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Land Use in Computable General Equilibrium Models: An Overview*
Land Use in Computable General Equilibrium Models: An Overview*

... CLUE are for China (Verburg et al., 1999) and for tropical South America (Wassenaar et al., 2007). The latter model works at the impressive spatial resolution of 3x3 km. SALU and IMAGE are examples of rule-based models. For instance, demand-driven expansion of agricultural production is met on the ...
The role of unstated mistrust and disparities in scientifi c capacity
The role of unstated mistrust and disparities in scientifi c capacity

... more generally (Cash, et al. 2003; Cash and Moser 2000; Global Environmental Assessment Project 1997; Fogel 2002; Kandlikar and Sagar 1999; Miller 1998; Mitchell, et al. forthcoming; Pielke Jr. 1994; Siebenhüner 2003). Yet there is little consensus on how to bridge the gap between science and policy ...
Download - 552kb
Download - 552kb

... Wildlife in a changing climate (2012) This FAO publication analyses and presents how climate change affects or will likely affect wild animals and their habitats. Although climate change has already been observed and monitored over several decades, there are few long-term studies on how the phenomen ...
Cooperation Studies of Catastrophe Avoidance: Implications for
Cooperation Studies of Catastrophe Avoidance: Implications for

... have to reach a threshold by the end of the game to avoid catastrophe. Investments in the climate account were instead used to finance an advertisement in a large German newspaper encouraging people to reduce their fossil fuel usage to mitigate climate change. In one condition, groups were given exp ...
Setting a long-term climate objective
Setting a long-term climate objective

... Members of the International Taskforce on Climate Change agreed at their meeting in Windsor UK in March 2004 that the Taskforce should make a recommendation on a global, long-term objective to guide action on climate change. The case for doing so is persuasive. Each of the countries that have ratifi ...
Climate and Development Economics: Balancing Science, Politics
Climate and Development Economics: Balancing Science, Politics

... paleoclimate data, arguing that the equilibrium response to increased greenhouse gas concentrations is about twice as great as commonly believed; that is, the long-run climate sensitivity (defined as the eventual temperature increase in oC per doubling of atmospheric CO2) is 6, not 3 as both IPCC (2 ...
Guidelines for Writing Introductory Philosophy Papers One major
Guidelines for Writing Introductory Philosophy Papers One major

... be careful. Sometimes the premises for a conclusion come after the conclusion has been stated. Or, sometimes an author does not explicitly state the conclusion being argued for, perhaps the author considers it so obvious. See if you can identify the conclusion of the following passage, taken from th ...
Climate change impacts on South American Rangelands
Climate change impacts on South American Rangelands

... that results in linear relationships between mean annual precipitation and livestock biomass ...
Fulltext: english,
Fulltext: english,

... Global mean temperature has increased by more than 0.75°C during the last century (IPCC 2007). Meta-analyses and other studies have illustrated that increasing temperatures have had considerable effects on many organisms in the world. For instance, higher spring temperatures have led to the earlier ...
Hasan, F.A. Human Agency, Climate Change, and Culture
Hasan, F.A. Human Agency, Climate Change, and Culture

... proxies within the purview of the culturally conditioned canons of perception and comprehension. In a hunting-gathering society, the group is small and differentiation of occupations is minimal. In addition, such groups are intimately familiar with the seasonality, condition, and changes in the loca ...
Will we leave the Great Barrier Reef for our children?
Will we leave the Great Barrier Reef for our children?

... This paper adopts the research methodology and philosophy of Colin Robson’s “real world enquiry”.11 Robson points out that “one of the challenges inherent in carrying out investigations in the ‘real world’ lies in seeking to say something sensible about a complex, relatively poorly controlled and ge ...
Adapting natural resource management to climate change in the
Adapting natural resource management to climate change in the

... variables and visualise the potential extent and implications of climate change, but they do not predict what future ecosystems will look like for several reasons. First, ecosystems do not move as a unit; second, current climate projections are based on average climate values, ignoring the extreme e ...
FAO - NWP: Adaptation Planning and Strategies 2009 (pp. 42-50)
FAO - NWP: Adaptation Planning and Strategies 2009 (pp. 42-50)

... contexts, related specifically to threats and opportunities generated by climate change. It is a generic solution that can be adopted from other contexts such as rural development or water security. ...
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PDF

... Empirical studies that have shown that climate change has impacts upon agricultural land and that the sector in question is vulnerable to climate change both economically and physically. (Gbetibouo and Hassan, 2004). Theories suggest that tropical regions in the developing world, such as the ROM, ha ...
Aalborg Universitet
Aalborg Universitet

... Cooper et al., (2008) noted that whilst the exact nature and extent of the impacts of climate change on temperature and rainfall distribution patterns remain uncertain, it is the poor and vulnerable who will be the most susceptible to changes in climate. Though these farmers have developed several a ...
Portage La Prairie - Climate Change Connection
Portage La Prairie - Climate Change Connection

... We are considering geothermal and wind turbine power for rural areas. We have undergone a large expansion and have begun using new ways of treating water such as, using gravity vs. motors. We are also looking at the specialized pre-treatment of water and improving lighting efficiency. My primary int ...
Alyssa Wed AM talk - USA National Phenology Network
Alyssa Wed AM talk - USA National Phenology Network

... Nature’s Notebook engages scientists and citizen scientists to collect phenology observations on: • 258+ plant species • 160+ animal species ...
[FIRST DRAFT ONLY] Sub-theme VI: Weather, Climate, and Health
[FIRST DRAFT ONLY] Sub-theme VI: Weather, Climate, and Health

... Climate change associated with global warming has already triggered weather changes (from flooding and storms to heat waves and droughts), which are taking a heavy toll on people’s health around the world. Over the Indian region, the observed temperature during 1901 to 2008 indicated a rising trend ...
The GEF and Climate Change - Global Environment Facility
The GEF and Climate Change - Global Environment Facility

... backed by action on the ground will help us achieve the SDGs. But with the underlying drivers of degradation still at play, our efforts must only intensify. ...
Global food security under climate change
Global food security under climate change

... *Global Perspective Studies Unit, Food and Agriculture Organization, 00100 Rome, Italy; ‡Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10025; and §Land Use Change Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria ...
Evolutionary and plastic responses of freshwater invertebrates to
Evolutionary and plastic responses of freshwater invertebrates to

... Increased evaporation and changed rainfall patterns are expected to increase salinity levels and to shorten hydroperiods under climate change (Schindler 2001; Moss 2012). In contrast to temperature, effects of salinity and hydroperiod on fitness-related traits have been much less studied in freshwat ...
Introduction - the United Nations
Introduction - the United Nations

... Climate change threatens subsistence fishing in a number of ways. Rising sea surface temperatures can lead to coral bleaching, while the absorption of CO2 by the ocean causes it to become more acidic. Taken together, these two problems could lead to the collapse of entire reef ecosystems, thus limit ...
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... • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change • 2007 IPCC report • Rise in average global surface temperature • 10 warmest years on record since ...
PDF Full Publication in PDF Format
PDF Full Publication in PDF Format

... economic and population growth are perturbed by the effects of climatic change. Population decreases are a result of changes in heat stress, cold stress, malaria, and tropical cyclones. Heat and cold stress are assumed to have an effect only on the elderly, non-reproductive population. In contrast, ...
here - Resilient Cities
here - Resilient Cities

... Professor, Vice Dean of Research, Smart Cities coordinator, Architect Annemie leads a work package on resilient architecture and infrastructure in FP7-funded project RAMSES. The aim of the work package is to develop an indicator taxonomy for climate-resilient architecture, infrastructure and urban f ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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