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NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES LESSONS FROM THE DEBT-DEFLATION THEORY OF SUDDEN STOPS
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES LESSONS FROM THE DEBT-DEFLATION THEORY OF SUDDEN STOPS

... shocks to fundamentals (e.g. world interest rates, the terms of trade, or TFP) when agents are highly indebted. In turn, these high-debt states are reached with positive probability in the long run as a result of the equilibrium dynamics of the economy. (2) Collateral constraints do cause output dec ...
Chapter 22
Chapter 22

... The graph shows us that when the Federal Reserve increases the supply of money, interest rates fall. We saw in the previous chapter that there are two reasons why this is so. First, the Federal Reserve increases the supply of money by buying Treasury securities. It simply creates the reserves to pay ...
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as a PDF

... (1891, p 83) put it “the art of political economy will have vaguely defined limits and be largely non-economic in character. 6 From Classical to NeoClassical The evolution of economics from these broad Classical themes to a narrower set of what came to be called neoClassical themes started in the la ...
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... in the inflationary process and have given more emphasis to the role that interest rate play 4. However rapid transmission may be, there must be a mechanism that transmits monetary policy changes through the economy and investment markets are likely to be part of that mechanism. The key observation ...
Working Paper - Hans-Böckler
Working Paper - Hans-Böckler

... government issued fiat money has value because governments demand taxes be paid in sovereign money, thereby creating public demand it.1 This idea that the demand for sovereign money is in part due to the obligation to use it to pay taxes is uncontroversial. For instance, James Tobin (1998, p.27), o ...
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... associated with larger fluctuations in private absorption than output, because export firms tend to be larger and much less dependent on bank credit (Tornell and Westermann, 2003), credit and the current account balance in these economies would move in opposite directions. These possibly large fluct ...
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... C) Structural models may allow economists to more accurately predict the impact institutional changes have on the link between monetary policy and income. D) A structural model imposes no restrictions on the way monetary policy affects the ...
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Real-Wage Rigidity - Pearson Higher Education

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Chapter 11
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CH 11 PDF
CH 11 PDF

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National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia Working Paper
National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia Working Paper

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... marginal costs to wage costs and perfect competition on goods markets, decreases in money wages would lead to proportional decreases in the price level. In that case real wages, and according to the first ‘classical postulate’ labour demand, would remain unchanged. The problem then would consist in ...
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as a PDF

... Mises to substantiate the C-F view that Mises makes this suggestion. It is true that Mises says that complex phenomena can only be studied by abstracting from change and then introducing an isolated factor to provoke change (p. 248). But this is not the same as saying that a purpose of ERE is to exp ...
Adventure Works! The All-UC Group in Economic History University of California
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... that the terminology of economic fluctuations is not standardized. Traditionally we speak about economic or business cycles. These concern the fluctuations of economy over time. But we speak also about economic crises and more recently fluctuations have been called as boom-busts. The definitions of ...
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... the analysis. Sraffa argued that Hayek’s account of the working of a monetary economy was fundamentally inadequate because, having introduced hidden assumptions that effectively neutralised money, Hayek had so confused himself that he failed to recognise the real source of the disturbances he was d ...
Paper - Department of Economics | Washington University in St. Louis
Paper - Department of Economics | Washington University in St. Louis

... real interest rate becomes negative for several periods.4 The reason is that savings must be reallocated to lower productivity entrepreneurs, but they will only be willing to do it for a lower interest rate. To put it differently, the “demand” for loans falls, which in turn pushes down the real inter ...
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... The interaction between the economic situation and the development of monetary theory became most intensive during the period of hyperinflation in Germany after the First World War ending in the collapse of the currency (Mark) in November 1923. Over this debate one should not overlook the fact that ...
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... In reality, the size of the multiplier is about 2. That is, a sustained increase in exogenous spending of $10 billion into the U.S. economy can be expected to raise real GDP over time by about $20 billion. ...
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... Once again, to tell the story that explains the economy’s adjustment from point A to point B, we rely on the building blocks of the IS–LM model—the Keynesian cross and the theory of liquidity preference. This time, we begin with the money market, where the monetary-policy action occurs. When the Fed ...
Chapter 26
Chapter 26

... a. Incorrect. The belief that the velocity of money is not constant but highly predictable is associated with the monetarist school. b. Incorrect. The belief that the velocity of money is not constant but highly predictable is associated with the monetarist school. c. Incorrect. The belief that the ...
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the disappointment of expectations

... since expectations may be explicitly included in an intertemporal equilibrium model only if they are never revised or disappointed over an unlimited sequence of dates, it follows that their revision or disappointment is at the roots of intertemporal disequilibrium, i.e. of fluctuations. This can be ...
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Global Savings, Investments, and World Real

... variables that change relatively slowly over time. These variables include labour force growth, which affects investment demand, and the age structure of the world economy, which influences savings. Other variables, such as the level of financial development, also affect savings. • Since most of the ...
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Austrian business cycle theory

The Austrian business cycle theory (ABCT) is an economic theory developed by the Austrian School of economics about how business cycles occur. The theory views business cycles as the consequence of excessive growth in bank credit, due to artificially low interest rates set by a central bank or fractional reserve banks. The Austrian business cycle theory originated in the work of Austrian School economists Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek. Hayek won the Nobel Prize in economics in 1974 (shared with Gunnar Myrdal) in part for his work on this theory.Proponents believe that a sustained period of low interest rates and excessive credit creation result in a volatile and unstable imbalance between saving and investment. According to the theory, the business cycle unfolds in the following way: Low interest rates tend to stimulate borrowing from the banking system. It is argued that this leads to an increase in capital spending funded by newly issued bank credit. Proponents hold that a credit-sourced boom results in widespread malinvestment. In the theory, a correction or ""credit crunch"" – commonly called a ""recession"" or ""bust"" – occurs when the credit creation has run its course. Then the money supply contracts, causing resources to be reallocated back towards their former uses.The Austrian explanation of the business cycle differs significantly from the mainstream understanding of business cycles and is generally rejected by mainstream economists. Mainstream economists generally do not support Austrian school explanations for business cycles, on both theoretical as well as real-world empirical grounds.
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