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SECURE LOCALIZATION TOPOLOGY AND
SECURE LOCALIZATION TOPOLOGY AND

Exponential Communication Ineffi ciency of Demand Queries"
Exponential Communication Ineffi ciency of Demand Queries"

The Scenario Approach to Robust Control Design
The Scenario Approach to Robust Control Design

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Hypothesis Testing for Beginners

On Talagrand\`s deviation inequalities for product measures
On Talagrand\`s deviation inequalities for product measures

... procedure that yields concentration inequalities of the type (1.2) via a simple dierential inequality on Laplace transforms. This has been shown in Davies and Simon (1984), Aida et al.(1994) and Ledoux (1995) and we recall the simple steps here. In the recent note Bobkov (1995), Talagrand's inequal ...
How to Fully Represent Expert Information about Imprecise
How to Fully Represent Expert Information about Imprecise

Student Materials
Student Materials

Learning Sums of Independent Integer Random Variables
Learning Sums of Independent Integer Random Variables

... be the case that at least one of the k − 1 values 1, 2, . . . , k − 1 makes a “large contribution” to Var(S). (This is made precise by working with “0-moded” SIIRVs and analyzing the “b-weight” of the SIIRV for b ∈ {1, . . . , k − 1}; see Definition 2.2 for details.) It is useful to first consider t ...
Continuous Homophily and Clustering in Random Networks
Continuous Homophily and Clustering in Random Networks

On the `Semantics` of Differential Privacy: A Bayesian Formulation
On the `Semantics` of Differential Privacy: A Bayesian Formulation

... Given a particular transcript t, we say privacy has been breached if the adversary would draw different conclusions about the world and, in particular, about a person i, depending on whether or not i’s data was used. One could formally define “different” in many ways. In this paper, we choose a weak ...
The Sample Complexity of Exploration in the Multi
The Sample Complexity of Exploration in the Multi

... The focus of this paper is the classical multi-armed bandit problem, but rather than looking at the expected regret, we are concerned with PAC-type bounds on the number of steps needed to identify a near-optimal arm. In particular, we are interested in the expected number of steps that are required ...
كw = r v(Y(t))dt
كw = r v(Y(t))dt

AMS 261: Probability Theory (Winter 2014)
AMS 261: Probability Theory (Winter 2014)

Estimation of Bacterial Densities by Means of the" Most Probable
Estimation of Bacterial Densities by Means of the" Most Probable

Improving and extending the testing of distributions
Improving and extending the testing of distributions

First and Second Moment Methods 1 First Moment Method
First and Second Moment Methods 1 First Moment Method

endogenous democratization
endogenous democratization

Reducing belief simpliciter to degrees of belief
Reducing belief simpliciter to degrees of belief

... believes A nor ¬A and in this sense suspends judgment on A. One the other hand, by quantitative belief we mean the assignment of numerical degrees of belief to propositions, so that any such degree measures the strength of an agent’s belief in a proposition. Typically, A is believed to degree 1 mean ...
Exercise Book to "Probability Theory with Simulations"
Exercise Book to "Probability Theory with Simulations"

Bearden and Murphy
Bearden and Murphy

... to account for the bias. In a paper on the CSP, Seale and Rapoport (1997) suggested that the bias results from an endogenous search cost: Because search is inherently costly (see, Stigler, 1961), the DM’s payoff increases in the payoff she receives for selecting the best applicant but decreases in t ...
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MCQPROBABILITY MCQ 6.1 When the possible outcomes of an

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Optimal error exponents in hidden markov models order estimation

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A Tutorial on Conformal Prediction

Benchmarking real-valued acts
Benchmarking real-valued acts

... they meet a given target. See Bordley (2002). The benchmarking procedure is more general than it may appear: we show in Section 3.2 that it includes expected utility as a special case. Of course, one can apply the existing axiomatizations for preference representation to the benchmarking procedure s ...
The degree sequence of a scale
The degree sequence of a scale

... most basic properties of a graph or network is its degree sequence. For the standard random graph model n m of all graphs with m edges on a fixed set of n vertices, introduced by Erdős and Rényi in [8] and studied in detail in [9], there is a “characteristic” degree 2m/n: the vertex degrees hav ...
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Ars Conjectandi



Ars Conjectandi (Latin for The Art of Conjecturing) is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Jakob Bernoulli and published in 1713, eight years after his death, by his nephew, Niklaus Bernoulli. The seminal work consolidated, apart from many combinatorial topics, many central ideas in probability theory, such as the very first version of the law of large numbers: indeed, it is widely regarded as the founding work of that subject. It also addressed problems that today are classified in the twelvefold way, and added to the subjects; consequently, it has been dubbed an important historical landmark in not only probability but all combinatorics by a plethora of mathematical historians. The importance of this early work had a large impact on both contemporary and later mathematicians; for example, Abraham de Moivre.Bernoulli wrote the text between 1684 and 1689, including the work of mathematicians such as Christiaan Huygens, Gerolamo Cardano, Pierre de Fermat, and Blaise Pascal. He incorporated fundamental combinatorial topics such as his theory of permutations and combinations—the aforementioned problems from the twelvefold way—as well as those more distantly connected to the burgeoning subject: the derivation and properties of the eponymous Bernoulli numbers, for instance. Core topics from probability, such as expected value, were also a significant portion of this important work.
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