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1950-2100
1950-2100

... project several RCMs runs have been produced at a high horizontal resolution (25km).  The control run represents the base period 1961-1990 ...
Kate Meyer and David Merry
Kate Meyer and David Merry

... global warming to remain below 2˚C. As per the Discussion Document, in order to stay below 2˚C warming we must limit global emissions to a maximum of 2900 billion tonnes CO2-e. If all countries submit targets similar to those submitted by the United States and the EU for 2030, then in 2030 we will a ...
Climate Stabilization at 2°C and Net Zero Carbon Emissions
Climate Stabilization at 2°C and Net Zero Carbon Emissions

... to prevent surface temperature from rising further. A major reason for our results is that the land and ocean uptake rates are a function of the total atmospheric CO2 concentration and, due to the very long lifetime of CO2, this does not decrease anywhere near as fast as the imposed CO2 emissions. T ...
Impact of Climate Change Heating and Cooling Energy Use in
Impact of Climate Change Heating and Cooling Energy Use in

... as a result of global warming [6]. However, the impact of climate change on heating and cooling energy use in different locations will vary because of their different climates [3, 7]. A detailed analysis of heating and cooling energy use in the future is needed to better understand the impact of cli ...
BACKGROUND PAPER Prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment
BACKGROUND PAPER Prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment

... Efforts to reduce disaster risks and climate change risks have co-existed for a long time, and in the last two decades, they have increasingly been linked. In particular, the relationship between climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction has received significant attention (Mercer, 2010; ...
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The Role Of Halocarbons In The Climate Change Of The
The Role Of Halocarbons In The Climate Change Of The

... the temperature change from other possible perturbations to the radiative balance of the region (see figure legend for details). These perturbations are for illustrative purposes and are not designed to be realistic. Using present day mixing ratios, Figure 2 shows the latitudinally resolved total ex ...
Glaciers and climate change in the Karakoram
Glaciers and climate change in the Karakoram

... ….are that there will be fifty years of glacial retreat, during which time river flows will increase… But then the glacial reservoirs will be empty, and there are likely to be dramatic decreases in river flows–…conceivably by a terrifying 30% to 40% in the Indus basin in one hundred years time (Sour ...
BRAZIL IN SOUTH AMERICAN INTEGRATION AND GLOBAL AND  EDUARDO VIOLA (**)
BRAZIL IN SOUTH AMERICAN INTEGRATION AND GLOBAL AND EDUARDO VIOLA (**)

... September 2008 that put the country close to a new default of its public debt – and further erosion of institutions by the low popularity and isolationist course of the Kirchner government; and fourth, Brazil in an economic and political modernization course - with high popularity of President Lula ...
the global warming- extreme weather link
the global warming- extreme weather link

... present debate on global warming science may have begun with a landmark paper by Revelle and Suess (1956), which postulated that: …humans are carrying out a large-scale geophysical experiment through world-wide industrial activity that could lead to build-up of atmospheric carbon dioxide greater tha ...
The Blueprint for Coffee in a Changing Climate
The Blueprint for Coffee in a Changing Climate

... That the climate has changed, is changing, and will continue to change is not in question; the question is what we should be doing, as an industry, to make sure coffee survives and thrives as the production landscape shifts. While a changing climate impacts everyone on the planet, some people— like ...
Tropical Forests and Climate Policy
Tropical Forests and Climate Policy

... per hectare. Compensating landowners to keep their land in these reductions are not simply forests instead of creating pastures could be done at relatively low traded off against less emission carbon prices (16). reductions from fossil fuels. Beyond protecting the cliare promising examples of countr ...
Rising Temperatures, Rising Tensions
Rising Temperatures, Rising Tensions

... global food prices increasingly volatile, further politicizing the issue of food security. As populations and demand for food grow, this could further increase domestic pressure for Syria or the Palestinian Authority to secure the return of occupied lands and shift the strategic calculations in Isra ...
Suggestions to the 12 th ASOF meeting
Suggestions to the 12 th ASOF meeting

... among its members in preventing forest destruction, combating desertification, restoring and rehabilitating degraded lands, and promoting SFM for mitigating and adapting climate change ...
Inuit population
Inuit population

... adaptive capacity and sensitivity in vulnerability research emphasizes the importance of nonclimatic factors – including sources of livelihoods, assets, access to resources, globalization, institutional networks, education, gender, race, ethnicity, and poverty – in amplifying or attenuating vulnerab ...
Framing Strategies to Minimize Impacts on Pennsylvania
Framing Strategies to Minimize Impacts on Pennsylvania

... more extreme climates—for example, the Arctic region and the arid lands of Mongolia—the impacts of climate change are more marked than in temperate climates like that of Pennsylvania. Even in Pennsylvania, however, the effects of climate change are starting to appear. On average, spring is arriving ...
Kyoto and Beyond - European Business Council for Sustainable
Kyoto and Beyond - European Business Council for Sustainable

... The IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR) (IPCC, 2001 a) highlighted the following observed changes in climate indicators: • The global average surface temperature has increased over the 20th century by about 0.6°C. Globally, it is very likely that the 1990s was the warmest decade and 1998 the warmest ...
How the IPCC invented a new calculus in 2010. http
How the IPCC invented a new calculus in 2010. http

... trend lines on the temperature curve as in the TS and Chapter 3 as being better than the alternatives. A linear fit may not be a good one but when one is trying to make the smallest number of assumptions it is more defensible than for example putting in seemingly arbitrary break-points... The monoto ...
Sapling performance across a montane deciduous/coniferous
Sapling performance across a montane deciduous/coniferous

... Climate change effects on New England montane forests: evidence from the past, implications for the future Matthew Landis ...
Explaining Public Support for Climate Change Mitigation Policies
Explaining Public Support for Climate Change Mitigation Policies

... ones that looks closely at the environmental policy support behaviour of the general public. The authors measured environmental policy support, which was labelled as „Policy Support‟ in their VBN model, by the following three items:  „I would be willing to pay much higher taxes in order to protect ...
changes in high flows in Sweden in the past and the future (1911
changes in high flows in Sweden in the past and the future (1911

... Numerous severe floods have been reported globally in recent years, and there is growing concern that flooding will become more frequent and extreme due to climate change. Generally, a warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor, in effect leading to a growing potential for intense precipitation tha ...
CO2 as a primary driver of Phanerozoic climate: COMMENT
CO2 as a primary driver of Phanerozoic climate: COMMENT

... Royer et al. (2004) citing the standard references from the IPCC (2001) volume assert that CO2 is the principal climate driver on modern as well as geological time scales. Although some of these cited publications (e.g., Mann et al., 1998) were questioned recently (Soon and Baliunas, 2003; McIntire ...
Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions
Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions

... The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to ...
Climate Change Science - Stephen Schneider
Climate Change Science - Stephen Schneider

... The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to ...
Ontario`s Climate Change Strategy
Ontario`s Climate Change Strategy

... most northern reaches, winter temperatures could rise by up to 9°C. Here’s what these climate projections could mean for Ontario: • more days above 30°C in southern Ontario, affecting sensitive populations including seniors • extreme heat, worsening air quality, new and migrating disease vectors, ...
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Climate change and poverty

In an ever-progressing world with an increasing demand for energy, it is difficult to avoid climate change and its impacts on societies both locally and globally. Climate change affects social development factors, such as, poverty, infrastructure, technology, security, and economics across the globe. Although climate change affects everything we see around us, the interrelation between climate change and social vulnerability and inequality is particularly evident in impoverished communities. In particular, impoverished communities experience reductions in safe drinking water as well as food security as a result of climate change (OECD 2013). These typically rural, isolated communities do not exhibit sufficient financial and technical capacities to manage the risks associated with climate change (climate risk) (Skoufias 2012). Energy development and policy alteration could adjust the severity of climate change impacts; this is being tested now, as renewable energy sources develop.
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