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Seasons, Temperature, Global Warming
Seasons, Temperature, Global Warming

The Evidence
The Evidence

... “No one will be immune, but climate change will have a disproportionate effect on the lives of people living in poverty in developing countries. Between 1990 and 1998, 94 per cent of the world’s 568 major natural disasters, and more than 97 per cent of all natural disaster-related deaths, were in de ...
cutting-edge climate science and services
cutting-edge climate science and services

... 7 days in the mid-latitudes. But beyond that not a lot of skill in forecasting – and what we do have is probably due to tropical forcing. Whereas, in the tropics, short term predictability is low. Forecasters rarely beat persistence on 1 - 3 day time-scales unless there is a major synoptic event lik ...
Powerpoint file
Powerpoint file

... “Global warming caused by green house gases emitted into the air is a result of the human activities.” “… emission reduction efforts alone are unlikely to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations at levels low enough to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” “Accumulat ...
article
article

... resulting floods are spectacular and in some areas catastrophic. The Pacific Ocean has been experiencing what's known as a "La Niña" event, essentially the opposite of the better known El Niño, when the water around Indonesia is even hotter than normal. This produces even stronger storms in the area ...
Scientific Heresy - Watts Up With That?
Scientific Heresy - Watts Up With That?

... gas, the climate has been warming and that man is very likely to be at least partly responsible. When a study was published recently saying that 98% of scientists ‘believe’ in global warming, I looked at the questions they had been asked and realized I was in the 98%, too, by that definition, though ...
GWPF curry seminar
GWPF curry seminar

... Implications for the future: II. View emphasizing natural variability • The ‘pause’ will continue at least another decade (into the 2030’s?) • Climate models are too sensitive to human forcing; 21st century warming will be on the low end of IPCC projections (or even below) • Solar variations & volc ...
Resolution Passed by the US Labor Against the War National
Resolution Passed by the US Labor Against the War National

... Whereas, according to NASA, ninety-seven percent of climate scientists agree that climate-warming trends over the past century are very likely due to human activities, and most of the leading scientific organizations worldwide have issued public statements endorsing this position; and Whereas, the p ...
Opinions About Climate Change Among Non
Opinions About Climate Change Among Non

... about scientists - A preliminary analysis indicates that students appear less likely to accept climate change if they don’t believe there is a consensus among scientists.  Emphasize hard-data in lectures and perhaps tie this into active learning activities such as analyzing a CO2 or temperature dat ...
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis

... • Paleoclimate information supports the interpretation that the warmth of the last half century is unusual in at least the previous 1300 years. The last time the polar regions were significantly warmer than present for an extended period (about 125,000 years ago), reductions in polar ice volume led ...
FRBSF E L CONOMIC ETTER
FRBSF E L CONOMIC ETTER

pices xv - North Pacific Marine Science Organization
pices xv - North Pacific Marine Science Organization

... simulate the main character of ENSO events. The cycle simulated by the established coupled model is 2.5years, which is close to the observed value of 2.8-years, while it is 5-years for the original coupled model. The difference of the amplitude decreases from 2.412° to 1.035°, and the improvement re ...
What is Climate Change? Gases that trap heat in the atmosphere
What is Climate Change? Gases that trap heat in the atmosphere

... that rising temperatures are causing wide ranging effects, such as more extreme heat waves, more high ozone days, sea level rise, threats to natural habitats, loss of snow pack, increased magnitude and frequency of wildfires, and more drought years. Scientists predict that the earth’s temperature wi ...
mechanisms and consequences of climate change
mechanisms and consequences of climate change

... It may be interesting to note that for thousands of years the climate on earth was stable. Then slowly (very slowly) starting to cool down towards a new ice age, until human activities after 1750 reversed the development. As a consequence, the earth’s average temperature has increased approximately ...
Climate Change Q & A
Climate Change Q & A

... threatening us in the future?  Climate Change has brought destructive influences.  The global warming effect is an accumulated result and human beings are the contributors.  To save the earth, everybody should know what we can do to help cool down the earth.  Let’s answer the following questions ...
PHILIP ALLAN UPDATES - SLC Geog A Level Blog
PHILIP ALLAN UPDATES - SLC Geog A Level Blog

AP Chapter 19 - Madeira City Schools
AP Chapter 19 - Madeira City Schools

... recently d. CO2 levels have fluctuated over the last 400,000 years and the current warming pattern fits that trend 20. How many degrees Celsius are average global temperatures expected to rise by 2100? ...
Hydrologic Implications of Climate Change for the Western US
Hydrologic Implications of Climate Change for the Western US

... Relatively small overall changes because effects of warming (decreased risks) and increased precipitation variability (increased risks) are in the opposite directions. ...
Global Climate Change
Global Climate Change

... Scientists are unable to precisely model the nature of this process  General atmospheric warming due to human pollution is highly probable  Polar ice caps may partially melt raising sea level  Some parts of the land may receive less rain while others receive more ...
Geography – Book 7
Geography – Book 7

Blame The Sun - Wendell Krossa
Blame The Sun - Wendell Krossa

... As the source of most of our planet’s energy, it is astounding that more scientists did not suspect the sun to be the driver of today’s global warming. We were clearly misled by the apparent temperature-CO2 correlation as well as our lack of appreciation of the variable nature of our home star. Unt ...
El Nino and La Nina
El Nino and La Nina

... the weather in the north milder  Gulf Stream can carry heat from the equator to the mid latitudes in a month (mean flow: 100 mil. m3 of water per second)  they carry water vapour  they help to remove CO2 from the atmosphere  warm waters has less CO2 than colder waters ...
In a Hotter World, Economies May Melt Down
In a Hotter World, Economies May Melt Down

... economic losses larger than 20 percent of current income is at least 40 percent, and much higher in some scenarios. These estimates are substantially larger than existing models indicate, a difference the researchers attribute to their updated and data-driven understanding of how countries have hist ...
CLIMATE_NRE_480_L02_Intro_Science_Response_20160114
CLIMATE_NRE_480_L02_Intro_Science_Response_20160114

... are often attributed to Fourier (1768-1830). (I will call this the greenhouse effect.) • Significant improvements to the quantification of the warming due to greenhouse gases is attributed to Tyndall (1820-1893) • Arrhenius in the late 1800s made estimates of the impact of doubled carbon dioxide ...
Climate Change: possible impacts on coastal systems
Climate Change: possible impacts on coastal systems

... Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I (WG I) –Physical Science Basis Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of global average air and ocean temperature, widespread melting of snow and ice and rising sea levels Eleven of the last twelve years (1995-2006) ran ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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