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The role of meteorological processes in the
The role of meteorological processes in the

Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change
Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change

... Gillett and Thompson, 2003], its detailed impact on the various components of the SH climate system, from the polar regions to the subtropics, remains unclear at present. This question is especially pertinent in view of the predicted recovery of stratospheric ozone [e.g., Eyring et al., 2007] which, ...
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014  SYNTHESIS REPORT Longer report
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 SYNTHESIS REPORT Longer report

... gases are the highest in history. Recent climate changes have had widespread impacts on human and natural systems. Topic 1 focuses on observational evidence of a changing climate, the impacts caused by this change and the human contributions to it. It discusses observed changes in climate (1.1) and ...
Climate Extremes: Recent Trends with Implications for National Security
Climate Extremes: Recent Trends with Implications for National Security

... Preface The extent and pace of climate changes will lead to potential impacts on food, water, energy and economic security. Observed change in the climate system is an issue of ongoing concern for the US. Recent unusual extreme weather phenomena worldwide, such as droughts, floods, severe storms, an ...
Mid- to Late Holocene climate change: an overview
Mid- to Late Holocene climate change: an overview

3.1. Greenhouse gases and climate change
3.1. Greenhouse gases and climate change

... ozone and reduced air quality; reduction in methane emissions also helps to reduce the general background levels of tropospheric ozone. ...
IFC Definitions and Metrics for Climate
IFC Definitions and Metrics for Climate

... Climate change is a developmental and business issue. Smart business leaders recognize that changes in temperature and rainfall patterns, rising sea levels, and more frequent natural disasters bring new risks that must be professionally managed in order for their companies to stay competitive. At th ...
Rapid climate variability during warm and cold periods in
Rapid climate variability during warm and cold periods in

... Written on invitation of the Editorial Board ...
S1501144_en.pdf
S1501144_en.pdf

... the British Government (UKAID) and the Subregional Headquarters of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) in Mexico City, and the Agreement between the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA) and ECLAC as part of the “The Economics of Climate Change in Central A ...
cape verde_cida_prodoc_final
cape verde_cida_prodoc_final

... around Cape Verde. Projections in the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) indicate an increase in surface air temperature of 2º-2.5º C in the eastern tropical Atlantic region over the coming century, in addition to that already experienced (Christensen et al, 2007). This is significantly less than ...
full text - Heroen Verbruggen
full text - Heroen Verbruggen

... E-mail: [email protected] Funding Information This research was funded by the Research Council of Norway (HAVKYST project 196505). Heroen Verbruggen is supported by the Australian Research Council (FT110100585). Received: 7 December 2012; Revised: 22 February 2013; Accepted: 4 March 2013 d ...
Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by
Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by

... of land cover changes occurred prior to 1700, the differences in tree area changes between the KNMI (for which changes are from 1700 to 1992) and the other models (changes are from 1000 to 1992) may be explained by the differences in initial states (Fig. 1b). Atmospheric CO2 concentration in simulati ...
Loss and Damage: The Role of Ecosystem Services
Loss and Damage: The Role of Ecosystem Services

... vulnerable populations around the world. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), global surface temperatures have warmed on average 0.85° C relative to pre-industrial temperatures (IPCC, 2014). Moreover, a recent report commissioned by the W ...
Introduction – Predicting the magnitude of global climate change
Introduction – Predicting the magnitude of global climate change

... Judging from paleoclimatic data, current temperatures have reached maximum temperatures seen in other interglacial periods; this providessome further evidence that global warming is not natural (Spray and McGlothlin 2002). In North America, mean annual temperatures have risen by 1 – 2°C after having ...
Mosquitoes and Culicoides biting midges: vector range and
Mosquitoes and Culicoides biting midges: vector range and

... Climate change is defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as a statistically significant variation in either the mean state of the climate or in its variability, persisting for extended periods. Atmospheric observations indicate that, during recent decades, the climate on Ear ...
Assessing potential climate change effects on loblolly pine growth: A
Assessing potential climate change effects on loblolly pine growth: A

... Most models of the potential effects of climate change on forest growth have produced deterministic predictions. However, there are large uncertainties in data on regional forest condition, estimates of future climate, and quantitative relationships between environmental conditions and forest growth ...
Beckage, B., B. Osborne, D. G. Gavin, C. Pucko, T. Siccama
Beckage, B., B. Osborne, D. G. Gavin, C. Pucko, T. Siccama

... We used historic vegetation plots and remotely sensed data to examine elevational shifts in the distribution of forests in the Green Mountains of Vermont in conjunction with regional climate change. In northeastern North America, montane forests exhibit distinct elevational zonation, with species’ e ...
Malawi`s Strategy on Climate Change Learning
Malawi`s Strategy on Climate Change Learning

... immediate risk. In the light of the above, the developmental gains that the Malawi Government has achieved since independence in 1964 are coming under severe threat of being erased by the vagaries of climate change and climate variability. These have been manifested in the increased frequency and ma ...
Longterm climate forcings to assess vulnerability in North Africa dry
Longterm climate forcings to assess vulnerability in North Africa dry

... dynamics. The current range-filling constitutes 44% of the potential distribution, probably primarily reflecting anthropic land-use effects. Future climate change is forecast not to cause latitudinal/altitudinal range shifts, but rather an overall range contraction. Conclusions: The models reflect t ...
View/Open
View/Open

... dramatic 2008 rise and fall in oil prices. This study was written after 20 years of generally declining oil prices and just as that trend was starting to reverse. If Pisarski were to do the study now or in a few years, it would be interesting to see if the oil price shock had any effect on commuting ...
Accurate estimates of yield gaps - Van Bussel et al 2015
Accurate estimates of yield gaps - Van Bussel et al 2015

... Accurate estimation of yield gaps is only possible for locations where high quality local data are available, which are, however, lacking in many regions of the world. The challenge is how yield gap estimates based on location-specific input data can be used to obtain yield gap estimates for larger s ...
AN ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
AN ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

... accommodate the new climatic realities. All adaptation options considered are quite justifiable in national terms; each had benefit-cost ratios greater than 1. ...
4 Framework for ICTs` integration in cities climate change
4 Framework for ICTs` integration in cities climate change

... play a leading role in climate change adaptation in cities, while also adapting its own physical infrastructure. In this sense, this report establishes three main areas where ICTs can support cities' adaptation policies which are as follows: (1) the development of effective climate-related disaster ...
Understanding and Reducing the Risks of Climate Change for
Understanding and Reducing the Risks of Climate Change for

... Freshwater is a fundamental resource, integral to all ecological and societal activities including food and energy production, transportation, waste disposal, industrial development, habitat for fish species, and human health. Yet freshwater resources are unevenly and irregularly distributed, with s ...
Report
Report

... Adaptation planning in many parts of the world has advanced further than in the U.S. The United Kingdom’s Climate Impact Program supports climate change risk assessments and planning strategies nationwide (Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 2008b). New Zealand is systematically strengthening its i ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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