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What You Know Counts: Why We Should Elicit Prior Probabilities
What You Know Counts: Why We Should Elicit Prior Probabilities

... Next, I would like to acknowledge the use of services provided by Research Computing at the University of South Florida. Without their services, my Chapter 3 would not have been finished in timely fashion. I am indebted then to George MacDonald who brought their services to my attention, and then pe ...
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... Test : Because Ha contains “greater than 0. 35”, the hypothesis test is right-tailed. 2.Use the method specified to perform the hypothesis test for the population mean μ. WeatherBug say that the mean daily high for December in a large Florida city is 76(degrees) F. WFLA weather suspects that this te ...
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Sample multiple choice problems(2).

... 10.) In a random sample of 220 cars, 22 need an oil change. Find the 95% confidence interval for the percentage of cars needing an oil change. (a) (0.0547, 0.1453) (b) (0.0667, 0.1333) (c) (0.0496, 0.0504) (d) (0.0604, 0.1396) 11.) For the binomial distribution with n = 42 and p = 0.3, estimate the ...
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Comparing Two Proportions

... Note: SPSS will always give the two-sided p-value. To get the one-sided p-value (assuming that the sample mean of Group 1 is larger than Group 2 and the alternative hypothesis is such that the population mean of Group 1 is larger than Group 2), divide the SPSS two-sided p-value in ...
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Week 3 - UCLA.edu

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... The confidence interval instead does consist of those values of μ for which the observed x is among the most probable (in sense specified by ordering principle) Also note: “repeated sampling” does not require one to perform the same experiment all of the times for the confidence interval to have the ...
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... The null hypothesis H0 is a claim about a population characteristic. ( We will try to disprove this hypothesis with the help of sample data) The alternative hypothesis Ha is the competing claim and logical compliment of H0 . (When we can disprove H0 , then Ha must be correct). In testing H0 vs. Ha : ...
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... • One of the most famous physical models was used to discover the structure of DNA. • The structural model was built based on the size, shape, and bonding qualities of DNA. • The pieces of the model put together helped the scientist figure out the potential structure of DNA. • Discovering the struct ...
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Foundations of statistics

Foundations of statistics is the usual name for the epistemological debate in statistics over how one should conduct inductive inference from data. Among the issues considered in statistical inference are the question of Bayesian inference versus frequentist inference, the distinction between Fisher's ""significance testing"" and Neyman-Pearson ""hypothesis testing"", and whether the likelihood principle should be followed. Some of these issues have been debated for up to 200 years without resolution.Bandyopadhyay & Forster describe four statistical paradigms: ""(1) classical statistics or error statistics, (ii) Bayesian statistics, (iii) likelihood-based statistics, and (iv) the Akaikean-Information Criterion-based statistics"".Savage's text Foundations of Statistics has been cited over 10000 times on Google Scholar. It tells the following.It is unanimously agreed that statistics depends somehow on probability. But, as to what probability is and how it is connected with statistics, there has seldom been such complete disagreement and breakdown of communication since the Tower of Babel. Doubtless, much of the disagreement is merely terminological and would disappear under sufficiently sharp analysis.
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