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Global Warming, the End of Life as We Know It?
Global Warming, the End of Life as We Know It?

...  We are basically using past data that may not be completely accurate ...
Climate_models_2012 - The Global Change Program at the
Climate_models_2012 - The Global Change Program at the

... Prediction into the future is difficult, but necessary… ...
its
its

... • 20 emitted by ground • 102 emitted by oceans • 88 emitted from clouds • 130 emitted from greenhouse gases in the atmosphere • 340 in = 340 out ...
Chapter 9 - cloudfront.net
Chapter 9 - cloudfront.net

... The equilibrium global mean temperature = temperature at the same time the climate finally stops changing (i.e. after all the committed warming has occurred) above the pre-industrial temperature. ...
Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate A Report of NIPCC
Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate A Report of NIPCC

... • NIPCC vs. IPCC: • What NIPCC did was to ‘connect the dots’ -using the available information from model results and observations • The same information was available to the IPCC from published work, including also from the US Government’s CCSP Report [2006] • But IPCC chose to ignore these facts, b ...
Climate models and climate change projections (part 2)
Climate models and climate change projections (part 2)

... extremes will decrease ...
I am Climate Change One Pager - CRS University
I am Climate Change One Pager - CRS University

... problem, they’re hit the hardest. It’s essential that wealthier nations help people in the developing world adapt. A leader in climate change adaptation, CRS is providing small farmers and poor communities with strategic ways to deal with climate change. We also have an opportunity to urge policy an ...
Lecture #10 Global Climate Change
Lecture #10 Global Climate Change

... policies (IPCC, 2007) . SRES - (Special Report on Emission Scenarios, 2000). ...
a declaration
a declaration

... recognition of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report and its conclusion that global emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) need to peak in the next 10–15 years and be reduced to very low levels, well below half of levels in 2000 by the middle of the twenty-first century. We are ...
Suspended particle matters, aerosols, in the atmosphere (e.g., soot
Suspended particle matters, aerosols, in the atmosphere (e.g., soot

f(x) - Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences
f(x) - Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

... Vary uncertainty model input parameters x (prior distribution of y) Compare model output, m (‘internal’ model variables) with observations, o, to estimate the skill of each model version ...
hurrellhighlights
hurrellhighlights

... future climate. A recent model intercomparison by David Lawrence demonstrated that the degree of land-atmosphere interaction varies widely between current state-of-the-art atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs). Effects of Land Cover Changes as Part of the IPCC Assessment Johannes Feddema of ...
Learning about past catastrophes from the present perturbation
Learning about past catastrophes from the present perturbation

Climate Prediction: Lessons from Simple Non-Linear Systems
Climate Prediction: Lessons from Simple Non-Linear Systems

... This is usually interpreted as the provision of predictions of future climate since such information is seen as important to motivate greenhouse gas emission reductions (mitigation) and to facilitate preparation for the changes ahead (adaptation). In both cases climate predictions are sought for eve ...
Model
Model

... • Simulations of the climate of the last 1000 years show a larger amplitude in the temperature variability than the proxy reconstructions • The models predict a climate change between 1.4 and 5.8 K. If the uncertainty is taken into account, it might well extend beyond 8 K ...
Climate Change Mini-Lecture PowerPoint
Climate Change Mini-Lecture PowerPoint

... • Changes in the AVERAGES (temperature, precipitation, etc.) • Not simply specific weather events. • Global warming contributes to climate change – Increase in the average global temperature – Leads to changes in weather – Leads to changes in long-term climate patterns ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... faster than predicted • Triple problem of “built in” CC, economic/social response time and peak ...
2Dclimate / Uploaded File
2Dclimate / Uploaded File

... – Anywhere pollen can be found, it will tell you the plant species that lived around the location at the time the sediments were deposited, thus the temperature range at the time of deposition ...
10. Future Climate Change
10. Future Climate Change

... policies (IPCC, 2007) . SRES - (Special Report on Emission Scenarios, 2000). ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... climate modelling tool which can be used to provide accurate climate change scenarios in the regional scale. The model was applied in SE Europe and the first results of a 3-year simulation of the recent past are validated here for the region of Cyprus. Attention is given to the UT/LS region where ch ...
SuMMaRy oF analySES CaRRIEd out FoR thE ESCRIME
SuMMaRy oF analySES CaRRIEd out FoR thE ESCRIME

... limitations of the models in terms of both mean state and variability, by comparing them with recent observations. For the future and for the SRES-A2 scenario (continued growth of emissions), both models simulate a fairly similar change in temperatures (Fig. A1 and A2). For precipitation, on the oth ...
Earth System Models - PAGES
Earth System Models - PAGES

... processes within and between the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere, and the terrestrial and marine biosphere. These underlying equations contain information about physical, chemical and biological mechanisms governing the rates of change of the elements of the Earth System. External drivers of the ...
No Slide Title
No Slide Title

... Jim Hurrell ...
Contributed White Papers:presented July27-28
Contributed White Papers:presented July27-28

... Past, Present and Future Climates - J Kiehl • Climate sensitivity • Human induced: GHG & Aerosols • Modes of climate variability and abrupt change • Responses of climate system: water availability, air quality ...
Document
Document

... Global temperature and Greenhouse gases ...
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General circulation model

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