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From headwater tributaries to international river
From headwater tributaries to international river

... interannual and interdecadal variability. This is experienced locally and regionally in the headwater regions of the Nile and internationally through its effects on downstream Nile flows in Sudan and Egypt. Examples of climate variability are presented from areas in the basin where it exerts a strong ...
Is Climate Change a Moral Issue? Effects of Egoism and Altruism on
Is Climate Change a Moral Issue? Effects of Egoism and Altruism on

... 1) At the midpoint of the scale; 2) At the median; and 3) At the top and bottom third, which is used in the present paper. This is because the aim of this study was to investigate pro-environmental behaviour polarized by “high” vs. “low” egoistic and altruistic individuals respectively; not includin ...
Note on the Assumption of Hydrologic Stationarity
Note on the Assumption of Hydrologic Stationarity

... economic time horizon will do so in a manner such that the hydrology will be reflected as the output of a system in a steady or a transitory state. The hydrologic inputs to water management are assumed to be realizations of stochastic processes. That assumption tacitly implies that the generating me ...
Climate Change for Forest Policy-Makers
Climate Change for Forest Policy-Makers

... posed by climate change on forests and people and to take actions to reduce their vulnerability, increase their resilience and facilitate their adaptation to climate change. Also in this context, maintaining and enhancing the level of biodiversity in forests and across forested landscapes is crucial ...
PDF
PDF

... The seventh target focuses on available disaster risk information and assessments, and access to multi-hazard early warning systems. Understanding the hazard and risk, and measuring the progress towards accomplishing the DRR targets will only be possible if substantial efforts are put in improving r ...
An Ounce of Prevention
An Ounce of Prevention

... complex emergency that involves broader social and economic disruption. ...
English
English

... posed by climate change on forests and people and to take actions to reduce their vulnerability, increase their resilience and facilitate their adaptation to climate change. Also in this context, maintaining and enhancing the level of biodiversity in forests and across forested landscapes is crucial ...
UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME
UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME

... 16. The detection rate for malaria dropped from 13,115 cases per 100,000 in 2001 to 11,076 cases per 100,000 in 2002. The immunization rate for childhood diseases was 80%. In the HIV/AIDS area, there was a drop in the price of anti-retrovirals to a minimum of RwF 30,000 per month in 2002. HIV/AIDS e ...
Examining climate-biome - Wildlife Conservation Society Canada
Examining climate-biome - Wildlife Conservation Society Canada

... Yukon covers approximately 483,450 km2 of arctic and subarctic northwest Canada, bordered on the west by Alaska (USA), and south by British Columbia (Canada). Ranging from sea level, on the Arctic Ocean coast in the north, to the highest elevation in Canada (Mt. Logan, 5959 m), the region is primari ...
Biosphere feedbacks and climate change
Biosphere feedbacks and climate change

... are still in an early stage of development, and current ESMs give widely divergent estimates of the magnitudes of many feedbacks. ...
Global Climatic Variation and Energy Use
Global Climatic Variation and Energy Use

... with short term controllable anthropogenic or human effects. Humanity is destined to gradually adjust to the natural variation as well as the anthropogenic or human-caused change. Otherwise, the Earth’s feedback mechanisms would predominate, causing global economic, social and political dislocations ...
Regional Natural Resource Management Strategy for the Avon
Regional Natural Resource Management Strategy for the Avon

... Identifying big resource issues is important because they are fundamental to the underlying structure and function of the region. The top 7 resource issues were identified using a resilience assessment, based on their capacity to impact values, derived benefits, goods and services, and sense-of-plac ...
Impact of Climate Change and Climate Variability on
Impact of Climate Change and Climate Variability on

... temperatures and dry spells for El Salvador. However, there are uncertainties in models and scenarios. Crop simulation models predicts that in future climates sorghum and maize yields can decrease up to 20%; and dry bean yield up to 50%. There are opportunities to combat yield losses by adjusting ...
Differential effects of temperature change and human impact on
Differential effects of temperature change and human impact on

... © 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Global Change Biology, 21, 1475–1481 ...
SoE 08 Part 4.1 Atmos - Commissioner for Environmental
SoE 08 Part 4.1 Atmos - Commissioner for Environmental

... cause of warming during the past several decades2. The IPCC states that “no known mode of internal variability leads to such widespread, near universal warming as has been observed in the past few decades”3, which leaves external factors, such as human activities, as the most likely causes of the wa ...
Developing an `integrated` approach to
Developing an `integrated` approach to

... and ice surfaces keeps absorption of solar energy low. Heat gained during long summer days can therefore be relatively small. Maritime climate conditions prevail in coastal Alaska, Iceland, northern Norway and adjoining parts of Russia. Winters are often cold and stormy, summers are cloudy but mild ...
Climate: Observations, projections and impacts: Egypt
Climate: Observations, projections and impacts: Egypt

of H.G. Brauch (26 November 2007) - AFES
of H.G. Brauch (26 November 2007) - AFES

... account for a disaster.” Wilches-Chaux (1989) identified 11 types of vulnerability, “natural, physical, economic, social, political, technical, ideological, cultural, educational, eco- logical and institutional vulnerability.” ...
IJGW-Article "Limits to autonomous adaptation in response to
IJGW-Article "Limits to autonomous adaptation in response to

... p.64]. It is estimated that the mean global sea level will continue to rise over the course of the 21st century, with some studies suggesting faster global rates of sea-level rise (ibid.). In most SIDS, the majority of people live on the narrow coastal plains. On the Pacific islands SIDS, more than ...
Climate change and communicable diseases in the EU
Climate change and communicable diseases in the EU

... burden of climate-sensitive diseases is higher and, relatively speaking, their public health systems are weaker. Climate change rarely acts in isolation. Changes in the incidence and/or geographic range of infectious diseases arise from the interaction of changes in temperature, precipitation and ot ...
Perceptions and Awareness of Climate Change in Andros Island the
Perceptions and Awareness of Climate Change in Andros Island the

... exposed to impacts of climate change such as severe storm events, sea level rise, acidification of marine waters and increased sea temperatures. The IPCC has listed The Bahamas as, “especially vulnerable to climate change and associated sea-level rise,” (World Conservation Union) due to the country’ ...
BIBLIOGRAPHY BOMAL-O, CARLA G. APRIL 2012. Documentation
BIBLIOGRAPHY BOMAL-O, CARLA G. APRIL 2012. Documentation

... natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.” Because of flooding or droughts, many problems occur in the farm. Soil may crack or erosion happens. Pests and diseases appear. ...
Rapid thinning of the late Pleistocene Patagonian Ice Sheet
Rapid thinning of the late Pleistocene Patagonian Ice Sheet

... Southern Patagonia, suggesting that during the glacial-interglacial transition there may have been asynchronous behaviour in the climate systems of the two hemispheres6–8. Resolution of the debate is important because of the light it sheds on the mechanisms of climate change. If glacier and palaecol ...
Strategy Guide on Climate Change: Implications and Strategies for the Community Sector
Strategy Guide on Climate Change: Implications and Strategies for the Community Sector

... This report is published as part of the Climate Change Research Programme 2007–2013. The programme is financed by the Irish Government under the National Development Plan 2007–2013. It is administered on behalf of the Department of the Environment, Community and Local Government by the Environmental ...
The carbon cycle in a changing climate
The carbon cycle in a changing climate

... up more carbon through photosynthesis than the amount released from plants and soils through respiration and other processes. The positive net uptake of CO2 into plants and soils is happening in part because plants are being “fertilized” by the extra CO2 in the atmosphere. Understanding past changes ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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