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Ch. 7.1 - Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming
Ch. 7.1 - Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming

... The United States has long been the largest emitter of greenhouse gases, with about 20% of total worldwide emissions in 2004. As a result of China’s rapid economic growth, its emissions surpassed those of the United States in 2008. However, it’s also important to keep in mind that the United States ...
NAME - UW Atmospheric Sciences
NAME - UW Atmospheric Sciences

... FY05 – Evaluate impact of data from NAME 2004 on operational analyses. (COMPLETED) FY06 – Assess global and regional model simulations of the 2004 North American monsoon (NAMAP -II). (IN PROGRESS) FY07 – Evaluate impact of changes in model parameterization schemes (NAME CPT). (IN PROGRESS) FY08 – Qu ...
climate change, conflict and cooperation in southern africa
climate change, conflict and cooperation in southern africa

... consideration of expected climate change impacts within foreign and security policy communities can help to strengthen climate diplomacy efforts at various levels – in Durban at COP 17 and beyond. He also reminded that while climate change acts as a risk multiplier, the trend toward a globalised soc ...
1 AT A GLANCE Temperatures across the Rio Grande
1 AT A GLANCE Temperatures across the Rio Grande

... SMN forecasts use statistical models, based on similar years from history. The SMN forecasts give higher significance to the role of the Atlantic Ocean in the analogue years used, (2) NOAA predicts shifts in the probability of precipitation, whereas the SMN predicts precipitation amounts, and (3) NO ...
European Temperate, Humid Continental Climate Building
European Temperate, Humid Continental Climate Building

... doubt will differ significantly from the worldwide predictions. For example alpine regions are expected to undergo a much stronger warming process than lower or even coastal influenced regions. In Austria, a three year research program on the predicted effects of climate change on a regional scale w ...
Climate change in cities due to global warming and urban
Climate change in cities due to global warming and urban

... are not intended to represent formal projections, but are within reasonable bounds of current and future energy projections, and therefore represent plausible values for quantifying sensitivity. The equivalent global forcing from the additional energy input is 0.01Wm−2 and 0.03Wm−2 at 20Wm−2 and 60W ...
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PPT - OptiRisk Systems

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Met 10 - Department of Meteorology and Climate Science

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... changes in the past few decades, driven by both natural and anthropogenic factors, such as changes in ecosystem productivity, fire and land use. Land surface changes can potentially influence local and regional climate through land-atmosphere interactions. Greenhouse gas emissions, socioeconomics an ...
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... that the basic projections-namely, that a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 will cause a 2-4°C average global temperature increase, amplified to 1012'C at the North Pole-are essentially correct. Other climate model projections, such as regional patterns of precipitation, variations in polar ice cover, an ...
An Assessment of Sustainable Maize Production for Smallholder
An Assessment of Sustainable Maize Production for Smallholder

... the Conformal-Cubic Atmospheric Model (C-CAM), a regional climate model developed by the CSIRO in Australia. C-CAM was validated for present climate conditions (1975-2005) and then applied for simulations of a 2070-2100 future climate over southern and tropical Africa by Engelbrecht (2005). Based on ...
Module e – Impact assessment
Module e – Impact assessment

... • Two main groups of choice for indicator – Midpoint-oriented place indicators relatively close to the interventions. – These have the advantage of relying primarily on scientific information and well-proven facts – The amount of subjectivity and uncertainty involved is limited. ...
Russia and Neighbouring Countries: Environmental, Economic and
Russia and Neighbouring Countries: Environmental, Economic and

... have become more frequent. It has become increasingly likely that these are not simply freak events but part of a larger pattern of destruction caused by global warming. Scientists have reached overwhelming consensus that human behaviour, especially the burning of coal, oil and gas and the destructi ...
Case Study: Belgian coast and coastal flooding
Case Study: Belgian coast and coastal flooding

... Figure 1.2: Flood risk prediction based on current velocity of a storm event, produced by MikeFlood. Blankenberge and Nieuwpoort are show to be most at risk due to coastal flooding. The above example and methodology is based on the framework of CLIMAR for the European project SAFECOAST. Blankenberg ...
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El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global - adv

... Other models suggested a different ENSO response to enhanced GHG concentrations (e.g. Noda et al. (1999b) as cited by the IPCC, 2001). This study demonstrated a La Niña-like response under a warming world. Other models (e.g. Cai and Whetton, 2000) reproduced an initial La Niña like pattern, which ...
Climate change induced loss and damage in Pakistan
Climate change induced loss and damage in Pakistan

... Further, by the end of the 21st century (2081 – 2100), global surface temperatures are expected to increase by over 1.5°C, while warming is likely to exceed 2°C based on all but 1 of the RCPs used in the 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)5. Precipitation is ...
The idea of anthropogenic global climate change in the 20th century
The idea of anthropogenic global climate change in the 20th century

... growth of human activity, especially chemical pollution and nuclear armaments, was showing that humanity really could affect the entire atmosphere. Moreover, during the 1960s research suggested that small perturbations might lead to an abrupt change in the climate system. Although nobody expected se ...
Climate and Happiness
Climate and Happiness

... the hottest month decrease happiness. Precipitation does not significantly affect happiness. In particular high latitude countries included in our dataset might benefit from temperature changes. Countries already characterized by very high summer temperatures would most likely suffer losses from cli ...
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... Cobourg differently to: -avoid runaway climate change -become healthier -save our farmland ...
The shape of things to come: why is climate change so predictable?
The shape of things to come: why is climate change so predictable?

... of the probability distribution of global mean surface temperature response to climate forcing. It is shown that ocean heat uptake, which delays and damps the temperature rise, can be represented as a transient negative feedback. This transient negative feedback causes the transient climate change t ...
Detection and Attribution of External Influences on the Climate System
Detection and Attribution of External Influences on the Climate System

... even though they are obtained by averaging across an ensemble of forced climate change simulations. The presence of this noise in the signal may bias ordinary least squares estimates of a downward, particularly if ony a small ensemble is available to estimate signals that have small signal-to-noise ...
Impact of climate change on Least Developed Countries: are the
Impact of climate change on Least Developed Countries: are the

... enable achievement of the others) / 6 UNFCCC.2002. Climate Change Information Sheet 10. See: http://unfccc.int / 7 Stott, C. 2014. An Examination of the Least Developed Countries in the IPCC AR5 WGII. IIED Issue Paper, London. / 8 Wright, H and Chandani, A. 2014. Gender in scaling up community-based ...
20 - Department of Economics
20 - Department of Economics

... The global average surface temperature is now about 0.8C (0.8 degree Celsius) higher than the pre-industrial time. Under the current trend, the world is on track towards a long-term warming between 4C and 8C. At this level of global warming, the world would be in an extreme greenhouse state not ...
Aalborg Universitet Heiselberg, Per Kvols
Aalborg Universitet Heiselberg, Per Kvols

... 2.2 Climate scenarios Table 2 summarizes the climate scenarios considered in this study. As references, building’s performance for the climate of Växjö are modelled ...
climate change on water resources
climate change on water resources

... human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and that is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods”. ...
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