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McCarl, B.A., J. Chen, and A. Thayer, "Climate change and food
McCarl, B.A., J. Chen, and A. Thayer, "Climate change and food

... Although the lowest IPCC scenario (RCP 2.6) only projects 1oC of warming, this scenario is not likely as it is predicated on peak CO2 emissions occurring in the year 2020 and then declining and becoming negative by 2100 (IPCC, 2014c). The more likely range is that by 2040, global surface temperature ...
Our Dynamic Climate - science-b
Our Dynamic Climate - science-b

... • Solar output = drives temperature change on Earth’s surface - The Sun varies in the radiation it emits - Variation in solar energy (i.e., solar flares) has not been great enough to change Earth’s temperature • Ocean absorption = the ocean holds 50 times more carbon than the atmosphere and absorbs ...
A DYNAMIC SIMULATION MODEL OF CARBON CIRCULATION
A DYNAMIC SIMULATION MODEL OF CARBON CIRCULATION

... Keywords: anthropogenic climate change, carbon circulation, methane feedback, permafrost melting 1. INTRODUCTION Of all the environmental issues that have emerged in the past few decades, global climate change is the most serious, and the most difficult to manage (Dessler and Parson, 2007). Althoug ...
ficha proyecto para taller de adaptación
ficha proyecto para taller de adaptación

... Ngobe Buglé Territory and La Villa in Arco Seco. These have been chosen because of their high levels of degradation and pressure on natural resources, as well as their extreme poverty. The beneficiary population is estimated at 400,364 inhabitants, comprising 206,707 men and 193,657 women, according ...
Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and
Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and

... THC is unlikely during the next 20 years (IPCC, 2007), but previous studies have revealed substantial uncertainties in the model’s THC response (Stouffer et al., 2006). The THC is potentially sensitive to the addition of freshwater and to changes in surface fluxes induced by natural variability or b ...
Global Warming Resources to Sustain a Collection
Global Warming Resources to Sustain a Collection

... years (primarily because of deforestation and farming), not just in the last two hundred years. The book is footnoted with references to many peer-reviewed publications but written in a very accessible style. It is sure to become a classic. For academic and public libraries. Sweet, William. Kicking ...
on the occasion of the Sport, Environment and Climate Change
on the occasion of the Sport, Environment and Climate Change

... Climate Change acknowledged that climate change is the threat to human existence and its adverse effects are a common concern to humankind and that the global nature of climate change calls for the widest possible cooperation by all humanity and countries; and further call for their selfless partici ...
Global public health and climate change
Global public health and climate change

... Fourth Ministerial Conference on Environment and Health, Budapest, 23-25 June 2004 ...
Climate change and vulnerability: Pushing people over the
Climate change and vulnerability: Pushing people over the

Hearts or minds? Identifying persuasive messages on climate change
Hearts or minds? Identifying persuasive messages on climate change

... Tingley and Tomz (2013) find that most people do not adjust the level of policy support contingent upon what other states do. Although not central to their analysis, they find that such unconditional support for action on climate change does not change with people who anticipate higher energy costs. ...
IPCC
IPCC

... II. Projections and impacts Climate change could lead to some abrupt or irreversible impacts Partial loss of ice sheets on polar land could imply several metres of sea level rise 20-30% of species are likely to be at risk of extinction if increases in warming exceed 1.5-2.5°C ...
9 Holocene rapid land-cover changes – evidence and theory
9 Holocene rapid land-cover changes – evidence and theory

... system in West Africa. The basic concept of such a stability analysis is outlined by Scheffer et al. (2001). They showed that, generally speaking, a system can reveal different stability characteristics. The system could change gradually, or even linearly, when external conditions change (see Figure ...
Does climate change knowledge really matter?
Does climate change knowledge really matter?

Carbon Sequestration via Wood Burial
Carbon Sequestration via Wood Burial

... 2C. SST and dynamical mechanisms Our analysis has singled out the importance of dry season precipitation change. The question naturally arises as to the robustness and mechanisms of such changes. The opposite change during the wet season, suggests that complex factors may be in play. We have identif ...
publications - Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
publications - Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

... variability over Southern Africa. J. Climate, 13, 3789-3804. Cook, K.H., 1999: Generation of the African Easterly Jet and its role in determining West African precipitation. J. Climate,12, 1165-1184. Ringler, T.D., and K.H.Cook, 1999: Understanding the seasonality of orographically forced stationary ...
Near surface layers and global climate change with its implications
Near surface layers and global climate change with its implications

... 2. Carbon Dioxide – a minor but very important gas, it is released by natural processes and human activities, which have increased atmospheric concentration is thought to be a major forced causing of climate change. 3. Methane – an active, but less abundant gas is produced both through natural sour ...
Phillip_Staddon___Winter_Mortality
Phillip_Staddon___Winter_Mortality

... All numbers are simulated and based on average low monthly mean. The simulation is not intended to accurately reflect day to day variation. The results do not attempt to predict the future; they simply highlight that the assumption that an increased mean average winter temperature will substantially ...
Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and
Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and

... case studies in selected districts. This method may be used to assess differential vulnerability for any particular sector within a nation or region, and it can serve as a basis for targeting policy interventions. We focus on India’s agricultural vulnerability to two stressors: climate change and ec ...
The role of nitrogen in climate change and the impacts of nitrogen
The role of nitrogen in climate change and the impacts of nitrogen

... N year-1 in 2002 (SAB 2011; Alexander et al. 2008). North American riverine N export to the coastal zone, inlands and drylands was estimated at approximately 7.0 Tg N year-1 (Boyer et al. 2006). Adverse effects range from eutrophication and acidification to human health risks, biodiversity loss, and ...
Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal
Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal

... THC is unlikely during the next 20 years (IPCC, 2007), but previous studies have revealed substantial uncertainties in the model’s THC response (Stouffer et al., 2006). The THC is potentially sensitive to the addition of freshwater and to changes in surface fluxes induced by natural variability or b ...
event at the Madrid EPP convention, Madrid, 8
event at the Madrid EPP convention, Madrid, 8

... development are the principal factors responsible for the documented increasing losses to date. ...
climate change analysis - University of York File Library
climate change analysis - University of York File Library

... 1.3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY The study on which this report is based was a “desk review.” It involved a collection of documents as well as a comprehensive review of the collected documents in light of land related legislation. Literatures pertaining to climate change generally, as well as land and natur ...
Climate change and mass extinction: What can we learn from 200
Climate change and mass extinction: What can we learn from 200

... global warming was wholly, or in part, responsible for any of the five great 'mass extinction events' that punctuated the history of life on Earth. In this paper I will review the long term record of atmospheric carbon dioxide from computer modelling and fossil plant evidence and briefly illustrate ...
Climate change, development, poverty and economics
Climate change, development, poverty and economics

... so to does the average global land and sea temperature. With higher temperatures and more energy there is increased intensity and variability within the global climate system, leading to fluctuations or changes in local and regional weather patterns. Risks The implications of this complex causal ch ...
Climate Trends and Projections for the South Sask. River
Climate Trends and Projections for the South Sask. River

... for the past 600 years. This report also compares these two sets of climate observations to climate changes projected for the next 50 years as derived from global climate models (GCMs). Also included is a discussion of the modes and causes of the internal variability of the regional climate. The obj ...
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Climate sensitivity

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