC), is a series of papers and paper abstracts written by researchers participating in the AIACC project. Papers published in AIACC Working Papers have been peer reviewed and accepted for publication in the on-line series as being (i) fundamentally sound in their me ...
... Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC), is a series of papers and paper abstracts written by researchers participating in the AIACC project. Papers published in AIACC Working Papers have been peer reviewed and accepted for publication in the on-line series as being (i) fundamentally sound in their me ...
Turn Down The heaT: why a 4°C warmer worlD musT Be avoiDeD
... countries and especially the poor. A 4°C world would be one of unprecedented heat waves, severe drought, and major floods in many regions, with serious impacts on ecosystems and associated services. But with action, a 4°C world can be avoided and we can likely hold warming below 2°C. Without further ...
... countries and especially the poor. A 4°C world would be one of unprecedented heat waves, severe drought, and major floods in many regions, with serious impacts on ecosystems and associated services. But with action, a 4°C world can be avoided and we can likely hold warming below 2°C. Without further ...
Heat Turn Down the 74455
... countries and especially the poor. A 4°C world would be one of unprecedented heat waves, severe drought, and major floods in many regions, with serious impacts on ecosystems and associated services. But with action, a 4°C world can be avoided and we can likely hold warming below 2°C. Without further ...
... countries and especially the poor. A 4°C world would be one of unprecedented heat waves, severe drought, and major floods in many regions, with serious impacts on ecosystems and associated services. But with action, a 4°C world can be avoided and we can likely hold warming below 2°C. Without further ...
Turn Down - Climate Analytics
... countries and especially the poor. A 4°C world would be one of unprecedented heat waves, severe drought, and major floods in many regions, with serious impacts on ecosystems and associated services. But with action, a 4°C world can be avoided and we can likely hold warming below 2°C. Without further ...
... countries and especially the poor. A 4°C world would be one of unprecedented heat waves, severe drought, and major floods in many regions, with serious impacts on ecosystems and associated services. But with action, a 4°C world can be avoided and we can likely hold warming below 2°C. Without further ...
(GCOS) PROGRAM Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS, Office of
... • Application to National Economic Development • demonstrated benefits of climate forecasts in support of agriculture • advance forecasts of El Niño/La Niña events • improved tropical storm and extreme weather prediction • increased lead times for drought prediction ...
... • Application to National Economic Development • demonstrated benefits of climate forecasts in support of agriculture • advance forecasts of El Niño/La Niña events • improved tropical storm and extreme weather prediction • increased lead times for drought prediction ...